The mighty San Siro becomes the focus of attention today as Inter Milan look to overcome a 3-1 aggregate deficit in the second leg of their Champions League tie with Bodo/Glimt.
The 3:00 p.m. ET match — which can be viewed on Paramount+ — sees the Nerazzurri needing to win by at least 2 goals while not getting hurt on the counter. Getting a goal could be enough to send Bodo/Glimt to the Round of 16 for the first time ever.
Below, we’ll break down our Inter Milan vs. Bodo/Glimt prediction and picks for Tuesday afternoon’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.
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Inter Milan vs. Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Picks
It’s been seven years since a team has overcome a 2-goal deficit after the first leg of a Champions League tie. And Inter Milan have only won six times by 2 or more goals in 52 knockout matches in their history.
If they’re to reverse those trends, they’ll have to do so without two of their most important players. ST Lautaro Martinez suffered a calf injury in the first leg and is out a month, while MF Hakan Calhanoglu isn’t fit enough to return to the lineup. But Federico Dimarco, perhaps the Nerazzurri’s most influential player, will return to the LWB role.
Dimarco will be responsible for breaking down a Bodo/Glimt defense that is desperate to protect their 2-goal advantage. According to WhoScored, only two teams in the competition have attacked down their left flank more than Inter, with 40% of their attacking moves funneling through Dimarco.
Set pieces are where Calhanoglu’s absence could be key. Inter’s 15 goals from corners are the most of any team in Europe’s Top 5 leagues this season, scoring 4 in this competition. But Bodo/Glimt have allowed just 1 set piece goal in their nine matches, with GK Nikita Haikin controlling his penalty area with authority.
Inter have the better side on paper, as well as the more recognizable names. But Bodo/Glimt’s last three Champions League outings have seen them defeat Manchester City, Atletico Madrid, and Inter. Staying compact and finding a goal on the counter will be their gameplan.
Inter Milan vs. Bodo/Glimt Spread, Total Goals, Payouts
Inter Milan enters Tuesday’s game as massive home favorites, returning a 1.23x payout ($100 entry pays out $123) on PrizePicks Team Picks if the Italian giants win outright.
Bodo/Glimt are significant road underdogs with a 8.33x ($833 payout on a $100 entry) payout if the Norwegian side wins, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Winner Payout: Inter Milan – 1.23x | Tie – 6.66x | Bodo/Glimt – 8.33x
- Spread: Inter Milan -1.5 (1.61x Payout)
- Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 1.75x)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.63x | No 2.22x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change. Does not include extra time or penalties.
Inter Milan vs. Bodo/Glimt Prediction to Win
Here are some facts and figure to help you make your Inter Milan vs. Bodo/Glimt prediction on Tuesday, February 24.
- Inter Milan have lost four of their last five matches in the Champions League.
- Bodo/Glimt have been one of the top overperformers at the defensive end in the competition, having conceded just 16 goals in nine matches despite registering a 22.16 xGA.
- Inter Milan have scored 11 goals in their last three home matches in all competitions.
- Bodo/Glimt have played just four competitive matches since the start of December, all against major clubs, and they’ve gone unbeaten with three wins and a draw.
- The last five matches for Bodo/Glimt in the Champions League have seen more than 2.5 goals with both teams finding the back of the net.
- Only once in Inter’s last seven home matches have both teams failed to score.
- Inter ranks seventh in the competition with 55.7% average possession.
- Only three clubs have missed more big chances than Inter, who have 26 big chances missed through nine matches.
- Bodo/Glimt lead all teams in the competition in saves per match, and rank third with 28.9 clearances per fixture.
Inter Milan vs. Bodo/Glimt Projected Lineups
Here are the projected Inter Milan vs. Bodo/Glimt lineups for today's Champions League match. Lineups are not official.
Inter Milan Lineup vs. Bodo/Glimt: Projected 3-5-2
- Goalkeeper: Yann Sommer
- Defense: Yann Aurel Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni
- Midfield: Luis Henrique, Nicolo Barella, Piotr Zielinski, Petar Sucic, Federico Dimarco
- Forwards: Francesco Pio Esposito, Marcus Thuram
Bodo/Glimt Lineup vs. Inter Milan: Projected 4-3-3
- Goalkeeper: Nikita Haikin
- Defense: Frederick Sjovold, Odin Luras Bjortuft, Jostein Gundersen, Fredrick Andre Bjorkan
- Midfield: Hakon Evjen, Patrick Berg, Sondre Brunstad Fet
- Forwards: Ole Blomberg, Kasper Waarts Hogh, Jens Petter Hauge
Inter Milan vs. Bodo/Glimt Picks for Champions League: Tuesday, February 24
Here are three top Inter Milan vs. Bodo/Glimt picks to target on players for Tuesday, February 24 for PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Federico Dimarco and Kasper Hogh.
Inter Milan M Federico Dimarco Projections vs. Bodo/Glimt: 0.5 Shots On Target (Goblin), 9.5 Crosses (More/Less), 2.5 shots (Goblin)
- Inter’s 3-5-2 setup is predicated on the wingbacks getting heavily involved, idea for Dimarco's style. He averages 49.41 passes per 90 minutes in the Champions League, and leads Inter Milan in chances created.
- He averages 7.41 crosses per 90, ranking him in the 99th percentile of the competition according to FootyStats.
- As one of Inter’s dedicated corner takers, he’s able to notch crosses from both open play and set pieces.
- The LWB is averaging 2.85 shots per 90 minutes with an average of 1.28 finding the target.
- Dimarco is coming off a Man Of The Match performance against Lecce on Saturday where he put 2 of his 5 shots on target, and sent 15 crosses into the penalty area, oneofwhichan assist.
F Kasper Hogh Projections vs. Inter Milan: 0.5 Goal + Assist (Demon), 1.5 shots (More/Less)
- There are few players in the Champions League in finer form than Kasper Hogh. The Bodo/Glimt striker has bagged 4 goals and 2 assists in his last three matches, scoring against powers Inter Milan, Atletico Madrid, and Manchester City.
- Hogh has out-performed his expected goals and assists (xG + xA) in the competition, with 5 goals and 2 assists coming from a 5.0 xG + xA..
- Through nine matches, the Bodo/Glimt forward has averaged 3.14 shots and 1.44 shots on target per 90 minutes. This has come with his side ranking 21st in possession at just 48.7% of the ball.
- Hogh has posted a top speed of 20.7 mph, landing him in the 80th percentile. That could cause problems for Inter as they throw bodies forward looking to erase their 2-goal deficit.
G Nikita Haikin vs. Inter Milan Projections: 3.5 Saves (Goblin), 3.5 Goals Allowed (Demon)
- With Inter needing to win by at least 2 goals, they’ll be on the front foot. But they’ll have to find a way past Nikita Haikin, whose 76.5% save rate ranks fifth among all goalkeepers in the Champions League.
- Haikin has averaged 5.36 saves per 90 minutes, stopping 59 of the 77 efforts on target he’s faced. He stopped 3 shots in the first leg against Inter, and has averaged 6.6 saves per match in his last five.
- Despite the high volume of shots against, and the fact that Bodo/Glimt has yet to keep a clean sheet in the competition, Haikin has kept his side in matches. He’s conceded a total of 5 goals in the last four matches, and 16 in total through nine matches.
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Make Your Inter Milan vs. Bodo/Glimt Champions League Picks on PrizePicks
Inter Milan must find a way to break down the pesky Bodo/Glimt defense while limiting the counter-attacking threat posed by the likes of Hogh.
Inter Milan vs. Bodo is just one of the matches where fans can get in on the UEFA Champions League action on PrizePicks on Tuesday.
You can make your Champions League picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued Champions League predictions, picks, and analysis until a champion is crowned.
