A new week of NBA action kicks off on Monday, and there are several intriguing matchups for fans to choose from. One of the later bouts, Hawks vs. Thunder (8:00 p.m. ET), is a big-time East vs. West showdown between conferences.
With a slew of injuries and inconsistent contributions, Atlanta finds itself just 15-18 to start the year and is clinging to a play-in spot in the Eastern Conference. Oklahoma City may be 6-4 in its last 10 games, but the defending champs still boast the best record in the sport.
Below, we’ll break down a Hawks vs. Thunder prediction and picks to consider for Monday night’s game. Use PrizePicks NBA to make player picks and win money if you’re right.
Hawks vs. Thunder Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Monday marks the 147th all-time meeting between the Hawks and Thunder in the regular season. With Oklahoma City’s advantage being a narrow one at 74-72, there’s a chance for the Hawks to close the gap almost entirely in this outing.
On the injury front, the Hawks figure to be shorthanded. Star F Jalen Johnson and big man Kristaps Porzingis, both dealing with illnesses, are out. For Oklahoma City, there aren’t any major injuries to report regarding key rotation players.
Hawks vs. Thunder Over/Under, Spread
The Hawks enter Monday’s game as 15.5-point road underdogs, returning a 6.66x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Thunder are home favorites with a 1.07x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -15.5
- Over/Under: 234.5
- Game Winner Payout: Hawks 6.66x | Thunder 1.07x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Hawks vs. Thunder Prediction on Over/Under
Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Hawks vs. Thunder.
- The Hawks own a 19-14 record on the over this year, good for sixth-best in the sport. The Thunder aren’t too far behind at a respectable 16-16.
- Atlanta leads the NBA in assists per game (31) and is fifth in fastbreak points (17.8) and paint scoring (52.8) while being 11th in overall scoring (118.8).
- Oklahoma City produces the second-most points per night (121.5) and has basketball’s best average scoring margin at +14.3.
- Both teams are in the upper half of the league in pace. Oklahoma City’s 101.21 mark is 13th, with Atlanta’s 103.02 figure being fourth.
Hawks vs. Thunder NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today
Here are three top Hawks vs. Thunder picks to target on Monday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by PG Trae Young, G-F Dyson Daniels, and PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
Hawks PG Trae Young vs. Thunder Projection: 30.5 Pts + Asts
- Since returning from injury, Young averages 30.8 combined points and assists. He’s blown past that mark in three of five contests.
- Young’s 54.1% free throw rate is by far the best share of his illustrious career.
- The star floor general has an assist rate of 45.4% this year. It’s his sixth time in eight seasons having a mark of 45% or more.
- Per databallr, Young’s 22.0 potential assists per 100 put him in the 91st percentile.
Hawks G-F Dyson Daniels vs. Thunder Projection: 25.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Through 32 games, Daniels averages a combined 23.7 points, rebounds, and assists. In his last six, that number is 26.2.
- Despite shooting a career-worst 13.0% (yes, that’s right) on 3-pointers, Daniels remains effective at the rim (70.5%).
- Daniels rebounds 8% of his own misses and 11.8% of misses on defense, putting him in the 93rd and 74th percentiles, respectively.
- The “Great Barrier Thief” has a 22.2% assist rate, blowing away his previous personal best of 17.9% from last season.
Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Hawks Projection: 30.5 Points
- SGA is pouring in an even 32.0 points per game this year, even in just 33.3 minutes a night and on 2.2 fewer shot attempts than 2024.
- The reigning MVP is converting on a career-high share of field goals (55.6%) and 3-pointers (41.9%).
- Gilgeous-Alexander is a 99th-percentile player in shot usage (33.1), true shooting (67.7%), and relative true shooting (+9.8%), via NBARAPM.
- According to FantasyPros, the Hawks allow the sixth-most PPG to the PG position at 27.12.
Make Hawks vs. Thunder Picks on PrizePicks
Hawks vs. Thunder isn’t the only avenue basketball fans have to make NBA picks. With PrizePicks, you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right.
Just choose players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit.
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