If this weekend’s NFL Divisional Round games are on par with last week’s Wild Card games, then we are in for an incredible weekend of playoff football. Across four games, the eight remaining playoff teams will be cut down to four remaining.
Below, we’ll break down our two favorite over/under predictions for the NFL Divisional Round games on PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your NFL predictions.
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The NFL Divisional Round kicks off with a rematch from last year's playoffs, with the Denver Broncos (14-3) playing host to the Buffalo Bills (13-5). Pitting arguably the league's best defense against the league’s best QB in Josh Allen.
Wrapping up the weekend is the Los Angeles Rams (12-5), heading to Soldier Field to take on the always-exciting Chicago Bears (11-6).
Let's get into the top NFL Divisional Round predictions on over/unders across this weekend's playoff games, highlighting two to look toward on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos Prediction, Over/Under, Spread
Date: Saturday, Jan. 17
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: CBS/Paramount+ (Streaming)
Bills vs. Broncos Over/Under, Spread, Payout
- Spread: Denver Broncos -2.5 (1.96x payout)
- Over/Under: 44.5 (1.72x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Bills 1.96x | Broncos 1.78x
Team Picks payouts are live as of publishing and are subject to change.
Bills vs. Broncos Prediction on Over/Under for Divisional Round
- The Broncos — for all their defensive success this season — have struggled defending the run, ranking 14th in expected points added (EPA) per rush at -.04.
- This plays into the hands of the Bills, who would prefer to lean on their dynamic ground game headlined by the league leader in total rushing yards this season, RB James Cook.
- The Bills have the 14th lowest pass rate over expectation (PROE%) at -3.5%, and third-lowest among remaining playoff teams
- Buffalo’s defense has struggled all season. Most recently, allowing an average of 6.6 yards per play to the Jacksonville Jaguars.
- The Bills' defense ranks 31st in EPA/play vs the run at .09.
- Broncos rookie RB RJ Harvey averaged 17.3 touches per game over his last six games and gets a plus matchup here.
- Denver’s offense hasn’t been its calling card this season, ranking 14th in scoring offense (23.6 points per game), but it does catch a Buffalo team that is reeling from injuries.
- DT Ed Oliver (Bicep) has been on the IR since Week 8 and is questionable for this game, while CB Maxwell Hairston (ankle) and S Jordan Poyer (hamstring) have both been ruled out.
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Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears Prediction, Over/Under, Spread
Date: Sunday, Jan. 18
Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: NBC/Peacock
Rams vs. Bears Over/Under, Spread, Payout
- Spread: Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (1.78x payout)
- Over/Under: 47.5 (1.78x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Rams 1.47x | Bears 2.5x
PrizePicks Team Picks payouts are live as of publishing and are subject to change.
Rams vs. Bears Prediction on Over/Under for Divisional Round
- The Rams offense is second in the NFL in EPA/play at .12. They also have the third-ranked passing offense at .22 EPA/play.
- They have the edge over the Bears' defense, which is 21st in EPA/play at .03 and 17th overall in pass defense EPA/play at .03.
- The Rams are 11-7 (61.1%) to the over this season. They are a league-best 8-1 (88.9%) to the over in road games.
- The over in Bears games this season has gone 9-8-1 (52.9%) ATS.
- Chicago boasts the league's seventh-ranked offense in EPA/play at .07, and the league's fourth-best rushing offense at .06.
- LA’s defense started the season off strong, but has since tailed off, ranking 12th in EPA/play since Week 10.
- The Rams gave up 31 points to the Panthers' 24th-ranked offense in EPA/play since Week 10 in the Wild Card round.
- The Rams have given up an average of 30 PPG over their last five games.
- This game features two of the league’s best offensive minds in Rams head coach Sean McVay and Bears head coach Ben Johnson — two coaches known best for their offensive prowess.
Make NFL Divisional Round Picks on PrizePicks
The NFL has delivered all season long, and we can surely count on that once again this weekend in the Divisional Round.
The AFC's No. 1 seed Broncos seek to exact revenge on the Bills for their playoff loss last year, while the Bears look to keep their incredibly exciting season vs. a Super Bowl favorite in the LA Rams.
From the Divisional Round to the Super Bowl, you can earn money if you're right on NFL playoffs predictions on PrizePicks Team Picks — now available in 30 states. Pick winners, spreads, over/unders, and futures throughout the postseason. With PrizePicks, you can also predict More or Less on projected player stats.
Stay locked in on the Playbook throughout the NFL playoffs for more picks, predictions, and analysis on every game.
