Georgia vs. Alabama Prediction, Picks for SEC Championship

Alabama QB Ty Simpson throws a football in a CFB game.
AP Photo/Colin Hubbard

Alabama and Georgia, two top-10 teams in contention for the College Football Playoff, meet for the SEC title for the fifth time in the last 14 SEC Championship games. Georgia, currently projected in the top-four of the CFP bracket with a first round bye, has one loss this season, to this same Alabama team.

Alabama, with two losses on the season, is projected in the CFP field, but a win would make that automatic. The SEC Championship game is set for 4:00 p.m. ET Saturday on ABC.

The Crimson Tide took down the Bulldogs in this season's first matchup, 24-21, in Athens.

We'll give you our Saturday Alabama vs. Georgia SEC Championship prediction and CFB picks for PrizePicks, including Georgia QB Gunner Stockton, RB Nate Frazier, and Alabama QB Ty Simpson player picks for PrizePicks real money college football game.

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Georgia vs. Alabama Prediction, Picks for SEC Championship

Alabama and Georgia, who have combined for the last five and 10 of the last 11 SEC titles, meet for the 76th time on Saturday. Alabama has won all four previous SEC Championship tilts with Georgia (‘12, ‘18, ‘21, ‘23). The two teams have also met in the National Championship twice, with Alabama winning the title in 2017 and Georgia in 2021. 

Alabama has an overall 45-26-4 series advantage over Georgia, including wins in the last three matchups. 


Georgia enters the SEC Championship game as a 2.5-point favorite, returning a 1.69x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.

Alabama is the underdog with a 2.08 payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Spread: Georgia Bulldog -2.5

Total: 47.5

Game Winner Payout: Georgia 1.69 | Alabama 2.08x


Georgia Bulldogs Preview

  • Georgia is playing in its fifth straight and 13th overall SEC Championship game. The Bulldogs are 5-7 in the SEC title game, having won it in 2002, 2005, 2017, 2022, 2024. 
  • The Bulldogs enter with the 12th-best scoring defense in the nation (third in SEC) at 16.7 PPG allowed. Their total defense is 13th in the nation at 290.8 total yards. 
  • The Bulldogs’ strongest unit has been their rush defense, which ranks sixth in the country (second in the SEC), holding opponents to 86.1 rush yards per game. 
  • On the offensive side, Georgia is 35th in scoring (35.2 PPG) and 28th in rushing offense (190.4).

Alabama Crimson Tide Preview

  • Alabama has more SEC Championship appearances (16) and wins (11) than any team in the conference. 
  • Starting in 2008 (head coach Nick Saban's second season), the Tide have played in 11 of the past 18 SEC title games. 
  • Alabama’s defense is 11th in the nation (second in SEC) in scoring defense (16.5) and eighth in pass defense (158.3). 
  • On the offensive side, the Tide are 18th in passing (278.3 pass yards), but 104th in rushing (126.2 rush yards). 

Georgia vs. Alabama Prediction, Picks for SEC Championship

Here are the player picks to target in PrizePicks real money college football game and in CFB DFS, including Stockton and Simpson player picks for PrizePicks real money college football game.

Georgia QB Gunner Stockton Projection vs. Alabama: 195.5 Passing Yards 

  • Georgia QB Gunner Stockton, who took over for the departing Carson Beck, has hit 230+ yards in only three of his 12 games this season. 
  • Stockton’s 70.2 completion percentage is ninth in the nation and second in the SEC.
  • The Georgia QB is also a threat on the ground, rushing for 25+ yards in eight of 12 games, with 8 rushing TDs, more than anyone else on the roster. 
  • The juniors's 151.96 passer rating is 26th in the nation and fifth in the SEC.

Georgia RB Nate Frazier Projection vs. Alabama: 61.5 Rush Yards

  • Georgia RB Nate Frazier has rushed for 50+ yards in four straight games, averaging 103.8 yards per game over those four games. 
  • Frazier ran for 108 yards last week against Georgia Tech, his third career 100+ yard game and second this season.
  • The Georgia back has 809 yards on the season, eighth most in the SEC.
  • Frazier was not the lead back in the team’s first meeting, only getting four carries for 30 yards.  

Alabama QB Ty Simpson Projection vs. Georgia: 250.5 Passing Yards

  • After throwing for 200+ yards in each of the first 10 games of the season, Alabama QB Ty Simpson has failed to reach 200 in the last two games. 
  • Simpson started the season with eight straight multi-TD passing games. The next three games, he totaled 2 passing TDs before throwing 3 last week , including the game-winner.at AuburnS
  • The 6'1", 215-pounder tossed 4 INT on the season, second-fewest of any starting QB in the SEC. However, 3 of those 4 picks have come in the last three games.
  • In the September 27th game at Georgia, Simpson threw for 276 yards and 2 TDs and added a rushing TD.
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Make CFB Picks on PrizePicks

Georgia and Alabama, the two best teams in the SEC over the last decade, meet for the second time this season and fifth time in the SEC Championship game. The Bulldogs are firmly in the CFP field but need a win to potentially get a first round bye, while the 9th-ranked Tide need a win to guarantee themselves a spot. 

No matter what your take on this Saturday evening’s matchup is, you can win real money with your Georgia vs. Alabama SEC Championship predictions on PrizePicks while you watch.

Simply pick your players — from Stockton to Simpson, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and win cash when you're right. It's that easy.


Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

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about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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