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Hawks vs. Hornets Prediction, Spread: Knueppel, McCollum From the Arc?

Hornets G-F Kon Knueppel lays up a basketball in an NBA game.
AP Photo/Krista Jasso

A couple of young, scrappy Eastern Conference teams meet for the fourth time this season, when the Atlanta Hawks (26-29) roll into the Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets (25-29). The Hornets hold a 2-1 season series lead so far, and the Hawks will look to even it up this Tuesday.

Hawks vs. Hornets tips off at 7:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday from Charlotte, NC., live on NBA League Pass.

Below, we’ll break down our Hawks vs. Hornets prediction and spread for PrizePicks. Use PrizePicks NBA to make picks on player projections and win real money if you’re right.

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Hawks vs. Hornets Prediction, Spread

The Hawks have had some troubling defensive performances in recent weeks, culminating in allowing 81 points in the first half of their last outing against the Timberwolves. The Hawks allowed 138 points in that game, marking the fourth time they have allowed more than 130 points since the calendar turned to 2026.

In a game marred by the NBA fight of the year, the Hornets saw their nine-game win streak snapped at the hands of the Detroit Pistons on Monday. The ramifications of that fight are still playing out, but we will surely see C Moussa Diabate and PF Miles Bridges watching multiple games from the sideline. It has still been an impressive run for the Hornets, who are showing a ton of promise for their future, led by standout rookie SF Kon Knueppel and SG Brandon Miller.

“Yes” on Kon Knueppel to win NBA Rookie of the Year is currently returning a 4.76x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks


Hawks vs. Hornets Over/Under, Spread

The Hornets enter Wednesday’s game as 3.5-point home favorites, returning a 1.44x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Hawks are road underdogs with a 2.56x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Charlotte Hornets -3.5 (1.66x payout)
  • Over/Under: 231.5 (1.81x payout on over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Hawks 2.56x | Hornets 1.44x

Team Picks payouts are live as of publishing and are subject to change.


Hawks vs. Hornets Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Hawks vs. Hornets injury report for Wednesday, via NBA.com.

Hawks Injury Report

  • SF Dyson Daniels (Ankle): Questionable
  • PF Jalen Johnson (Knee): Questionable
  • SF Zaccharie Risacher (Quad): Questionable
  • SF Jonathan Kuminga (Knee): OUT

Hornets Injury Report

  • SG Liam McNeeley (Ankle): OUT

Hawks vs. Hornets Prediction on Spread

Here are some stats to help you make your Hawks vs. Hornets prediction on the spread today.

  • Charlotte is 32-22-0 (59.3%) against the spread (ATS) this season, the second-best mark in the league. On average, they cover the spread by 5.4 points, 2.6 more than any other team.
  • Atlanta is 26-29-0 (47.3%) ATS this season.
  • Despite having the 19th-best record in the NBA, the Hornets have the 12th-best net rating. This suggests that more positive regression could be in their future.
  • The Hornets' biggest advantage should come on the glass. Atlanta is giving up 46.8 rebounds per game, fifth-most. Charlotte has a 53.8% rebound percentage, the second-best record in the NBA behind only the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Hawks vs. Hornets NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today

Here are two of the top Hawks vs. Hornets picks to consider for PrizePicks today. Player projections via the PrizePicks real-money NBA game.

Hornets G-F Kon Knueppel vs. Hawks Projection: 30.5 Pts+Reb+Asts

  • This is a massive up-in-pace game for the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets rank 25th in the NBA in pace, while the Hawks rank second, according to NBA.com.
  • Atlanta’s defense has given up 45.8 rebounds (25th) and 27.5 assists (23rd) per game.
  • Knueppel is averaging .6 more rebounds per game and .3 more assists per game at home this season.
  • Atlanta is allowing 118.8 points per game, sixth-most in the NBA. 

Hawks SG CJ McCollum vs. Hornets Projection: 26.5 Pts+Reb+Asts

  • McCollum is coming off a massive 38-point outing vs. the Timberwolves. While impressive, this could also lead to an inflated number. 
  • This outing also came without both SF Jaylen Johnson and SF Dyson Daniels in the lineup, both of whom are questionable for tonight. If even one of them suits up, McCollum’s role should decrease slightly.
  • Since joining the Hawks, CJM has only exceeded this number in six of his 14 games (42.8%).
  • The Hornets defense has smothered counting stats all season. They are only allowing 37.7 rebounds (first) and 24.7 assists (fifth) per game.
  • McCollum is averaging 3.8 points per game less on the road this season. He is also averaging 0.7 fewer rebounds and 0.3 fewer assists.

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Make Hawks vs. Hornets NBA Picks on PrizePicks

The Hornets will look to start another winning streak tonight at home vs the Atlanta Hawks.

Hawks vs. Hornets picks aren’t the only way hoops fans can get in on the daily NBA action.

You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states. 

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Adi Narang is a professional sports bettor and New York University graduate in Sports Management. A lifelong Denver sports fan, he’s spent over a decade applying data-driven analysis to trends, pricing, and game-level predictions. He’s always up for a sports conversation — from a Nikola Jokić GOAT debate to Korean Baseball batting orders.

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