A pivotal NFC battle takes place when the Green Bay Packers host the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC. According to PrizePicks, Green Bay is a 1.5-point favorite on the spread tonight.
The Packers bounced back in Week 5, beating the Chicago Bears 31-7. Meanwhile, the Cowboys fell short against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a 24-16 loss on Thursday night.
Below, we’ll break down our Cowboys vs. Packers prediction and picks for Week 6’s Sunday Night Football game tonight, including the spread, over/under, and top player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Cowboys vs. Packers prediction and picks on PrizePicks now!
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Cowboys vs. Packers Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Sunday Night Football
The Packers enter Sunday’s game as 1.5-point home favorites against the Cowboys, returning a 1.81x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks — or an estimated $181 on a $100 entry if you're right.
Here are the full payouts for the Cowboys vs. Packers game on PrizePicks. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Make your Cowboys vs. Packers prediction on the spread on PrizePicks!
The Packers certainly had an underwhelming start to the 2026 season, dropping two of its first three contests. Green Bay was outscored 74-36 in losses to the Minnesota Vikings and Atlanta Falcons.
Green Bay is on a two-game winning streak after topping the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Bears. The Packers’ offense looked dominant against the Bears last week, totaling 428 total yardage.
QB Jordan Love has been lethal early, completing 60.5% of his passes for 1,408 yards and 10 TDs. Love has also benefited from a strong offensive line, which has provided the star signal caller with a 91.5% protection rate (fifth among QBs).
The running game is one area where the Packers have struggled this season. RB Josh Jacobs has yet to play this due to his domestic violence case but will reportedly be removed from the commissioner-exempt list on Monday.
With Jacobs sidelined, the Packers have turned to RB Marshawn Lloyd, who is averaging just 2.8 yards per carry. However, Lloyd did find the end zone twice in Week 5, despite rushing for just 31 yards on 10 carries.
The Cowboys are entrenched in a tight NFC East race with the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles. Dallas has lost two of its last three games and even lost WR CeeDee Lamb late in last week’s loss to the Buccaneers.
Lamb suffered a bruised quad against the Buccaneers but logged full practices throughout the week. As a result, Lamb is expected to play against the Packers.
CeeDee is tied for third in receptions (39) and receiving yards (507) among all NFL WRs through the first five weeks. His 4 TDs are also tied for fourth despite him being banged up.
QB Dak Prescott has been a high-volume passer this season, throwing for the fifth-most yards (1,381) and is averaging 276.2 passing yards per contest (sixth among QBs). Prescott wasn’t quite as efficient last week, completing just 24 of 42 passes and throwing 2 INTs.
Despite a healthy offense, the Cowboys have several injuries on defense: CB Cobie Durant (hamstring) out, LB DeMarvion Overshown (hamstring) questionable, and CB Joey Porter Jr. (ankle) questionable.
The Packers have had the upper hand in the series, going 5-0-1 against the spread and winning five of those games outright.
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Cowboys vs. Packers Prediction on Spread for Sunday Night Football – 10/18/26
Here are the key stats and trends behind our Cowboys vs. Packers prediction on the spread for Sunday, October 18.
- After dropping two of their first three games, the Packers have enjoyed a resurgence in recent weeks, posting 0.07 EPA/pass (12th), per SumerSports.
- Packers QB Jordan Love ranks third in passing yards (1,408) and third in air yards (1,611). Love completed 25 of 31 passes for 367 yards and 2 TDs vs. the Bears in Week 5 and could thrive against the Cowboys, who allow 8.3 yards per passing attempt (30th).
- The Packers have a talented trio of pass catchers: WR Christian Watson (474 yards & 6 TDs), WR Matthew Golden (397 yards & 2 TDs), and TE Tucker Kraft (212 yards & a TD). Watson also ranks eighth in yards after the catch (140), while Golden ranks ninth with 137.
- The Cowboys have allowed 27.2 points per game (25th) this season and a league-worst EPA per dropback (0.382), per RBSDM.
- Dallas has also allowed its opponents to record a 50.9% success rate, ranking dead-last in the league.
- Defensively, Green Bay has tallied a +3 turnover differential this season, while Dallas owns a -3 rating in the turnover battle. The Packers are tied for a league-best 7 INTs thus far.
Make your Cowboys vs. Packers picks now for Sunday’s NFL game.
Cowboys vs. Packers Picks, Player Stats for SNF on PrizePicks: 10/18/26
Here are the top Cowboys vs. Packers picks to target on Sunday, October 18. Today’s NFL picks for PrizePicks include Javonte Williams and Christian Watson.
Cowboys RB Javonte Williams vs. Packers: 68.5 Rush Yards
- Williams has registered 74 carries for 276 yards and 6 TDs in five games this season.
- According to PlayerProfiler, Williams has tallied a 77.5% snap share in 2026, ranking third among NFL RBs.
- Williams features 17 evaded tackles (3.4 per game), which ranks 15th among RBs.
- Despite getting off to a slow start, Williams tallies 4.1 yards per carry over his last three games, including 98 rushing yards and a TD vs. the Baltimore Ravens in Week 3.
- The Packers’ defense has posted a -0.038 rush EPA this season (sixth-worst in the NFL).
Add Javonte Williams + Cowboys to cover the spread to your PrizePicks lineup now.
Packers WR Christian Watson vs. Cowboys: 74.5 Receiving Yards
- Watson has the fifth-most receiving yards (474) in the NFL, along with 6 TDs in five games this season.
- The Packers WR has received the 11th-most targets (40) among NFL WRs.
- Watson has racked up 140 yards after the catch, ranking fifth among NFL wideouts.
- The former second-round pick has registered 96+ receiving yards in three of his five games in 2026.
- The Cowboys have been extremely vulnerable against the pass, posting a 0.32 EPA/pass against the opposition.
Add Christian Watson + Packers to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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Make Cowboys vs. Packers Picks on PrizePicks
The Packers have rebounded from a tough start to the regular season and now face the Cowboys at home on Sunday Night Football. Can Green Bay continue its winning ways against a familiar foe?
Don't wait until kickoff — make your Cowboys vs. Packers picks on PrizePicks now for Week 6 and earn real money if you're right.
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