Kansas vs. Texas Tech Prediction, College Basketball Picks, Spread

Kansas fans celebrate F Darryn Peterson at a college basketball game.
AP Photo/Colin E. Braley

The Kansas Jayhawks (16-5) seek their sixth consecutive victory on Monday with a trip to the Lone Star State.

KU visits the Texas Tech Red Raiders (16-5), who were tripped up at UCF on Saturday, 88-80, snapping a five-game hot streak. 

The Jayhawks overcame a 1-2 start in Big 12 play to win five straight games, capped off by a 90-82 home triumph against BYU on Saturday. 

Let’s look at the Kansas vs. Texas Tech prediction and spread for Monday’s showdown at United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, Texas, tipping off at 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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Kansas vs. Texas Tech Prediction, Spread

The Jayhawks last beat the Red Raiders in 2023, pulling off a sweep of Texas Tech.

Last season, Texas Tech won in Lawrence, 78-73 as 3.5-point underdogs. The Red Raiders are 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in the past three matchups.

Kansas vs. Texas Tech Over/Under, Spread

The Red Raiders enter this matchup as 4.5-point favorites, returning a 1.42x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Jayhawks are road underdogs with a 2.7x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders -4.5
  • Over/Under: 153.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Kansas 2.7x | Texas Tech 1.42x

(Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change)


Kansas vs. Texas Tech Numbers to Know

Here are some stats to know to get you set for Kansas vs. Texas Tech tonight, including insights on our Kansas vs. Texas Tech prediction.

  • During their five-game winning streak, the Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS, including an underdog victory against Iowa State on January 13. 
  • The Red Raiders own a 5-3 ATS mark in Big 12 play. All three non-covers came in the favorite role, including as 4.5-point chalk in Saturday’s defeat at UCF.
  • Texas Tech has struggled as a favorite of more than four points in conference action, failing to cover in its last three opportunities.
  • Tonight marks the second time since 2021 that Texas Tech is favored against Kansas. The Red Raiders routed the Jayhawks, 79-50 in Lubbock as 3.5-point favorites in 2024. 
  • Texas Tech ranks first in Big 12 action in EFG% (58.2%), while Kansas sits third at 56.4%. 
  • The Jayhawks shot a season-high EFG% (67%) in Saturday’s win over BYU, including 11-of-22 from 3-point range.
  • Kansas shot less than 35% from deep in three of four road conference games.
  • The Red Raiders eclipsed the 80-point mark in five consecutive games. Texas Tech scored at least 80 points in six straight outings from December through early January.
  • Texas Tech shoots 42% from 3-point land at home against Big 12 foes, while leading the conference in shooting from downtown.

Kansas vs. Texas Tech CBB Player Picks

Here are three top Kansas vs. Texas Tech picks to target on Monday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by three players: Kansas G Darryn Peterson, Texas Tech F JT Toppin, and Jayhawks G Tre White.

Kansas G Darryn Peterson vs. Texas Tech Projection: 19.5 Points

  • The freshman sensation played only 11 of 21 games, but averages 21.3 PPG.
  • In three of the last four outings, Peterson was held to 18 or fewer points. He shot a solid 8-of-14 from 3-point range the past three outings.
  • The Ohio native posts 20.8 PPG away from Lawrence, although he was limited to 16 points in his last road contest at Colorado on January 20. 
  • The Red Raiders yielded eight 20+ point scorers in eight Big 12 contests.

Texas Tech F JT Toppin vs. Kansas Projection: 22.5 Points

  • Toppin sits third among Big 12 scorers at 22.4 PPG, a four-point increase from last season.
  • In last March’s 5-point victory at Kansas, the junior dropped 21 points in 22 minutes before fouling out. 
  • In each of the past five games, the former New Mexico Lobo racked up at least 22 points. He led the Red Raiders with 27 points on 12-of-17 shooting in Saturday’s defeat at UCF.
  • The Dallas native hasn’t scored less than 23 points in four home conference games. Toppin lit up Houston for 31 points in a 90-86 triumph on January 24, his fifth 30+ point performance.

Kansas G Tre White vs. Texas Tech Projection: 21.5 Pts+Rebs

  • The senior is playing on his fourth team in four seasons (USC, Louisville, Illinois, and Kansas).
  • White owns career-highs in scoring (14.8 PPG) and rebounding (7.2 RPG). 
  • In three of the last four games, the Texas native failed to pass this projection: He was held to 12 points and 6 rebounds against BYU on Saturday.
  • The 6 '7'’ G pulled down double-digit rebounds five times, including 15 boards at Colorado on January 20.

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Make Kansas vs. Texas Tech CBB Picks on PrizePicks

Kansas and Texas Tech seek their seventh conference victory and an opportunity to tie Iowa State for third in the Big 12.

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There are hundreds of player stat projections on the CBB board for every game; just pick at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states!

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about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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