Mystics vs. Mercury Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Tuesday, August 25

The Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury game is set to tip off at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, August 25, televised on WNBA League Pass. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Mystics enter as 1.5-point favorites on the spread and return a 1.72x payout if they win.

The Mystics (22-15) clinched their first playoff berth since 2023 and are on their way to their first winning season dating back to 2022. The Mercury (13-24) made it to the WNBA Finals a year ago but will be sitting home for this postseason after getting eliminated in Saturday’s home defeat to Atlanta. 

Below, we'll break down our Mystics vs. Mercury prediction and picks for Tuesday's WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Mystics vs. Mercury prediction on PrizePicks now.

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Mystics vs. Mercury Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Tuesday, August 25

Washington rallied from a 14-point deficit to stun Portland on Sunday, 105-100, posting 40 points in the fourth quarter. The Mystics won their third game in the last four tries, improving to 9-8 on the road.

The Mercury had high hopes following a 33-point rout of the Aces in a WNBA Finals rematch to open the season. However, Phoenix dropped eight of the next nine games and could never recover from that rough start. 

Nine of the Mercury’s last 11 wins came against teams with losing records, with the most recent victory being at Los Angeles on August 11. Phoenix welcomes Washington twice over the next three days, hosting the Mystics again on Thursday. In the first matchup of the year, the Mystics cooled off the Mercury 95-75 as 1.5-point favorites on August 9.

Washington dropped all three meetings with Phoenix last season, but the Mystics outscored the Mercury 52-31 in the middle two quarters of their rout earlier this month.

Phoenix G Kelsey Plum is expected to make her home debut on Tuesday. Since getting acquired from Los Angeles earlier this month, Plum has played four games with the Mercury, all on the road. The last time she took the court was at Washington, getting held to a season-low 5 points on 2-of-7 shooting.

Mystics vs. Mercury Spread, Over/Under – Tuesday, August 25

The Mystics enter Tuesday’s game as 1.5-point road favorites against the Mercury, returning a 1.72x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Mystics vs. Mercury game on PrizePicks.

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Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Mystics vs. Mercury Injury Report for Tuesday, August 25

Let’s dive into the full Mystics vs. Mercury injury report for Tuesday, August 25, via WNBA.com.

Washington Mystics Injury Report

• No injuries reported

Phoenix Mercury Injury Report

• F Marta Suarez (concussion) - OUT
• G Sami Whitcomb (knee) - Probable

Mystics vs. Mercury Prediction on Winner – 8/25/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Mystics vs. Mercury prediction on the winner for Tuesday, August 25.

• The Mercury own the second-worst home record in the league at 5-12. Phoenix’s last home victory came on July 29 against Golden State.
• According to WNBA.com, Washington ranks 10th in 3-pointers allowed per game on the road (9.5).
• The Mystics are 3-5 coming off a road victory. Washington was listed as an underdog of 6.5, 12.5, and 13.5 points in those three wins.
• Since beating the Valkyries, the Mercury have allowed an effective field goal percentage (e3FG%) of 52% or higher in six of the last seven games.
• Washington knocked down 32 free throws at Portland on Sunday and is 5-0 after hitting at least 27 foul shots.
• The Mystics are second in the league in defensive eFG% at 49.3% and allow that exact percentage on the road.
• Washington just posted its lowest turnover rate against Phoenix (10.0%), but it was uncharacteristic, as the Mystics are last in the league overall at 15.9%. 

Lock in your Mystics vs. Mercury prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s WNBA game.

Mystics vs. Mercury Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/25/26

Here are the top Mystics vs. Mercury picks to target on Tuesday, August 25. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Sonia Citron and Kahleah Copper.

Mystics G Sonia Citron vs. Mercury: 16.5 Points

• Citron has remained below this projection in each of the past three games, averaging 12.6 PPG. 
• Since scoring 56 points in her first two road games, Citron has averaged 14.3 PPG in her previous 15 outings away from D.C.
• In the blowout of Phoenix earlier this month, the former Notre Dame standout posted 19 points, including hitting 5 of her 6 3-pointers.
• The Mercury are tied for the second-worst defensive 3-point percentage (35.9%). With that said, Citron is shooting 2-of-9 from deep in the last four road outings.

Add Sonia Citron to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Mercury G-F Kahleah Copper vs. Mystics: 20.5 Points

• Copper is fresh off a season-high 38 points in Sunday’s defeat to the Dream. That broke a five-game streak of scoring fewer than 20 points, her longest slump since early June.
• According to PropsMadness.com, Copper has been limited to fewer than 20 points in seven of 11 games against teams in the top five of defensive rating (Mystics are third).
• In the first matchup at Washington, the 11th-year pro scored 15 points on 4-of-13 shooting. Copper hasn’t compiled more than 20 points in four straight meetings with the Mystics.

Add Kahleah Copper to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Mystics vs. Mercury Picks on PrizePicks

Will Washington have a letdown after clinching a playoff spot, or will Phoenix continue its home woes in this disappointing campaign?

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