The New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun game is set to tip off at 1:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, August 15, with the Liberty entering as 7.5-point favorites on the spread and returning a 1.21x payout to win, via PrizePicks.
The Liberty (21-14) will look to sweep the season series when they make the short trip to Connecticut for the final time in franchise history. New York will look to make it five straight victories against the Sun dating back to last season, with this being the final meeting between the two franchises before Connecticut's relocation to Houston in 2027.
The Sun (8-24) enter Saturday's matchup with the worst record in the Eastern Conference and the second-worst in the entire league. Connecticut has won just once in their last seven games and is on the brink of being eliminated from playoff contention.
Below, we'll break down our Liberty vs. Sun prediction and picks for Saturday's WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Liberty vs. Sun Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, August 15
The Liberty continue to trend in the right direction as the postseason approaches. New York has won five of its last six games heading into Saturday afternoon but has struggled to gain ground in a competitive playoff picture. It now faces a team it has handled fairly comfortably twice this season, winning the first meeting by 31 points and the most recent by 2.
The Sun's offensive struggles remain the defining story of their season. No team scores fewer points per game than Connecticut at 79.3, and it also shoots the lowest percentage on 3-pointers (30.1%) and the second-lowest mark from the field (43.0%).
That inability to score has overshadowed what has otherwise been a respectable defensive season, anchored by one of the league's best rim protectors in C Brittney Griner.
The WNBA legend continues to perform at a high level but arrives questionable for Saturday's matchup with a lingering knee injury that has kept her out of four of the last six games. Connecticut is just 3-11 in games Griner has missed this season.
On the New York side, star G Sabrina Ionescu's availability is also uncertain as she manages a foot injury. Even without Ionescu, the Liberty's high-powered offense should be more than capable of handling a struggling Sun squad.
Connecticut comes into Saturday's game on the back of a 35-point loss to the Dream on Thursday and is averaging just 69 PPG over their last three contests, shooting 37.2% from the field during that stretch. The Liberty, tied for the third-best offensive rating in the league (via WNBA.com), could simply be too potent for a Sun side that appears to be going through the motions.
Liberty vs. Sun Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, August 15
The Liberty enter Saturday’s game as 7.5-point road favorites against the Sun, returning a 1.21x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Liberty vs. Sun game on PrizePicks.
Make your Liberty vs. Sun prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 36 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Liberty vs. Sun Injury Report for Saturday, August 15
Let’s dive into the full Liberty vs. Sun injury report for Saturday, via WNBA.com.
Liberty Injury Report
- F Leonie Fiebich (foot) – OUT
- G Sabrina Ionescu (foot) – Questionable
- F Satou Sabally (head) – OUT
Sun Injury Report
- F Aaliyah Edwards (ankle) – Questionable
- C Brittney Griner (knee) – Questionable
Liberty vs. Sun Prediction on Over/Under – 8/15/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Liberty vs. Sun prediction on Over/Under for Saturday, August 15.
- The Liberty are one of five teams in the league averaging 90 or more points per game and rank fourth in offensive efficiency at 1.084 points per 100 possessions.
- Both meetings this season have gone over the point total, with the teams averaging 175 combined points per game against one another.
- New York ranks second in the league with 62.9% of its games going over. Despite their elite offense, the Liberty's defense has been middle of the pack, leading to high-scoring affairs against other strong offensive teams.
- The Sun rank in the bottom six of over/under records, with 53.1% of their games going over. The under has hit in each of their last three games, with their shooting struggles playing a significant role.
- Connecticut's offensive struggles have resulted in a league-high 59.6% of its points coming from 2-point territory. New York allows the sixth-most points from inside the arc, giving up 45.8 paint points per game.
Lock in your Liberty vs. Sun prediction on PrizePicks before tip-off.
Liberty vs. Sun Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 8/15/26
Here are the top Liberty vs. Sun picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, August 15. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Jonquel Jones and Leila Lacan.
Liberty C Jonquel Jones vs. Sun: 23.5 Pts + Rebs
- Jones is tied for third in the league with 14 double-doubles this season and has recorded one in three of her last four games.
- The All-Star Game MVP was unavailable when these teams met in June but posted 20 combined rebounds and assists in the first meeting back in May.
- Jones ranks 15th in the league, averaging 23.9 combined points and rebounds per game this season—a number that has jumped to 26.4 over her last five outings.
- The Liberty center ranks in the top five in rebounds per game (9.4 RPG). With Griner listed as questionable, there could be even more opportunities on the glass.
Add Jonquel Jones to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Sun G Leila Lacan vs. Liberty: 15.5 Pts + Asts
- Lacan has struggled of late, drawing most of the defensive attention as the Sun's primary perimeter threat. The French international has gone a combined 8 for 22 from the field over her last three games.
- She averages just over 16 combined points and assists per game on the season but has seen that drop to 13 over her last five outings. Lacan has recorded 4 or fewer assists in three straight games heading into today.
- The 22-year-old played in the most recent meeting against the Liberty, finishing with 14 combined points and assists in 26 minutes.
- Lacan reached double figures just twice in her last seven games, averaging exactly 10.0 PPG over that stretch.
Add Leila Lacan to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Liberty vs. Sun Picks on PrizePicks
The Liberty will look to take care of business on the road when they travel to face the Sun on Saturday afternoon in game one of a two-game road trip. Connecticut will hope to send off its Northeast rivals with a memorable upset in the final meeting between the two franchises.
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