Kent State vs. Sacramento State Prediction, Spread, NCAAF Picks – Friday, October 30

October 30, 2026

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CFB
AP Photo/Al Goldis
Kent State QB Dru DeShields winds up to make a passing attempt vs. Western Michigan.

Friday’s college football slate in Week 9 features three games, concluding with some MAC action as Kent State squares off against Sacramento State at 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2. Ahead of Friday night’s kickoff, the Golden Flashes are solid road favorites over the Hornets, with a 1.28x payout to win on PrizePicks.

Kent State snapped a three-game losing streak by taking down Akron 35-20 in Week 8, improving to 3-5 this season. Sacramento State is reeling right now, losing six consecutive games, with the program’s latest loss being a 34-17 defeat to Ball State in Week 8.

Below, we'll break down our Kent State vs. Sacramento State prediction and picks for Friday’s college football game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks on PrizePicks.

Make your Kent State vs. Sacramento State picks on PrizePicks now!

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Kent State vs. Sacramento State Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for CFB Week 9 – Friday, October 30

Kent State enters Friday’s game as a 7.5-point road favorite against Sacramento State, with a 1.28x payout to win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Kent State vs. Sacramento State game. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Win Spread Total
KENT Golden Flashes 1.28x -7.5 | 1.85x o46.5 | 1.88x
SAC Hornets 3.44x +7.5 | 1.88x u46.5 | 1.85x
Make your Kent State vs. Sacramento State prediction on the spread on PrizePicks.

Stats and data in this article are from PFF, Game on Paper, and Two Deep unless stated otherwise.


Offense has been tough to come by for Kent State, despite QB Dru DeShields returning for his junior season. Of the 138 FBS schools, the Golden Flashes are averaging the third-fewest points per game (11.9).

Along with DeShields being tied for the 16th-most INTs (6) among the 89 college QBs with 200 or more dropbacks in 2026, Kent State ranks in the 19th percentile in EPA/pass (-0.05). The Golden Flashes’ ground game has been even worse, sitting dead last in EPA/rush (-0.25).

With Kent State owning a 3-5 record entering Week 9, they have just the sixth-lowest payout to advance to the MAC Championship (9.09x) on PrizePicks.

Moving the ball has also been a glaring issue for Sacramento State, too, with QB Jackson Sharman leading the offense. Sharman is tied with DeShields for the 16th-most INTs (6) among college QBs with 200 or more dropbacks this season.

The Hornets are currently in the first percentile in EPA/pass (-0.17) and the sixth percentile in EPA/rush (-0.12) through the first eight weeks. Therefore, it’s not surprising that Sac State’s lone win this year came against FCS Mississippi Valley State in Week 1.


Kent State vs. Sacramento State Prediction on Spread – 10/30/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Kent State vs. Sacramento State prediction on the spread, which is set at 7.5 points for Friday, October 30.

  • Although neither offense has been productive, Kent State has scored 26 or more points in its three wins this season.
  • Sacramento State has lost all seven games in which its defense has given up 26 or more points, losing those games by at least 11 points.
  • Both defenses have also been rough this year, but the Golden Flashes do make teams earn it on third down, ranking in the 75th percentile in average third-down distance against (7.5 yards).
  • Not only is the Hornets’ offense in the third percentile in early-down EPA/play (-0.08), but they are in the fifth percentile in late-down success rate (33.9%).
  • While the Golden Flashes are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) this season, the Hornets are 2-6 ATS.
  • Against conference opponents this season, Kent State is 3-1 ATS, while Sacramento State is 0-5 ATS.
Lock in your Kent State vs. Sacramento State prediction on PrizePicks before Friday’s game.

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Make Kent State vs. Sacramento State Picks on PrizePicks

Kent State and Sacramento State both have losing records entering Week 9, and the Hornets are still seeking their first win against a MAC opponent. Even with Sac State hosting its conference foes on Friday night, Kent State is positioned well to win back-to-back games.

Don't wait until kickoff — make your Kent State vs. Sacramento State pick on PrizePicks. Make picks on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, or pick More or Less on player stats for higher payouts!

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Skyler Carlin is an experienced writer with nearly 10 years of experience writing and editing NFL, NBA, MLB, CFB, CBB, & soccer content for FanDuel Research & USA Today. When he's not writing, he enjoys cooking, watching movies, & playing video games.