FedEx St. Jude Championship Picks, Winner Predictions: Tommy Fleetwood, More

August 11, 2026

PGA
AP Photo/Jon Super
PGA Tour star Tommy Fleetwood arrives and waves to the crowd at the British Open golf tournament.

The regular season is over, and now the 2026 PGA Tour season comes down to the three-week playoff that begins this week in Memphis at the St. Jude Championship. The top 70 players in the FedExCup standings after last week’s Wyndham Championship advanced to Memphis.

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and No. 2 Rory McIlroy lead the field of 69 golfers looking to be crowned FedExCup champion (Daniel Berger is out with injury).

The 72-hole, no-cut event will send the top 50 in the standings to the second playoff event, the BMW Championship, next week outside of Chicago.  

Let's break down our top FedEx St. Jude Championship picks this week, including ones for potential winners or top-10 or top-20 finishers in the event at PrizePicks Team Picks.

Make your FexEd St. Jude Championship golf picks — including winners & Top 10s — on PrizePicks now!

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FedEx St. Jude Championship Picks, Predictions, Winner Payouts for PGA This Week

The FedEx St. Jude Championship will tee off at TPC Southwind, which is hosting a PGA Tour event for the 39th consecutive year. Past winners include Justin Rose, Hideki Matsuyama, Lucas Glover, and Will Zalatoris.

The course is a true tee-to-green test, with golfers needing good positioning off the tee (accuracy over distance), quality putting on Bermuda grass, and strong approach play. Bogey avoidance is huge, as there are 11 water hazards on the course. 

Here are the top 10 favorites to secure a victory in the FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind, via PrizePicks Team Picks, including their payouts if you predict them to win the tournament. 

The FedEx St. Jude Championship payouts listed below indicate real-money earnings if a prediction is correct; for example, a 2x on a $100 entry pays out $200.

2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner Payouts

Player Yes Payout No Payout
Scottie Scheffler 5.55x 1.12x
Rory McIlroy 12.5x 1.02x
Tommy Fleetwood 16.66x 1.02x
Xander Schauffele 16.66x 1.02x
Matt Fitzpatrick 16.66x 1.02x
Sam Burns 16.66x 1.02x
Cameron Young 16.66x 1.02x
Collin Morikawa 22.22x 1.01x
Hideki Matsuyama 22.22x 1.01x
Si Woo Kim 22.22x 1.01x
Payouts listed are live as of writing and are subject to change.

As far as the actual FedEx St. Jude Championship purse is concerned, the winner earns $3.6M, with top-10 payouts descending and settling at $541K for 10th place.


FedEx St. Jude Championship Picks, Winner Predictions This Week

Here are four golfers to consider for the FedEx St. Jude Championship picks on PrizePicks Team Picks

Also listed are payouts for each golfer to win and finish in the top 10 or 20. 

Tommy Fleetwood FedEx St. Jude Championship Prediction

Tommy Fleetwood FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner Payout: Yes 16.66x | No 1.02x

Top 10 Payout: Yes 2.7x | No 1.42x

  • Tommy Fleetwood suffered heartbreak here last year, blowing a big lead late on Sunday and watching Justin Rose win it from the same group. Fleetwood couldn't get any putts to fall but rebounded two weeks later with the Tour Championship win.
  • Fleetwood also finished third at this event in 2023 and is ranked third all-time in strokes gained at TPC Southwind. 
  • He hasn't had the big season some thought would happen after last year's FedExCup title, but he's finished in the top 15 in seven of his last eight starts.
  • Fleetwood ranks fifth in strokes gained tee-to-green, third in strokes gained total, third around the green, and 43rd on approach.
Make Tommy Fleetwood FedEx St. Jude Championship picks now.

Hideki Matsuyama FedEx St. Jude Championship Prediction

Hideki Matsuyama FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner Payout: Yes 22.22x | No 1.01x

Top 10 Payout: Yes 3.22x | No 1316x

  • Matsuyama finished seventh last week in Greensboro, his third straight top-10 and fifth straight top-15 finish. 
  • He's also played incredibly well at TPC Southwind, winning this event in 2024, losing in a playoff in 2021, and finishing 17th last year. He ranks first in all-time shots gained at TPC Southwind. 
  • Matsuyama has gained shots on approach in five of the last six events and in 11 of the past 14, while gaining shots off the tee in each of the last five events.
  • He's one of the Tour's better short game specialists, ranking 14th in scrambling and 20th in hitting greens.
Make Hideki Matsuyama FedEx St. Jude Championship picks now.

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Sam Burns FedEx St. Jude Championship Prediction

Sam Burns FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner Payout: Yes 16.66x | No 1.01x

Top 10 Payout: Yes 2.94x | No 1.33x

  • Over his last five events dating back to early June, Burns has finished in the top 20 in all five of them. That stretch included a second (U.S. Open), third (Open Championship), and fourth-place (Memorial Tournament) finish.
  • Burns finished fifth here in 2024, second in 2021 (losing in a playoff with a final-round 64), and 20th in 2022. 
  • Over his last 24 rounds, he’s averaging +1.06 strokes gained on approach per event, per Data Golf.
  • The LSU product ranks third on Tour in putting overall and is fifth in the field in putting on Bermuda grass over the past 18 months.
Make Sam Burns FedEx St. Jude Championship picks now.

Tom Kim FedEx St. Jude Championship Prediction

Tom Kim FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner Payout: Yes 33.33x 

Top 20 Payout: Yes 2.43x | No 1.51x

  • Tom Kim was the hot name going into the Open Championship after a third-place finish at the U.S. Open and a win at the Scottish Open.
  • He disappointed with a missed cut at the Open but has rebounded with a 20th and fifth-place finish over the last two weeks.
  • He now has five top 20s in his last seven events. He's sixth on approach, gaining strokes in 11 straight events, and 14th tee-to-green. The putter has warmed up for Kim, who gained 1.58 shots putting last week in Greensboro.
  • The Tour standout is a longer shot due to only having played this course twice, finishing 50th and 24th. 
Make Tom Kim FedEx St. Jude Championship picks now.

Make FedEx St. Jude Championship Picks on PrizePicks

Can world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler win the opening playoff event and take a step closer to his second FedExCup title, or will a longer shot like Tom Kim or Sam Burns take the first playoff event? 

You can make FedEx St. Jude Championship picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. With Team Picks, make predictions on tournament winners, golfer placements, and more — now available in 36 states.

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David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.