Georgia Tech vs. Stanford Prediction, Spread, NCAAF Picks – Saturday, September 26

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (1-2) travel across the country to take on the Stanford Cardinal (1-2) in an ACC matchup at 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. According to PrizePicks, Georgia Tech is a 2.5-point favorite on the spread.

Both teams enter Saturday night off opposite results, with Georgia Tech coming off a dominant 44-11 win over Mercer, while Stanford was blown out 35-7 by Duke in Week 3.

Below, we'll break down our Georgia Tech vs. Stanford prediction and picks for Saturday's CFB game in Week 4, including the spread for PrizePicks.

Make your Georgia Tech vs. Stanford picks on PrizePicks now!

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Georgia Tech vs. Stanford Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, September 26

The Yellow Jackets opened the season with a 14-13 loss to Colorado, then lost 45-24 to Tennessee in Week 2. They bounced back in a big way against Mercer, piling up 405 total yards and scoring 44 points.

Perhaps the biggest development from that game was QB Alberto Mendoza. The transfer quarterback set career highs with 249 passing yards and 3 TDs while completing 15 of 21 passes.

Mendoza has now thrown for 707 yards through three games, completing 69.5% of his passes. He's also averaged 7.5 yards per attempt despite throwing only 2 TDs through the first two games.

This Georgia Tech program's identity recently has centered on running the football. However, the passing game has been far more explosive this season. The Yellow Jackets are averaging 235.7 passing yards per game compared to just 114.0 rushing yards per contest.

RB Justice Haynes has still been the offense's centerpiece, though. The Michigan transfer has rushed for 286 yards and 3 TDs on 55 carries while adding another 66 receiving yards and 2 receiving TDs.

The Cardinal opened the season with an impressive 37-27 victory over Hawaii before getting crushed 45-6 by Miami and 35-7 by Duke in their last two games.

Stanford's offense has completely disappeared against Power Four competition. The Cardinal have scored just 13 total points in their last two games and failed to reach 300 total yards in either contest.

QB Davis Warren has been respectable statistically, throwing for 675 yards and 2 TDs without an INT through three games. However, Stanford has struggled to create explosive plays, and Warren is averaging only 6.3 yards per attempt.

Defensively, Stanford ranks 132nd nationally in EPA per play allowed, 128th in havoc rate, and 122nd in rushing success rate allowed, per Game on Paper. Duke just torched this defense for 470 total yards and 6.6 yards per play.

Georgia Tech vs. Stanford Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, September 26

Georgia Tech enters Saturday's game as 2.5-point favorites against Stanford via PrizePicks.

Here are the full payouts for Georgia Tech vs. Stanford on PrizePicks.

Make your Georgia Tech vs. Stanford prediction on the spread on PrizePicks.

PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Georgia Tech vs. Stanford Prediction on Spread – 9/26/26

Here are the key stats and predictions behind our Georgia Tech vs. Stanford prediction on the spread for Saturday, September 26.

• Georgia Tech has the much better efficiency profile. The Yellow Jackets rank 44th nationally in adjusted EPA per play at +0.13, compared to Stanford at 59th. Georgia Tech also has a 47.1% offensive success rate compared to Stanford's 39.0%.
• Mendoza could build off his strong showing last week against a Stanford defense that is allowing a massive +0.34 EPA/pass (17th percentile).
• This could also be the game where Georgia Tech’s run offense really gets going against Stanford's poor run defense. The Cardinal rank 122nd nationally in rushing success rate allowed (12th percentile) and just surrendered 268 rushing yards to Duke.
• Stanford produced only 237 yards on 4.1 yards per play against Duke, scoring just 7 points.
• Georgia Tech's pass defense will not make the Cardinals' life easier either. The Yellow Jackets rank sixth nationally in passing success rate allowed at 31.4%, while Stanford's passing offense ranks 106th in success rate.
• The Yellow Jackets have been much better on third downs defensively, allowing opponents to convert at 52.9%, while Stanford's offense converts just 33.3% of its third downs.
• Ultimately, Georgia Tech has the clearer path to moving the football. The Yellow Jackets can attack Stanford's 115th-ranked pass defense with Mendoza and its 122nd-ranked run defense with Haynes. Stanford's offense has to overcome a Georgia Tech secondary that has been excellent by success-rate standards.

Lock in your Georgia Tech vs. Stanford prediction on PrizePicks before kickoff.

Georgia Tech vs. Stanford Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 9/26/26

Here are the top Georgia Tech vs. Stanford picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, September 26. Today's CFB picks for PrizePicks include Alberto Mendoza and Davis Warren.

Georgia Tech QB Alberto Mendoza vs. Stanford: 220.5 Pass Yards

• Mendoza averages 235.7 passing yards per game, about 15 more than this current projection.
• The freshman transfer has been highly efficient, completing 69.5% of his passes, showing that his passing production hasn't been built solely on high-volume, low-efficiency throws.
• Stanford is allowing opponents to complete 67.9% of their passes and has surrendered 303.0 passing yards per game through three games.
• He has surpassed this projection in all three of his games so far; Mendoza threw for 237 yards vs. Colorado, 221 vs. Tennessee, and then exploded for 249 yards and 3 TDs vs. Mercer.
• This matchup is excellent vs. a Stanford defense that ranks 115th nationally in defensive EPA (+0.34).
• Listed as short road favorites, the game script is conducive to Mendoza and the Yellow Jackets remaining aggressive with the pass for the entire game.

Add Alberto Mendoza to your PrizePicks lineup now.

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Stanford QB Davis Warren vs. Georgia Tech: 214.5 Pass Yards

• Warren is averaging 225.0 passing yards per game, slightly above this projection, but this passing game has completely cratered against its two Power Four opponents. Warren threw for only 166 yards vs. Miami and 180 vs. Duke.
• His efficiency has also been modest at best. Warren is averaging only 6.3 yards per attempt, which makes it difficult to reach 217 yards without a substantial increase in passing volume.
• That volume doesn’t seem likely against Georgia Tech, as the Yellow Jackets defense has operated as a major run funnel thus far. Stanford may have no reason to stop running RB Micah Ford against a defense ranks 112th nationally in EPA/rush (19th percentile).
• Georgia Tech's pass defense has been elite; the Yellow Jackets sit sixth nationally in passing success rate allowed (31.4%).

Add Davis Warren to your PrizePicks lineup now.

Make Georgia Tech vs. Stanford Picks on PrizePicks

College football Week 4 continues Saturday night, and we have an interesting ACC matchup on our hands, with Georgia Tech traveling across the country to take on Stanford in a game between 1-2 teams.

Don't wait until kickoff — make your Georgia Tech vs. Stanford picks on PrizePicks. There is a wide variety of player stat projections on the CFB board, so you can make predictions on yards, touchdowns, and more! Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in on your predictions if you're right.

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Keep it here with the Playbook for continued CFB picks, predictions, futures, and more as we jump into 2026.