Fever vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, Picks for WNBA Playoffs – 9/27/26

The WNBA playoffs begin on Sunday, September 27, and the Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces clash in Game 1 of a best-of-three first-round series at 4:00 p.m. ET on ABC.

Las Vegas (31-13) begins its quest for the franchise’s fourth title in the last five seasons. The Aces finished as the #3 seed behind Minnesota and Golden State despite winning its final six games.

The Fever (28-16) lost the tiebreaker to the Mystics to fall to the #6 seed and are in the playoffs for the third straight season. Indiana reached the second round of the WNBA Playoffs without G Caitlin Clark but fell to Las Vegas in five games last season.

Below, we'll break down our Fever vs. Aces prediction and picks for Sunday's WNBA Playoffs game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Fever vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks now!

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Fever vs. Aces Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for WNBA Playoffs – Sunday, September 27

Due to Clark's midseason injury last year, there wasn't much hope that Indiana would go far in the playoffs after getting eliminated in the first round in 2024. However, the Fever knocked out the Dream, then went to the limit with the eventual champions before losing in overtime in Game 5.

Clark is seeking her first postseason win after helping lead Indiana to its first winning record since 2015. The Fever split their final four games following the FIBA World Cup, which included a home loss to Washington, thus bumping them from the fifth seed to the sixth slot.

The Aces never lost more than two straight games this season, closing with six straight victories. Las Vegas fell in consecutive home contests to Minnesota and Atlanta in mid-August but won the last six against non-playoff teams, all by double digits.

Aces C A'ja Wilson seeks her third consecutive MVP award after leading the league in scoring (26.2 PPG) and finishing fifth in rebounds per contest (9.4). 

The second- and third-leading scorers in the WNBA belong to Indiana. G Kelsey Mitchell is posting 24.7 PPG, while Clark sits at 22.3 PPG — career highs for both players.

The Fever were not intimidated playing at Michelob ULTRA Arena this season, winning both matchups in Las Vegas. It was in convincing fashion, too, as Indiana routed Las Vegas 84-68 on July 5 and 109-75 one week later.

The Aces grabbed an 86-84 overtime triumph at Indiana on August 6, erasing a 20-point deficit. Despite going to OT, the game remained under the total of 192.5, by far the highest in any of the three matchups.

Fever vs. Aces Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, September 27

Ahead of this Game 1 matchup, the Aces are 4.5-point favorites for the spread, paired with an 181.5 over/under.

Make your Fever vs. Aces prediction on the winner on PrizePicks!

PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Fever vs. Aces Injury Report for Sunday, September 27

Let’s dive into the full Fever vs. Aces injury report for Sunday, September 27, via WNBA.com.

Indiana Fever Injury Report

• C Aliyah Boston (leg) - Questionable
• G Caitlin Clark (back) - Probable
• G Ty Harris (leg) - OUT

Las Vegas Aces Injury Report

• G Dana Evans (knee) - OUT

Fever vs. Aces Prediction on Winner for WNBA Playoffs – 9/27/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Fever vs. Aces prediction on the winner for Sunday, September 27, in the WNBA game on ABC.

• The Aces have covered the point spread in four of six games during this current hot streak.
• Indiana has won six of the last 10 matchups with Las Vegas, all in the underdog role.
• The Fever look to improve on a 5-7 against the spread (ATS) mark as a dog, including a 1-4 ATS record in the last five opportunities.
• These teams own the top two offensive ratings in the league, according to WNBA.com. The Fever are tied for second in this category on the road (113.6).
• In each of the two wins over the Aces, the Fever put together offensive turnover rates of 9.6% and 12.7%. In the home overtime defeat, Indiana’s TO rate shot up to 23.4%.
• The Aces have knocked down at least 9 treys in 10 consecutive home games. However, Las Vegas was held to 8-of-36 3-point shooting (22.2%) in the two home losses to Indiana.

Lock in your Fever vs. Aces prediction on PrizePicks before today’s WNBA game.

Fever vs. Aces Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 9/27/26

Here are the top Fever vs. Aces picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, September 27. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Caitlin Clark and A’ja Wilson.

Fever G Caitlin Clark vs. Aces: 31.5 Pts + Asts

• In 20 road games this season, Clark averaged 27.5 P+A and finished with less than 31 P+A 12 times. 
• Clark finished below this projection in both meetings against the Aces, posting 18 and 28 P+A. She shot 3 of 15 from downtown in those games.
• According to PropsMadness, Clark posted an average of 26.6 P+A in 10 games against teams ranked fifth or higher in defensive rating (Las Vegas sits fifth).
• She is averaging 9.0 assists in the past 10 away contests, including 5 double-digit assist performances.

Add Caitlin Clark to your PrizePicks lineup now.

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Aces C A’ja Wilson vs. Fever: 27.5 Points

• Wilson compiled fewer than 27 points in 13 of 20 home games, averaging 24.6 PPG.
• The four-time league MVP failed to score more than 26 points in each of the two matchups with Indiana.
• During the Aces’ 2025 championship run, Wilson averaged 26.8 PPG, including 24.0 PPG in the Indiana series. 
• The former South Carolina star finished below this projection in 14 of 20 games against teams in the top seven sof defensive pace (Indiana ranks second).

Add A’ja Wilson to your PrizePicks lineup now.

Make Fever vs. Aces Picks for WNBA Playoffs on PrizePicks

The opener of this intriguing best-of-three series starts Sunday with the Fever looking to knock off the Aces. Can Indiana continue to play well in Las Vegas, or will the defending champions take care of business at home?

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Fever vs. Aces picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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