France and Spain meet in the semifinals of yet another major tournament, with Spain having eliminated Les Bleus at Euro 2024 and again in last summer's UEFA Nations League. The two European giants now face off in the 2026 World Cup semifinals on Tuesday.
The two sides meet this afternoon at 3 p.m. ET at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. France is the clear favorite on PrizePicks Team Picks, returning a 1.58x payout and a 59% implied probability to advance. The winner faces the victor of England vs. Argentina at the World Cup final on Sunday, while losers will contest the third-place match on Saturday.
Below, we'll break down some France vs. Spain picks and predictions for the World Cup semifinals, highlighting top projections on PrizePicks.
Make your France and Spain picks for the World Cup Semifinals on PrizePicks now!
{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
France vs. Spain Picks, Player Stats to Know for World Cup Semifinals Today – Tuesday, July 14
Today's match features world-class talent on both sides and could promise to be another compelling chapter in the France vs. Spain rivalry. Tuesday is just the second World Cup meeting between these nations who have built up plenty of history in major competitions recently.
La Roja will look to make it three straight victories over Les Bleus and return to the World Cup final for the first time since winning the tournament in 2010.
Here are some top picks to consider for France vs. Spain in the World Cup semifinals.
Spain RW Lamine Yamal vs. France: 3.5 Shots
- Despite a lack of goal contributions, Lamine Yamal has had a strong attacking output throughout his debut World Cup. The 19-year-old leads Spain in shots per game and has had a major uptick during the knockout rounds.
- Yamal has taken 15 shots across his first three World Cup knockout matches. The teenage phenom has not shied away from trying his luck despite his 1 goal back on Matchday 2 of the group stage.
- The Barcelona superstar has taken just over 27% of Spain’s shots during the three knockout games. France and Spain are tied for the most shots per game of the four remaining teams, each averaging 18.3 in six matches.
- Yamal has combined for 8 shots across his two career matches vs. France leading up to today. The then-17-year-old had 5 shots and 2 goals in his most recent game against Les Bleus.
- France’s defense has limited its opponents to just 6 shots per game in the knockout rounds. Yamal and Spain may pose the biggest challenge to GK Mike Maignan and the French backline.
Combine Lamine Yamal + Spain World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.
France RW/CAM Ousmane Dembélé vs. Spain: 35.5 Passes Attempted
- Ousmane Dembélé has thrived in the dynamic role he’s played at the 2026 World Cup, which football fans aren't accustomed to seeing him in. The reigning Ballon d’Or winner has shifted between the midfield and the right wing to accommodate France’s wealth of attacking talent.
- Dembélé ranks second among all French attackers in passes attempted, with 238 in his six appearances. The PSG superstar is averaging 39.67 passes attempted, having surpassed 36 in every match following the opener.
- The 29-year-old has failed to reach 36 passes attempted in his last two meetings with Spain, playing under 80 minutes in both matches.
- Dembélé leads the squad with 29 crosses attempted at the tournament at 17% accuracy. Normally known for his goal-scoring prowess, Dembélé ranks second on the squad in xA (1.51) with 2 assists at the World Cup.
Combine Ousmane Dembele + France World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.
{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
France RW Michael Olise vs. Spain: 2 Shots
- Michael Olise made his World Cup debut following a breakout season at Bayern Munich. The 24-year-old has failed to find the back of the net but has been effective as a playmaker thus far.
- The World Cup’s leader in assists hasn't been shy about taking his chances, ranking second among French players in shots per game.
- The Bayern Munich attacker is averaging 2.8 shots and has taken 9 shots in total across his first three World Cup knockout-round matches.
- Olise has had 2+ shots in all six of his appearances in the competition. The left-footed maestro had 1 shot in 63 minutes played against Spain in the UEFA Nations League semifinals last summer.
- Since making his senior debut for France in 2024, Olise has averaged a perfect 3 shots per game across his 23 appearances for his country.
Combine Michael Olise + France World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.
Spain GK Unai Simón vs. France: 3.5 Goalie Saves
- Unai Simón has had little to do during Spain’s World Cup run this summer. The 29-year-old is averaging just 1.2 saves per game and has conceded 1 goal in six matches.
- Spain’s defense has limited shots on Simón's net but now faces its greatest challenge with Les Bleus fielding one of the most dangerous attacks in the world.
- France averages more shots on target (7.8) than any other team in the competition, has created the most big chances (19), and has scored the second-most goals (16).
- Keepers are averaging 6.33 saves vs. France across the three knockout-round games leading up to the semifinals.
- Simón is saving 88% of all shots faced to this point. If the Athletic Club goalkeeper can continue saving at this rate, 3.5 saves against France may be within reach.
Combine Unai Simón + Spain World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.
Make France vs. Spain Picks for World Cup Semifinals on PrizePicks
Two of Europe's finest meet in a heavyweight clash for a place in the 2026 World Cup final. Can France finally get the better of La Roja in a knockout match, or will Spain upset Les Bleus once again this afternoon?
Don’t wait until lock – make your France vs. Spain picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you're right on every World Cup game.
With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stay locked in on Playbook for daily World Cup 2026 predictions, picks, news, and analysis.
Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state.Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.
