Fever vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Sunday, July 12

Of the WNBA’s four Sunday bouts, two of them are televised nationally and feature some of the game’s brightest stars. The final matchup of the night, Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces at 9 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock, pits two superstars against each other.

It’s Indiana G Caitlin Clark vs. Las Vegas C A’ja Wilson in a contest featuring MVP-caliber profiles. As the home team, the Aces are favored by 4.5 points on PrizePicks Team Picks and return a 1.47x payout with an outright win. 

Below, we'll break down our Fever vs. Aces prediction and picks for Sunday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Fever vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks now.

{{wnba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Fever vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, July 12

The Fever continue to be a formidable club under head coach Stephanie White, who’s upped her winning percentage from .545 in 2025 to .591 this year. Thanks to increased availability from Clark and fellow standouts like G Kelsey Mitchell chipping in, Indiana’s high-powered offense is thriving. 

Clark is pouring in 20.5 points and 7.9 assists each night, with Mitchell’s 22.5 PPG and C-F Aliyah Boston’s 17.3 PPG and 8.7 RPG completing a three-headed monster. Indiana last faced Las Vegas exactly a week ago, coming away with a huge 84-68 win — minus Clark, no less — thanks to 27 points from Mitchell.

Business as usual appears to be the theme for the Aces, who are the defending champions and boast a collection of coaching and talent that could win the whole thing once again in 2026. Las Vegas and leader Becky Hammon are enjoying their best regular season since 2023’s 34-6 effort, largely due to Wilson’s contributions (25.8 PPG, 9.7 RPG) as the MVP favorite.

Since the aforementioned loss to the Fever, the Aces have ripped off consecutive triumphs against the Portland Fire and Phoenix Mercury by a combined 56 points. 

These powerhouses will do battle once again on August 11, when there should be even more clarity on the race for the WNBA postseason. Indiana and Las Vegas are first in the Eastern and Western Conferences, respectively. 

Fever vs. Aces Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, July 12

The Aces enter Sunday’s game as 4.5-point home favorites against the Fever, returning a 1.47x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Fever vs. Aces game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Las Vegas Aces -4.5 (1.88x payout)
• Over/Under: 181.5 (1.85x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Fever 2.5x | Aces 1.47x

Make your Fever vs. Aces prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Fever vs. Aces Injury Report for Sunday, July 12

Let’s dive into the full Fever vs. Aces injury report for Sunday, July 12, via WNBA.com.

Indiana Fever Injury Report

• G Caitlin Clark (back): Probable

Las Vegas Aces Injury Report

• N/A — not yet submitted 

Heading into Saturday’s contest against the Mercury, F Janiah Barker (leg) was ruled out and G Dana Evans (leg) was questionable. Evans also ended up missing the game and has been day-to-day as she awaits her season debut. 

Fever vs. Aces Prediction on Spread – 7/12/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Fever vs. Aces prediction on the spread for Sunday, July 12’s game. 

• With their win over Phoenix on Saturday, the Aces improved to 5-6 against the spread as home favorites. With that said, Indiana is respectable as a road underdog, going 2-2 ATS. 
• No offense gets and takes advantage of quality looks more than the Fever as, per databallr, they rank first in net rating stemming from team shooting. 
• A similar strength applies to net shooting efficiency, as neither Indiana (fourth) nor Vegas (third) struggles to put the ball in the basket but is good enough at making life difficult for opponents. 
• Although the Aces are a solid rebounding club in their own right, the Fever are perhaps the W’s best. White’s group is first in fewest boards allowed each time out (38.8) and is second at securing them for themselves (44.5). 
• It’ll be interesting to see how Las Vegas attacks Indiana’s defense, as the latter surrenders the most paint PPG (44.1) in the sport but naturally cedes the fewest 3-point makes (6.9) on average.
• The Fever’s turnover-heavy offense (16.5% turnover-to-play rate, 12th) may not be in for such a tough outing against a stingy but not disruptive Aces unit (14.0%, 13th). 

Lock in your Fever vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s WNBA game.

Fever vs. Aces Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/12/26

Here are the top Fever vs. Aces picks to target on Sunday, July 12. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include G Caitlin Clark, G Kelsey Mitchell, and C A’ja Wilson.

Fever G Caitlin Clark vs. Aces: 21.5 Pts + Asts

• Clark’s per-game average of 28.4 combined points and assists was up to 32.2 in the five games prior to her early exit against the Los Angeles Sparks on Wednesday. 
• Even on a career-low 29.9 minutes per game, Clark is logging personal bests in field goal attempts (15.4), points (20.5), and usage rate (32.5%). 
• After she shot just 27.9% from deep in year No. 2, Clark’s 3-point shot is returning to form in 2026. Her 33.6% mark looked even better in the month of June (35.1%). 
• According to databallr, Clark’s 46.3% on-ball share puts her in the 95th percentile.

Add Caitlin Clark to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

{{wnba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Fever G Kelsey Mitchell vs. Aces: 21.5 Points

• Apparently, Mitchell missed the memo that she’s on the wrong side of 30 now. The Fever star is producing a career-high 22.5 PPG, marking the third straight year she’s upped her volume. 
• The improved output, somehow, is coming with a spike in efficiency as well. Mitchell’s 61.8% true shooting percentage is the only time she’s crossed over the 60% threshold.
• As one of the sport’s premier 3-point shooters, Mitchell’s taking 6.4 a game and knocking down a scorching 41.1% of them.
• The three-time All-Star doesn’t require teammates to help set her up. She notches 12.0 unassisted PPG, ranking in the 94th percentile. 

Add Kelsey Mitchell to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Aces C A’ja Wilson vs. Fever: 35.5 Pts + Rebs

• The potential WNBA MVP (again) has been on a tear in her last five outings, averaging 37.8 points and rebounds. That’s above her season bar of 35.5. 
• Good luck stopping Wilson when she’s around the rim. The superstar center shoots 81.0% from 0-3 feet in 2026, trailing only her first MVP campaign in 2020.
• If there’s one potential door left cracked open for Wilson, it could be on the defensive glass, where the Fever allow the sixth-ranked D-board percentage at 73.6%. Her 23.2% individual statistic falls into the 94th percentile. 
• Additionally, Wilson’s best-in-class shot blocking (2.0+ BPG since 2023) could give her rebounding opportunities many other players simply don’t get.

Add A’ja Wilson to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Fever vs. Aces Picks on PrizePicks

With both teams sitting atop their respective conferences, it doesn’t get much better than Sunday’s clash between Indiana and Las Vegas. Will this potential WNBA Finals preview live up to the hype as a new week begins?

Which side will come out on top Sunday night? Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Fever vs. Aces picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick WNBA players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily WNBA predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 WNBA Finals.