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NASCAR Würth 400 Starting Lineup, Predictions for Sunday, May 3

Carson Hocevar (77) leads during a NASCAR race in Bristol.
AP Photo/Wade Payne, File

The NASCAR Würth 400 gets going on Sunday, May 3, at 3:30 p.m. ET at Texas Motor Speedway in Ft. Worth.

This is the second race from the Lone Star State this season, as Tyler Reddick won at the road course in Austin in early March.

Today’s race totals 400.5 miles, spanning 277 laps, as Carson Hocevar captured the pole after Saturday’s qualifying.

Below, we'll break down our NASCAR Würth 400 predictions and pick a winner for Sunday’s race, including top driver picks for PrizePicks.

Make your NASCAR picks for the Würth 400 on PrizePicks — and earn real money if you're right, available in Texas!

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NASCAR Würth 400 Winner, Top 10 Predictions for Texas – Sunday, May 3

Hocevar picked up his first win in last Sunday’s Jack Link’s 500 at Talladega. Six different drivers have won a race this season, highlighted by four victories from Reddick.

Joey Logano has won one of his last 46 races, but it came in this event at Texas last season. Logano led for 7 laps and grabbed his first win in Ft. Worth since 2014.

In the past nine races at Texas, nine different drivers have emerged victorious. That list includes Chase Elliott, William Byron, Reddick, Kyle Larson, Kyle Busch, Austin Dillon, Kevin Harvick, and Denny Hamlin. 

The favorite to win the Würth 400 at Texas is Tyler Reddick, entering Sunday's race (3:30 p.m. ET), according to PrizePicks Team Picks.

Reddick currently has a 5x payout ($100 pays out $500) if he wins, while several other drivers, including Hamlin, are right behind him at a 5.26x payout to win at Texas, according to PrizePicks.


Payout multipliers listed below (like 2x) indicate real-money earnings if your NASCAR predictions are correct; for example, 2x on a $100 entry pays $200 if correct on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states, including Texas. “Yes” payouts represent a specific outcome occurring, whereas "No" payouts indicate the opposite.


NASCAR Würth 400 Winner Payouts on PrizePicks for Texas

Here are the payouts for drivers to win the NASCAR Würth 400 from Texas Motor Speedway on PrizePicks.

Make your Würth 400 pick on 'Yes' or 'No' to a driver to win. Earn real money if you're right.

  • Tyler Reddick – Yes 5x | No 1.13x
  • Denny Hamlin – Yes 5.26x | No 1.13x
  • Kyle Larson – Yes 6.66x | No 1.08x
  • Carson Hocevar – Yes 8.33x | No 1.04x
  • William Byron – Yes 8.33x | No 1.05x
  • Chase Elliott – Yes 9.09x | No 1.03x
  • Christopher Bell – 10x | No 1.03x
  • Chris Buescher – Yes 10x | No 1.03x
  • Ryan Blaney – Yes 11.11x | No 1.03x
  • Ty Gibbs – Yes 14.28x | No 1.02x
  • Chase Briscoe – Yes 14.28x | No 1.02x
Make your NASCAR predicitions for the Würth 400 on PrizePicks — available in Texas!

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NASCAR Texas Starting Lineup for Würth 400: Hocevar Earns Pole Position

The NASCAR Würth 400 qualifying took place on Saturday afternoon after last week’s qualifying event was rained out at Talladega. 

Last week’s winner, Carson Hocevar, sits on the pole for Sunday’s event. Hocevar captured the pole for the 2025 race at Texas but finished 24th despite placing sixth in each of the first two stages.

Here is the full NASCAR Würth 400 starting lineup at Texas Motor Speedway for Sunday’s race at 3:30 p.m. ET on FOX. 

Row 1: Carson Hocevar / Daniel Suarez

Row 2: Chris Buescher / Denny Hamlin

Row 3: Chase Briscoe / Kyle Busch

Row 4: Christopher Bell / Tyler Reddick

Row 5: Alex Bowman / Ty Gibbs

Row 6: Kyle Larson / Connor Zilisch

Row 7: Austin Cindric / Chase Elliott

Row 8: William Byron / Ross Chastain

Row 9: Corey Heim / Riley Herbst

Row 10: Michael McDowell / Ryan Preece

Row 11: Erik Jones / Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

Row 12: Joey Logano / Josh Berry

Row 13: Brad Keselowski / AJ Allmendinger

Row 14: Cole Custer / Noah Gragson

Row 15: Cody Ware / Shane van Gisbergen

Row 16: Ryan Blaney / Todd Gilliand

Row 17: John Hunter Nemechek / Zane Smith

Row 18: Ty Dillon / Chad Finchum

Row 19: Bubba Wallace / Austin Dillon


NASCAR Würth 400 Predictions, Driver Picks for Texas Motor Speedway

Here are three of the top Würth 400 picks to target in the NASCAR race from Texas Motor Speedway on Sunday. Top PrizePicks NASCAR picks are headlined by three drivers: Carson Hocevar, Daniel Suarez, and Chase Elliott.

To calculate fantasy points, 0.25 point is received for a lap led and 0.45 point for the fastest lap, while the race winner picks up 45 points, second place grabs 42 points, and that number decreases by one for each descending finish.

Carson Hocevar – 62.5 Laps Led

Carson Hocevar to Win the Würth 400: Yes 8.33x | No 1.05x

  • Hocevar has led for a total of 31 laps in the first 10 races this season.
  • In his win at Talladega last Sunday, Hocevar led for 19 laps, which is the fourth-highest total of his career.
  • His career best for laps led in a race is 32 at Michigan in 2025.
  • Hocevar led for 22 laps in last year’s race at Texas, where he also captured the pole.
  • Two drivers have led for more than 63 laps in the last three races at Texas (Kyle Larson and Bubba Wallace).

Add Carson Hocevar to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks for the Würth 400


Daniel Suarez – 13.5 Finishing Position

Daniel Suarez to Finish Top 10 in Würth 400: Yes 2.32x | No 1.35x

  • In five of the past eight races, Suarez has finished below 13th. Suarez closed 12th at Talladega last Sunday.
  • Suarez has seen success at Texas, placing higher than 12th in the last five races at this track.
  • One of Suarez’s two career victories came in Ft. Worth at the All-Star race in 2022, while closing 10th at the 2025 Würth 400.
  • Suarez is starting second, his highest qualifying position since 2023. In the two races he started higher than 10th, he finished below 19th.

Add Daniel Suarez to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks for the Würth 400

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Chase Elliott – 45.5 Fantasy Score

Chase Elliott to Win the Würth 400: Yes 9.09x | No 1.04x

Chase Elliott to Finish Top 10 in Würth 400: Yes 1.56x | No 1.69x

  • Elliott has finished in the Top 10 in six of 10 races, capped off by a fourth-place finish at Talladega. 
  • He seeks his second victory of the season, capturing the checkered flag at Martinsville in late March.
  • Elliott won at Texas in 2024, one of eight top finishes at this track.
  • He posted his fourth score of at least 40 points in last week’s race at Talladega.

Add Chase Elliott to your PrizePicks NASCAR Picks for the Würth 400


Make NASCAR Würth 400 Predictions on PrizePicks

NASCAR heads to Ft. Worth for the 11th race of the season. Will Hocevar pick up his second consecutive victory today sitting on the pole?

The pole winner the last two years finished outside the Top 20 on Sunday, so keep that in mind before making your selections.

Don’t wait until lock — make your NASCAR Würth 400 predictions on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

There are unique picks on the NASCAR board for every race, including driver points and starting position; just pick at least two drivers to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Or, make your picks on race winners on Team Picks, now available in 35 states, including Texas!

Stay locked in to Playbook throughout the season for more NASCAR picks, predictions, and news every day.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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