After tying up the series in Game 2 of the NBA Finals, the Thunder head to Indianapolis for a crucial Game 3. One player they’ll need more from is their young big man Chet Holmgren, who took a step up the Game 2 win with 15 points.
In NBA Finals Game 3 at 8:30 p.m. ET tonight, Holmgren is projected for 14.5 points, 8 rebounds, and 31.5 fantasy points on the PrizePicks NBA board.
After a disappointing Game 1 performance with just six points, Holmgren played 28 minutes and put up 15 points and six rebounds in Game 2. He shot 54.5% in Game 2 compared to just 22.2% in Game 1.
Below, we’ll break down Chet Holmgren’s projections for NBA Finals Game 3 vs. the Pacers on Wednesday, June 11.
Chet Holmgren Projection: 14.5 Points

- Holmgren averaged 15.0 points per game in the regular season, and has bumped that to 15.8 points in the postseason.
- Holmgren attempted 11 shots in Game 2 of the Finals — up from six in Game 1.
- Holmgren’s home/road splits in the Playoffs are similar, as he has averaged 15.9 points per game in seven road games.
- Holmgren has gone more than this projection in four of seven road playoff games.
- In the four road games Holmgren has exceeded 14.5 points, he’s averaging 20.5 points per game.
Chet Holmgren Projection: 8 Rebounds

- Holmgren has had less than eight rebounds in seven straight games, last hitting the number in the conference semifinals Game 7 vs. the Nuggets.
- Holmgren leads the NBA Finals in rebound chances per game (14.0), but is only converting on 42.9% of those chances.
- Across the entire Playoffs, Holmgren is converting 51.9% of his rebound opportunities.
- Thunder C Isaiah Hartenstein continued to come off the bench in Game 2, leaving more opportunities for Holmgren to clean up when he’s on the floor.
- Holmgren’s Rebs+Asts projection on PrizePicks is 9.5 for Game 3. He has gone less than that number in each of the last six games.
All Chet Holmgren Projections for NBA Finals Game 3

Here are all of the Chet Holmgren projections vs. the Pacers tonight in NBA Finals Game 3 on Wednesday, June 11, via PrizePicks NBA.
- 24.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts
- 5.5 FG Made
- 7.5 2-Pointers Attempted
- 31.5 Fantasy Score
- 0.5 3-PT Made (Goblin)
- 4 3-PT Attempted
- 0.5 Assists (Goblin)
- 9.5 Rebs+Asts
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Thunder big man Chet Holmgren got back on track in Game 2. As the Thunder travel to Indianapolis for Game 3, will he keep his momentum going tonight?
His Game 3 projections align with his postseason performance, making them noteworthy for consideration on PrizePicks NBA tonight.
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