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Clippers vs. Rockets Prediction, Spread: Target K.D. and Kawhi?

Rockets F Kevin Durant complains during an NBA game.
AP Photo/LM Otero

The Los Angeles Clippers (25-28) head to Houston to face the Rockets (33-19) on Wednesday night in a key Western Conference matchup at Toyota Center.

Struggling to gain traction below .500, the Clippers need road wins to stay in the Play-In mix, while the surging Rockets look to extend their momentum and strengthen their playoff positioning. Tip-off is set for 8:00 p.m. ET on NBA League Pass.

Below, we’ll break down our Clippers vs. Rockets prediction and spread for Wednesday night’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.

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Clippers vs. Rockets Prediction, Spread

The Clippers arrive in Houston looking to bounce back after a 102–95 loss to the Rockets on Tuesday in the first game of this back-to-back. Los Angeles remains in the thick of the Western Conference Play-In picture but faces ongoing chemistry questions after a significant roster overhaul at the Trade Deadline.

The front office made two blockbuster moves last week, shipping G James Harden to Cleveland in exchange for G Darius Garland and dealing center C Ivica Zubac to Indiana for G Bennedict Mathurin, C Isaiah Jackson, and valuable draft capital. However, Garland remains sidelined with a lingering toe injury, while G Bradley Beal is out for the season with a hip issue, leaving the Clippers thin in the backcourt.

Houston, meanwhile, has been one of the West's most dominant teams, powered by the elite one-two punch of F Kevin Durant and C Alperen Sengun. Durant scored 26 points in Tuesday's win, while Sengun added 22, extending a run in which the duo has routinely set the tone offensively.

This is the fourth meeting between the clubs this season and the second in as many nights. Houston took Tuesday's contest 102–95 to grab a 2–1 edge in the season series and also leads the all-time regular-season series 130–93.


Clippers vs. Rockets Over/Under, Spread

The Clippers enter Wednesday's game as 6.5-point road underdogs, returning a 3.57x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Rockets are home favorites with a 1.26x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Houston Rockets -6.5
  • Over/Under: 226.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Clippers 3.57x | Rockets 1.26x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Clippers vs. Rockets Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Clippers vs. Rockets injury report for Wednesday, via NBA.com.

Clippers Injury Report

  • G Bradley Beal (hip) - OUT
  • G Darius Garland (toe) - OUT

Rockets Injury Report

  • C Steven Adams (ankle) - OUT
  • PG Fred VanVleet (knee) - OUT

Clippers vs. Rockets Prediction on Spread

Here are some stats to know to help you make your Clippers vs. Rockets prediction on Wednesday, February 11.

  • The Rockets are 23-29-0 ATS (43.4%) this season, while the Clippers sit at 26-27-0 ATS (49.1%). Neither team has been reliable covering the spread.
  • Houston has been particularly poor against the number at home, going just 8-16-0 ATS (33.3%) at Toyota Center, the second-worst home mark in the league.
  • The Clippers have held up better on the road, posting a 15-14-0 ATS record (51.7%) with an 11-8 mark as an away underdog, including a cover as 9-point dogs in last night’s matchup in Houston.
  • The Rockets’ defense ranks top-5 in points allowed per game (109.7 PPG), a tough matchup for a Clippers offense that failed to score 100 points in their previous head-to-head matchup.
  • The Clippers are 3-0 ATS against Houston this season, cashing in every head-to-head despite trailing 1-2 in the season series straight up.

Clippers vs. Rockets Picks for PrizePicks Today: Wednesday, February 11

Clippers SF Kawhi Leonard vs. Rockets Projection: 34.5 Pts+Rebs

  • Leonard has been exceptional this season, averaging 27.9 points per game while adding 6.3 rebounds.
  • He has consistently dominated Houston this season, exploding for 41 points and 8 rebounds (49 combined) in their December meeting and following up with 24 points and 8 rebounds (32 combined) in last night’s matchup.
  • The Rockets deploy G-F Amen Thompson defensively, but their switching scheme often leaves Leonard isolated, creating favorable one-on-one opportunities he's exploited all season against Houston.
  • Houston ranks middle-of-the-pack in defensive rebounding at the small forward position, allowing 7.6 RPG.

Rockets F Kevin Durant vs. Clippers Projection: 24.5 Points

  • Durant is averaging 25.9 PPG this season with a 50.6% field goal percentage.
  • He has historically dominated the Clippers throughout his career, averaging 27.2 points while shooting 48.2% from the floor.
  • ​The Clippers rank 20th in defensive rating (115.7), and they allow 20.6 PPG to opposing power forwards.
  • Durant enters this matchup in strong form, posting 26 points against the Clippers in 38 minutes on Tuesday night.

Rockets C Alperen Sengun vs. Clippers Projection: 28.5 Pts+Rebs

  • Sengun is averaging 20.8 points and 9.4 rebounds this season (30.2 combined), posting a 27.0% usage rate that places him as Houston's primary interior offensive weapon alongside Durant.
  • He has shown consistency against the Clippers throughout his career, averaging 16.4 points and 9.5 rebounds (25.9 combined) across 14 meetings, including a dominant 22-point, 7-rebound (29 combined) performance in last night’s matchup.
  • ​​The Clippers rank 20th in defensive rating (116.8) and allow opposing centers to average 21.2 points and 14.2 rebounds per game.
  • Sengun enters this game dominating over his last five games, averaging 19.6 points and 10.6 rebounds in 33.2 minutes.

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Make Clippers vs. Rockets NBA Picks on PrizePicks

Clippers vs. Rockets on Wednesday isn’t the only way basketball fans can make their NBA picks for player projections. 

You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states. 

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

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about the author

Garrett Kerman is a seasoned sports writer who has written for numerous outlets over the years from ClutchPoints, to Ballislife, to OutKick Sports. He also goes by the name The Fight Analyst where he has been a prominent voice in combat sports. However, he still maintains his voice in all sports like NFL, NBA, and MLB bringing viewers the best in coverage and analysis.

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