The PGA Tour season is down to 50 players and two playoff weeks to decide the FedExCup champion. The Tour goes from Memphis to St. Louis for the second playoff leg, with the BMW Championship starting Thursday at Bellerive Country Club. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler won last year’s BMW at Caves Valley in Maryland. He is the favorite yet again on PrizePicks Team Picks.
The last winner at Bellerive Country Club was Brooks Koepka when the PGA Championship was played here back in 2018. Koepka did not qualify for this week.
Only the top 50 got into this competition, while only the top 30 after Sunday’s final putt will advance to the Tour Championship in Atlanta.
When following along with the action, you can pick a lot more than just to win the event. Other options on PrizePicks Team Picks include top-10 finishes, top-20 finishes, first-round leaders, top finishers in each round, and much more.
Let's break down our top picks for the BMW Championship sleepers and top 10 picks to consider on PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money if you're right by picking golfers to win, finish top 5, top 10, and more.
Make your BMW Championship sleeper picks + Top 10 predictions on PrizePicks!
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BMW Championship Sleepers, Picks for Top 10 Finish
Bellerive Country Club is hosting the BMW Championship for the first time since 2008 and hosting a PGA event for the first time since 2018. It also hosted the 1965 U.S. Open and 1992 PGA Championship.
The course is a lengthy 7,448-yard par 70 but retains its parkland-style doglegs. We’ll be looking at the best long-iron players in the field, especially those who excel from 150-200 yards. The doglegs will cut down on some of the bomb and gouge ability, but you have par-5s that measure over 600 yards, and shorter par-4s are doglegged and hard to drive.
While there's some water on the property, it will be the combination of thick rough and tight treelines that presents the greatest test for the field this week, in addition to its sheer length.
All eligible OWGR top-25 players on the PGA TOUR will be teeing it up in St. Louis.
Here are three golfers to consider for your BMW Championship top 5 and top 10 picks on PrizePicks Team Picks.
The FedExCup Championship payouts listed below indicate real-money earnings if a prediction is correct; for example, a 2x on a $100 entry pays out $200 on PrizePicks Team Picks.
The lower the payout multiplier, the higher the chance of the outcome occurring, according to user picks.
Scottie Scheffler BMW Championship Prediction
Scottie Scheffler Top 5 Finish Payout: Yes 1.72x | No 1.88x
Scottie Scheffler Winner Payout: Yes 3.84x | No 1.23x
- Scheffler's 3.84x return to win is among the lowest all season. A top-5 return of 1.72x falls right into what Scheffler has done all year.
- Scheffler has recorded a top-5 finish in 12 of 18 events, including five of his last six.
- The 2024 FedExCup champion leads the Tour in overall shots gained and tee-to-green, is fourth in shots gained off the tee, third in putting, and sixth on approach.
- The longer layout that necessitates long iron shots sets up well for Scheffler, who also leads the Tour in greens in regulation and is 14th in long approaches.
Pick Scottie Scheffler for the BMW Championship on PrizePicks!
Patrick Cantlay BMW Championship Prediction
Patrick Cantlay Top 10 Finish Payouts: Yes 2.85x | No 1.31x
Patrick Cantlay Winner Payout: Yes 22.22x | No 1.01x
- After a strong finish to The Open Championship, Cantlay has recorded consecutive top-12 finishes at the Rocket Classic and FedEx St. Jude Championship. He now has four top-20 finishes in his last seven events.
- The 2021 FedExCup champion has played well during the FedExCup playoffs, with three of his eight career wins occurring during the annual playoff stretch. That includes back-to-back BMW titles in 2021 and 2022 at different courses.
- He’s gained strokes overall and on approach in 12 of his last 13 events while getting positive strokes putting in four of the last five.
- Cantlay is currently 43rd in the FedExCup standings and needs at least a solo seventh this week to make the top 30 and advance to Atlanta.
Pick Patrick Cantlay for the BMW Championship on PrizePicks!
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Hideki Matsuyama BMW Championship Prediction
Hideki Matsuyama Top 10 Finish Payout: Yes 2.85x | No 1.33x
Hideki Matsuyama Winner Payout: Yes 22.22x | No 1.01x
- The Matsuyama train continues to roll on, as his seventh-place finish in Memphis was his fourth straight top-10 and sixth straight top-15 finish.
- The 2021 Masters winner finished in a tie for 35th at Bellerive Country Club in the 2018 PGA Championship, shooting a final-round 66.
- Matsuyama has gained shots on approach in six of his last seven events, gaining +1.75 shots on the field in Memphis. He has also gained at least 1.85 shots total in six straight events.
- He's one of the Tour's better short game specialists, ranking 17th in scrambling, 11th around the green, and 25th in hitting greens.
Pick Hideki Matsuyama for the BMW Championship on PrizePicks!
2026 BMW Championship Sleeper Pick
Everyone loves a long shot, even if they don’t come in that often. While the BMW Championship crowned World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler last year, it has seen its share of long-shot winners, including Keegan Bradley two years ago.
Here is one long-shot sleeper to play for this week’s BMW Championship.
Jake Knapp BMW Championship Prediction
Jake Knapp Top 20 Finish Payouts: Yes 2.08x | No 1.61x
Jake Knapp Winner Payout: Yes 33.33x
- After missing the cut in four of six events after coming back from injury, Knapp finished tied for seventh last week at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, even after a final-round 2-over 72.
- He gained 2.33 shots on the field overall and was third tee-to-green, gaining off the tee in all four rounds.
- Knapp is 19th on approach, sixth from 175-200 yards, and 10th from over 200 yards.
- He opened the season with five straight top-11 finishes and seven top-11s in the first eight events before missing time from mid-April to June.
Pick Jake Knapp for the BMW Championship on PrizePicks!
Make BMW Championship Picks on PrizePicks
Can Hideki Matsuyama continue his top-10 run, or will top-ranked Scottie Scheffler win yet another playoff event?
You can make your 2026 BMW Championship picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick golfers, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct.
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