The WNBA Playoffs continue on Friday, October 9 with the New York Liberty hosting the Atlanta Dream in Game 3 of their semifinal series. The Liberty enter the contest as 3.5-point favorites and return a 1.63x payout if they win outright.
The Dream currently lead the series 2-0 as it shifts to New York. Atlanta won 101-98 in overtime against the Liberty in Game 2 on Wednesday, with F Naz Hillmon converting a game-winning layup with 20.8 seconds left in overtime.
Below, we’ll break down our Dream vs. Liberty prediction and picks for Friday night's game, including the spread, over/under, and player projections for PrizePicks.
Make your Dream vs. Liberty picks on PrizePicks now!
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Dream vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for WNBA Playoffs – Friday, October 9
The Liberty enter Friday’s game as a 3.5-point home favorite against the Dream, returning a 1.63x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks — or an estimated $163 on a $100 entry.
Here are the full payouts for the Dream vs. Liberty game on PrizePicks. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Make your Dream vs. Liberty prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks.
The Dream finished the regular season with the most wins (30) in the Eastern Conference and led the Liberty by four games. Atlanta finished as the #4 seed in the WNBA Playoffs and swept the #5 seed Washington Mystics in the opening round.
Atlanta has raced out to a 2-0 series lead here after winning Game 1 92-82 and squeaking out a hard-fought overtime triumph in Game 2.
The Dream and Liberty have been two of the WNBA's top-scoring offenses all campaign. Atlanta averaged 91.3 PPG (third) throughout the regular season, while New York racked up 89.6 (fifth).
According to databallr, the Liberty own the fourth-highest offensive rating (112.7), with only the Indiana Fever (116.0), Minnesota Lynx (115.7), and Las Vegas Aces (114.5) recording a higher mark. New York has also posted the second-best shooting percentage at the rim (69.9%).
Much of New York’s scoring prowess comes from its trio of F Breanna Stewart (27.3 PPG this postseason), G Sabrina Ionescu (17.0 PPG), and C Jonquel Jones (15.5 PPG).
After dealing with ankle, back, and foot injuries throughout the season, Ionescu has found her perimeter stroke, shooting 40.0% from beyond the arc in the WNBA Playoffs. Ionescu has also averaged 9.7 unassisted points per 100 offensive possessions, ranking in the 91st percentile.
On the injury front, Dream F Brionna Jones has already been ruled out for Game 3 due to a leg injury. However, the status of G Allisha Gray will be one to watch leading up to tip-off. Gray left Game 1 with a hand injury and sat out Game 2 but is listed as questionable for Friday’s contest.
With the offensive firepower in this matchup, there could be plenty of points regardless of whether Gray plays. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 games between the Dream and Liberty, including a 2-0 mark in this series.
Dream vs. Liberty Injury Report for Friday, October 9
Let’s dive into the full Dream vs. Liberty injury report for Friday, October 9, via WNBA.com.
Atlanta Dream Injury Report
- G Allisha Gray (hand) - Questionable
- F Brionna Jones (leg) - OUT
New York Liberty Injury Report
- No injuries reported
Dream vs. Liberty Prediction on Over/Under for WNBA Playoffs – 10/9/26
Here are the key stats and trends behind our Dream vs. Liberty prediction on the over/under for Friday, October 9, in this battle of Eastern Conference foes.
- The Dream lead all WNBA Playoff teams with 94.5 PPG, while the Liberty aren’t far behind with 89.5 PPG (second).
- The Liberty are knocking down a playoff-best 41.8% of their 3-point shots.
- These two teams share the ball at a stellar rate, with the Liberty leading all postseason clubs in assists at 21.0 per contest. Meanwhile, the Dream are second with 20.0 APG.
- Atlanta makes its living on the interior, averaging a WNBA-best 43.3 points in the paint.
- The Dream also thrive in transition, scoring a league-high 11.9 fast break PPG in 2026.
- The rebounding battle could loom large; the Liberty hold a narrow 70-69 advantage on the glass in the series.
Lock in your Dream vs. Liberty prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s WNBA game!
Dream vs. Liberty Picks, Player Stats for WNBA Playoffs on PrizePicks: 10/9/26
Here are the top Dream vs. Liberty picks to target on Friday, October 9. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Breanna Stewart and Jordin Canada.
Liberty F Breanna Stewart vs. Dream: 31.5 Pts + Rebs
- Stewart has averaged 27.3 PPG and 7.5 RPG in four games this postseason, including scoring 35 points and grabbing 11 boards in Game 2.
- The Liberty forward has secured 18.8% of her available defensive rebounds, ranking in the 86th percentile.
- Stewart is shooting 35.7% (5-of-14) from deep in the 2026 postseason.
- The two-time WNBA MVP has averaged 6.9 short mid-range shots per game (99th percentile) and is connecting on 43.3% of those tries (65th percentile).
Add Breanna Stewart + Liberty to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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Dream G Jordin Canada vs. Liberty: 21.5 Pts + Asts
- Canada has registered at least 22 points and assists in three of four games during the 2026 WNBA Playoffs.
- The Dream guard has led the team in scoring this postseason (19.1 PPG) and could remain the team’s go-to option if Gray misses Game 3.
- Canada has spent 41.5% of her time on the court handling the ball, placing her in the 92nd percentile.
- The former first-round pick has tallied 2.86 assists per turnover (95th percentile).
Add Jordin Canada + Dream to cover the spread to your PrizePicks lineup now.
Make Dream vs. Liberty Picks on PrizePicks
The Dream have held the upper hand against the Liberty recently and are in firm control of this best-of-five series. With both teams being elite on offense, there very well could be a high-scoring affair in Game 3.
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Dream vs. Liberty picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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