Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, Picks for WNBA Playoffs – 9/29/26

The WNBA playoffs are rolling in full force, and Tuesday presents a pair of Game 2 matchups for fans to enjoy. In the nightcap, the Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty do battle at 8:30 p.m. ET on USA Network and CNBC.

Despite New York securing a Game 1 win on the road, it enters Game 2 as a home underdog with Minnesota favored by 4.5 points on PrizePicks. Can the Lynx find a way to extend the series to an all-important Game 3, or will the Liberty put this set on ice with a first-round-closing victory in front of their own crowd? 

Below, we'll break down our Lynx vs. Liberty prediction and picks for Tuesday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Lynx vs. Liberty prediction on PrizePicks now.

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Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for WNBA Playoffs – Tuesday, September 29

With Cheryl Reeve at the helm, the Lynx just kept chugging along in 2026. Following a 34-10 campaign and a trip to the semifinals of the playoffs, Minnesota won 33 games this regular season and finished with the top record in the sport. 

The main influence behind that tear through the season was an electric offense led by stellar G Olivia Miles. The unanimous Rookie of the Year led the team in both scoring (19.8 points) and distributing (6.0 assists) each night, making her presence felt in all areas of the court. 

Minnesota came into this one going 2-2 following the FIBA World Cup break, although there wasn’t a ton to play for on the tail end of that stretch. Back-to-back games against the Indiana Fever saw Reeve’s crew lose by 19 and then go on to win by 20.

Similarly, the Liberty also finished with just one fewer win than the year prior by going 26-18 in the 2026 WNBA regular season. Superstar F Breanna Stewart and the gang were a middle-of-the-pack team by many metrics, and that was reflected through 25 games by their 13-12 record.

New York flipped a switch down the stretch, however, as Chris DeMarco’s squad remained hit-or-miss but managed to squeak out five victories by 5 or fewer points. Overall, four players scored in double figures on the year, with G Sabrina Ionescu (14.6 PPG) and C Jonquel Jones (14.5 PPG) primarily supporting Stewart’s nightly output. 

Sunday’s Game 1 saw New York trail 44-40 at the halftime break but outscore Minnesota 51-31 in the second half of play. Leading the way overall was Stewart, who took over with 34 points, 12 rebounds, and 5 assists on 11-of-18 shooting.

Miles fell flat in her postseason debut, taking more shots (12) than logging points scored (11) and posting 4 turnovers to boot. A bright spot for the Lynx was F Nia Brodie, who came off the bench to drop 16 points on 6-of-7 shooting. 

Lynx vs. Liberty Spread, Over/Under for Game 2 – Tuesday, September 29

The Lynx enter Tuesday’s game as 4.5-point road favorites against the Liberty, returning a 1.58x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Lynx vs. Liberty game on PrizePicks.

Make your Lynx vs. Liberty prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 36 states!

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Lynx vs. Liberty Injury Report for Tuesday, September 29

Let’s dive into the full Lynx vs. Liberty injury report for Tuesday, September 29, via WNBA.com.

Minnesota Lynx Injury Report

• F Anastasiia Olairi Kosu (foot): OUT

New York Liberty Injury Report

• No injuries reported

Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction on Spread for Game 2 – 9/29/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Lynx vs. Liberty prediction on the spread for Tuesday, September 29’s game. 

• The Lynx fared quite well as road favorites this year, posting a 10-8 against-the-spread record that sat third in the sport. As home underdogs, the Liberty are just 1-2. 
• Offensively, Minny holds edges in fastbreak scoring (9.3 PPG to 8.1 PPG), paint scoring (38.8 PPG to 38.3 PPG), assist-to-turnover ratio (1.648 to 1.409), and much more. 
• The Liberty allow opponents to shoot 35.0% from 3-point land, the fifth-highest mark in the sport. No team shoots better on treys (39.2%) than the Lynx. 
• Not many offenses fill up the stat sheet from inside the arc, either. Minnesota takes 65.8% of its shots by way of 2-pointers; New York cedes 45.5% efficiency there. 
• Minnesota’s defense is pesky, forcing 8.6 steals and 15.5 overall turnovers a game compared to New York’s respective marks of 6.2 and 11.8. 
• The overall hustle battle figures to go to the Lynx. Per databallr, their net rating from extra possessions (+5.8) ranks third leaguewide. The Liberty (-2.5) are 11th. 

Lock in your Lynx vs. Liberty prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s WNBA game.

Lynx vs. Liberty Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 9/29/26

Here are the top Lynx vs. Liberty picks to target on Tuesday, September 29. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include G Olivia Miles, G Kayla McBride, and G Sabrina Ionescu.

Lynx G Olivia Miles vs. Liberty: 24.5 Pts + Asts

• Miles struggled in her first playoff game ever but produced a nightly average of 25.8 points and assists during the regular season. 
• The rookie scoring recordholder is uber-efficient at all areas, shooting 49.2% from the field, 38.8% from deep, and 87.0% at the free throw line.
• Miles shoots 65.6% at the basket (0-3 feet), which could come in handy considering that the Liberty yield a 65.8% mark there that ranks 10th in the WNBA.
• According to databallr, Miles’ 46.8% on-ball rate and 27.2% usage clip rank in the respective 96th and 94th percentiles. 

Add Olivia Miles + Lynx to cover the spread to your PrizePicks lineup now.

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Lynx G Kayla McBride vs. Liberty: 16.5 Points

• McBride dropped 17.6 PPG during the regular season, maintaining that during her last 11 games despite having a 0-point showing against the Fever last Tuesday.
• The five-time All-Star is one of the sport’s premier 3-point shooters, taking a career-high 7.0 3-pointers per game and draining 41.2% of them. 
• Even in her age-34 season, McBride remains effective at probing the opposing defense, shooting 69.3% at the rim and 50.0% from floater range (3-10 feet).
• McBride can also get to the charity stripe; her free throw volume and efficiency sit in the 88th and 95th percentiles. 

Add Kayla McBride + Lynx to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.

Liberty G Sabrina Ionescu vs. Lynx: 25 Pts + Rebs + Asts

• Ionescu averaged 23.1 points, rebounds, and assists in the regular season and opened the series with just 19 PRA in Game 1.
• A solid 35.0% 3-point shooter for her career coming into the year, the former MVP contender is canning a career-worst 29.5% of her tries in 2026.
• Ionescu’s 11.9% defensive rebounding rate and 7.7% overall boards clip are both the lowest of her WNBA tenure.
• Sabrina is prone to being a bit careless with the ball; her 12.1% scoring turnover percentage is a 41st-percentile benchmark.

Add Sabrina Ionescu + Liberty to cover the spread to your PrizePicks lineup now.

Make Lynx vs. Liberty Game 2 Picks on PrizePicks

Barring a Game 3, the stakes don’t get much higher in the first round than this. Minnesota has the talent to come away with a series-extending triumph on Tuesday night, but doing so will take every bit of effort and execution possible against a tough New York group. 

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Lynx vs. Liberty picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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