Juventus returns home to the Allianz Stadium with a mountain to climb. They host Galatasaray, needing to overcome a 3-goal deficit to advance in the Champions League.
While Juventus are heavy favorites according to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Turkish side are coming off a 5-2 victory in the first leg and are full of confidence.
The Champions League match between Juventus vs. Galatasaray kicks off at 3:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 25 live on Paramount+.
Below, we’ll break down our Juventus vs. Galatasaray prediction, spread, and Champions League picks for Wednesday afternoon’s match. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.
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Juventus vs. Galatasaray Prediction, Spread, Champions League Picks for 2/25
There have been more than 50 instances in the history of the Champions League where a team lost the first leg of a knockout tie by 3 or more goals. Only four clubs have ever managed to overcome the odds to advance. Juventus hopes to become the fifth.
But they’ll have to do so without numerous key players. FB Juan Cabal is suspended after his red card in the first leg, while Andrea Cambiaso’s yellow card accumulation sees him banned as well. FW Dusan Vlahovic and Arkadiusz Milik also miss out, along with FB Emil Holm.
The depleted Juventus side does welcome ST Jonathan David back after he missed the first leg. He leads an attack that must score at least 3 goals if they hope to force extra time. That will require improving on the 1.78 goals they’ve averaged in Champions League play.
Galatasaray have struggled away from home, but have a cushion to work with. That will enable them to absorb pressure while springing ST Victor Osimhen on the counter-attack. He also leads a press that forces 4.8 turnovers per match in their opponents final third, which led to multiple goals in the first leg.
The visitors face no significant injury concerns, with Osimhen ruled fully fit on Tuesday. Galatasaray have lost by 3 goals just once in their last 27 away fixtures, and will likely absorb pressure and look to find a counter-attacking goal that will solidify their place in the next round.
Juventus have hope. They rank in the top-ten in the competition with 5.78 shots on target per 90 minutes per FBRef. Meanwhile, Galatasaray allows 0.33 goals per shot on target, 13th-most among all teams in the Champions League.
Juventus vs. Galatasaray Spread, Total Goals, Payouts
Juventus enters Wednesday’s match as home favorites, returning a 1.49x payout ($100 entry pays out $149) on PrizePicks Team Picks if the Italian side wins outright.
Galatasaray are road underdogs with a 4.76x ($476 payout on a $100 entry) payout if the Turkish club wins, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Winner Payout: Juventus – 1.49x | Tie – 5.00x | Galatasaray – 4.76x
- Spread: Juventus -1.5 (2.22x Payout)
- Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 2.00x)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.53x | No 2.50x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change. Does not include extra time or penalties.
Juventus vs. Galatasaray Prediction to Win
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Juventus vs. Galatasaray prediction on Wednesday, February 25.
- Galatasaray have been poor on the road in the Champions League this season. Not only have they lost three of their four away fixtures, they failed to score in each of the last two at Monaco and Manchester City.
- Galatasaray have won just once in their last 13 away fixtures across all European competitions.
- Juventus have not won a match since February 1, with four losses and a draw in their last five fixtures.
- The Old Lady has been leaking goals at the back during that span as well. Juventus has conceded multiple goals in each of the last five matches, and have gone six matches without keeping a clean sheet.
- The Turkish club has created 30 big chances in the competition thus far, ranking them tenth among all clubs.
- Among 32 teams in the Champions League, Galatasaray ranks 11th in non-penalty goals allowed at 1.33 per 90 minutes.
- Galatasaray out-shot Juventus 22-7 in the first matchup. That includes a 13-5 advantage in the opening half, prior to the sending off of Juan Cabal.
- Juventus have scored less than 3 goals in 10 of their last 12 home fixtures.
- Both teams have found the back of the net in only one of the last five home matches for Juventus.
Juventus vs. Galatasaray Projected Lineups
Here are the projected Juventus vs. Galatasaray lineups for today's UEFA Champions League match. Lineups are not official.
Juventus Lineup vs. Galatasaray: Projected 3-4-2-1
- Goalkeeper: Michele Di Gregorio
- Defense: Pierre Kalulu, Federico Gatti, Lloyd Kelly
- Midfield: Weston McKennie, Manuel Locatelli, Khephren Thuram-Ulien, Filip Kostic
- Forwards: Chico Conceicao, Jonathan David, Fabio Miretti
Galatasaray Lineup vs. Juventus: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Ugurcan Cakir
- Defense: Roland Sallai, Davinson Sanchez, Abdulkerim Bardakci, Ismail Jakobs
- Midfield: Lucas Torreira, Gabriel Sara, Baris Alper Yilmaz, Yunus Akgun, Noa Lang
- Forwards: Victor Osimhen
Juventus vs. Galatasaray Picks for UEFA Champions League: Wednesday, February 25
Here are three top Juventus vs. Galatasaray picks to target on players for Wednesday, February 25 for PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Victor Osimhen and Jonathan David.
Galatasaray ST Victor Osimhen Projections vs. Juventus: 1.5 SOT (Demon), 0.5 goals (Demon), 2.5 Shots
- Through seven Champions League appearances this campaign, Victor Osimhen is averaging 4.14 shots per match and 4.48 shots per 90 minutes.
- Osimhen has been extremely accurate. According to FBRef, he’s put 19 of his 29 efforts on target, with multiple efforts on frame in four of his seven appearances. He’s averaged 2.92 shots on target per 90 minutes.
- While he has not scored in his last four Champions League appearances, his 6 goals are 2 shy of the club record for any single season in the competition.
- In the first leg against Juventus, Osimhen put 1 shot on target in 3 attempts.
- So far in the Champions League, Juventus allows 15.33 shots per 90 minutes, 11th-most in the competition, and 5.33 shots on target per 90.
Juventus ST Jonathan David Projections vs. Galatasaray: 0.5 Fouls (Goblin), 0.5 Goal + Assist (Goblin)
- Jonathan David ranks in the 96th percentile of forwards in the competition with 1.11 expected goals per 90 minutes played per Fotmob’s performance metrics.
- Through eight matches in the competition, David averages 1.09 fouls per 90 minutes.
- With Juventus forced to chase the game from the start, the striker could be tasked with being more aggressive in leading a press that already averages the fifth-most fouls per match of any team in the competition.
- The French striker has either scored or assisted in each of his last three Champions League starts.
Galatasaray GK Ugurcan Cakir Projections vs. Juventus: 2.5 Saves (Goblin), 1.5 Goals Allowed (Goblin)
- Juventus are averaging 18.40 shots and 6.5 shots on target per home match in the Champions League this season. That number could increase given the need to overcome a 3-goal deficit.
- Ugurcan Cakir has averaged 3 saves per match over the course of the competition. He’s stopped 3 or more shots in six of his nine matches.
- Since allowing 5 goals in the opening match against Eintracht Frankfurt, the Turkish keeper has allowed just 8 goals over eight matches. However, he’s allowed a pair of goals in each of his last two outings.
- Cakir is allowing only 1.40 goals per 90 minutes in the Champions League, ranking ninth among all goalkeepers.
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Make Your Juventus vs. Galatasaray Champions League Picks on PrizePicks
Juventus seek to make history and become just the fifth team in Champions League history to overcome a 3-goal deficit to advance in the knockout stages. Whether they can do so without conceding to Galatasaray will be the important question.
Juventus vs. Galatasaray is just one of the four Champions League matches where fans can get in on the action on PrizePicks on Wednesday.
You can make your UEFA Champions League picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued UEFA Champions League predictions, picks, and analysis until a champion is crowned.
