The New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx game is set to tip off at 1:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, July 11, televised on ABC. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Lynx enter as 3.5-point favorites on the spread, with a 1.49x payout if they win.
The rematch of the 2024 WNBA Finals highlights the Saturday card as the Liberty (13-9) sit atop the Eastern Conference tied with the Dream and Fever. The Lynx (16-6) are tied with the Aces for the top record in the league after snapping a two-game slide in Wednesday’s 86-80 victory at Connecticut.
Below, we'll break down our Liberty vs. Lynx prediction and picks for Saturday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Liberty vs. Lynx prediction on PrizePicks now!
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Liberty vs. Lynx Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, July 11
New York took care of Minnesota, 99-86, at Barclays Center on July 3, cashing as 2.5-point underdogs. The Lynx scored the first basket of the game and never led again as Minnesota yielded their worst defensive rating of the season (128.6).
According to WNBA.com, the Lynx own the best defensive rating in the league at 99.7, so that performance can be seen as an outlier. The Liberty shot a season-high 58.1% from the floor, led by F Breanna Stewart’s season-high 36 points on 14-of-19 shooting.
New York saw its modest two-game winning streak end in Tuesday’s 88-77 home setback to Dallas. The Wings knocked off the Liberty for the second time this season in Brooklyn as New York was held to 5-of-26 shooting from 3-point range.
Minnesota followed up the loss at New York with its most shocking defeat of the season, falling as 12.5-point home favorites to Connecticut, 90-89. The Lynx played without star rookie G Olivia Miles, who is expected to return today after a two-game absence with a calf injury.
Minnesota avenged its loss to Connecticut with an 86-80 win two nights later but failed to cover as 7.5-point road favorites. The Lynx look to snap a three-game against the spread (ATS) slide today, their longest stretch of non-covers this season.
Liberty vs. Lynx Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, July 11
The Lynx enter Saturday’s game as 3.5-point home favorites against the Liberty, returning a 1.49x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Liberty vs. Lynx game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx -3.5 (1.69x payout)
- Over/Under: 172.5 (1.78x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Liberty 2.53x | Lynx 1.49x
Make your Liberty vs. Lynx prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Liberty vs. Lynx Injury Report for Saturday, July 11
Let’s dive into the full Liberty vs. Lynx injury report for Saturday, July 11, via WNBA.com.
New York Liberty Injury Report
- G Rebecca Allen (nose) - Questionable
- G Pauline Astier (ankle) - Questionable
- F Leonie Fiebich (foot) - OUT
- F Satou Sabally (concussion) - OUT
Minnesota Lynx Injury Report
- F Emma Cechova (knee) - OUT
- F Naphessa Collier (ankle) - OUT
Liberty vs. Lynx Prediction on Winner – 7/11/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Liberty vs. Lynx prediction on the winner for Saturday, July 11, in the WNBA game on ABC.
- New York's offensive rating drop from the win over Minnesota (128.6) to the loss to Dallas (95.1) was the largest this season.
- Minnesota has lost its last two home games to Connecticut and Washington, each as a 12.5-point favorite or higher.
- The Lynx own the highest 3-point percentage in the league at 37.0% and have hit exactly 10 treys in each of the last three games.
- The Liberty hold the highest offensive rating (114.3) and top effective field goal percentage (eFG%) on the road at 57.3%.
- New York has won and covered in all three opportunities as an underdog.
- The Liberty allow the most field goal attempts per game (71.7), and that number jumps to 72.1 on the road.
- The Lynx attempt the second-most shots per game (70.8), while putting up an average of 71.9 shots at home.
- Don’t expect many free throw attempts from Minnesota, who rank last at home in this category at 16.5.
Lock in your Liberty vs. Lynx prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s WNBA game.
Liberty vs. Lynx Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 7/11/26
Here are the top Liberty vs. Lynx picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, July 11. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Breanna Stewart and Olivia Miles.
Liberty F Breanna Stewart vs. Lynx: 27.5 Pts + Rebs
- Stewart has turned it up recently, averaging 30.0 PPG and 9.0 rebounds per appearance in the last three games.
- In the 36-point output against Minnesota, she shot her highest field goal percentage of the season (73.7%) and tied a season-high with a pair of made 3-pointers.
- The former UConn star eclipsed this projection in the last three games but has finished below this mark in three of the past four road contests.
- In the last six games (all against the West), Stewart is putting up 23.8 PPG and 7.8 rebounds per contest.
Add Breanna Stewart to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Lynx G Olivia Miles vs. Liberty: 23.5 Pts + Asts
- The favorite for Rookie of the Year is averaging 18.5 PPG and 4.8 rebounds per game.
- Miles compiled three straight games of at least 20 points before being held to 14 points in the last matchup against New York.
- The ex-TCU standout has struggled from 3-point range recently, shooting 3 of 22 in the last five games.
- Her plus/minus has been better at home (+11.8) than on the road (+8.3), but Miles' usage is down at Target Center (22.7%) compared to the road (26.8%).
Add Olivia Miles to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Your Liberty vs. Lynx Prediction on PrizePicks
New York captured the first meeting with Minnesota at home. Will the Lynx pick up revenge in this afternoon affair?
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