Fever vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, WNBA Playoffs Picks for Tuesday, Sept. 29

The WNBA Playoffs kicked off on Sunday, as the defending champion Las Vegas Aces got off to a perfect start by blowing out the Indiana Fever 102-85 at home. 

MVP frontrunner A’ja Wilson dominated Indiana with a 38-point, 16-rebound performance. Wilson was efficient, 15-for-19 from the field, and was also shut down on the defensive side of the ball with 4 blocks and 2 steals.

Now, it’s win-or-go-home for Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever on Tuesday night. The Fever will look to take advantage of home court in Game 2 to stay alive.

Below, we'll break down our Fever vs. Aces prediction and picks for Tuesday's WNBA Playoffs game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks on Wilson and Kelsey Mitchell.

Make your Fever vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks now! 

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Fever vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for WNBA Playoffs – Tuesday, September 29

After Game 1, the season series between the Aces and Fever is split at 2-2. The opening matchup in early July was without Caitlin Clark due to a back injury, which the Aces won. The Fever didn’t miss a beat one week later, putting up 109 in a blowout win in Las Vegas.

Sunday was the first blowout in favor of the Aces. The game was tied 36-36 with 7:20 left in the second, and Vegas closed the quarter on a 26-11 extended run to finish the first half up 15. 

By the end of the third quarter, the lead was at 21, and Indiana couldn’t chip away until the Aces’ bench was in the game.

For the Fever to win on Tuesday, they’ll need better shooting from both Clark and Kelsey Mitchell. The two Fever star guards combined to go 10-for-33 from the field and 4-for-16 from 3-point range. Even a marginal increase in both departments gives the Fever a better shot at the win today.

Make WNBA Playoffs picks on winners, totals, and players!

Fever vs. Aces Spread, Over/Under for WNBA Playoffs Today

The Fever are 1.5-point favorites tonight at home, with the over/under set at 182.5.

The Aces are one of the league’s best against the spread this season, at 25-20 — including a 12-9 ATS record on the road. Indiana, meanwhile, is just 7-9 ATS after a loss.

Make your Fever vs. Aces prediction on the winner on PrizePicks!

PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Fever vs. Aces Injury Report for Tuesday, September 29

Let’s dive into the full Fever vs. Aces injury report for Tuesday, September 29, via WNBA.com.

Indiana Fever Injury Report vs. Aces

• C Aliyah Boston (leg) - Probable
• G Caitlin Clark (back) - Probable
• G Ty Harris (leg) - OUT

Las Vegas Aces Injury Report vs. Fever

• G Dana Evans (knee) - OUT

Fever vs. Aces Prediction on Winner for WNBA Playoffs Today – 9/29/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Fever vs. Aces prediction for Tuesday, September 29, on Prime Video. With the spread down at 1.5 points in favor of the Fever, we’ll make an outright pick in the section below.

• The Aces are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 road games, while the Fever are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 home games.
• Las Vegas is 2-3 ATS as an underdog this season. 
• Both teams were top-3 in offensive rating this season (Indiana 1st, Vegas 3rd)
• The Fever are 14-13 ATS at home this season. In their lone home game against the Aces, the Fever did not cover as 1.5-point favorites, losing in overtime.
• Indiana is 10-7 ATS at home this season.
• Fever G Kelsey Mitchell does face a tough matchup vs. the Aces defense, but Game 1 may have been an outlier; despite posting 12 points, 0 rebounds, and 3 assists on 25% shooting, she has scored 27+ points in each of the other three games vs. the Aces this season.
• The Fever have a 21.7% turnover rate against the Aces this season. 

Lock in your Fever vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks before today’s WNBA game.

Fever vs. Aces Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 9/27/26

Here are the top Fever vs. Aces picks to target on PrizePicks for Tuesday, September 29. Today’s WNBA PrizePicks picks include Caitlin Clark and A’ja Wilson.

Fever G Kelsey Mitchell vs. Aces: 24.5 Points

• In their lone home game against the Aces this season, Mitchell scored 28 points. 
• Mitchell averaged 24.9 points at home this season.
• Their playoff game on Sunday was the first time Mitchell failed to score 25+ points against the Aces this season.
• Mitchell scored 25+ points in six straight games before missing that mark in her last four games, including a meaningless season-finale loss to Minnesota (22 minutes played)
• Mitchell has scored 25+ points in 13 of her last 20 games.

Pick Kelsey Mitchell + Fever to Win for higher payouts on PrizePicks 

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Aces C A’ja Wilson vs. Fever: 10.5 Rebounds

• Wilson has cleared her projection of 10.5 rebounds in all three games she played against the Fever this season.
• The four-time WNBA MVP elevates her game in the playoffs, averaging double-digit rebounds in three of her last four postseasons. 
• She started off on the right foot in Game 1 vs. the Fever, posting 16 rebounds.
• Dating back to last season’s playoffs, Wilson has cleared 10.5 rebounds in three of her last five postseason games.
• Wilson averages 36+ minutes per game in each of her last two playoff stints; she averaged 32 in the regular season this year, giving her more minutes on the floor to accrue stats.

Add A’ja Wilson + Aces to Win to your PrizePicks lineup now!

Make Fever vs. Aces Picks for WNBA Playoffs on PrizePicks

It’s do-or-die time for the Fever, who look to extend their playoff lives for a potential Game 3 winner-take-all game back in Las Vegas. The Aces look to put Indiana's stars to bed tonight and clinch a spot in the next round against the winner of the Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries series.

Don’t wait until tip-off on tonight's WNBA Playoff games — make your Fever vs. Aces picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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