Game 4 of the Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors tips off at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 26, televised by ESPN. The Cavaliers enter today’s game as road favorites with a 61% implied probability to win, via PrizePicks.
After losing the first two games of the series, Toronto struck back with a dominant 126-104 win in Game 3, cutting the series deficit to 2-1. Will the Raptors win their second home game, tying the series at 2-2?
Below, we'll break down our Cavaliers vs. Raptors prediction and picks for Sunday’s NBA playoff game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Cavaliers vs. Raptors picks on PrizePicks now for today’s NBA game.
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Cavaliers vs. Raptors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, April 26
Despite shooting 51.3% from the field and 37.7% on 3-pointers in the first two games of the series, the Raptors lost both games, with the Cavaliers posting a 53.7% field goal percentage and a 40.3% mark from deep in the split.
Toronto’s hot shooting kept up in Game 3 with a 57.5% field goal percentage while cashing in 14 of 23 3-point shots (60.9%). Most importantly, the defense stepped up by holding Cleveland to 44.4% from the field and 31.1% from beyond the arc.
Raptors G Immanuel Quickley (16.4 PPG in the regular season) had yet to play in this series, and he was officially ruled out for the series after reaggravating his hamstring injury on Friday.
However, G Jamal Shead (111.6 defensive rating) and G Ja’Kobe Walter (109.2 defensive rating) have alternated as starters in this series and have stepped up with the best defensive ratings in the starting lineup for the playoffs, per NBA Advanced Stats. Will that keep up in Game 4?
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, April 26
The Cavaliers enter Sunday's game as 3.5-point favorites on the road against the Raptors, returning a 1.53x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Cavaliers vs. Raptors game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5
- Over/Under: 220.5
- Game Winner Payout: Cavaliers - 1.53x | Raptors - 2.32x
Play the Cavaliers vs. Raptors spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Toronto Raptors Timeline
Here is the full Cavaliers vs. Raptors timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
All-Time: Cavaliers, 74-57
Regular Season: Raptors, 3-0
Series: Cavaliers, 2-1
Cavaliers vs. Raptors First Round Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NBA Playoffs
- Game 1: Cavaliers 126, Raptors 113
- Game 2: Cavaliers 115, Raptors 105
- Game 3: Raptors 126, Cavaliers 104
- Game 4: Sunday, April 26, 1:00 p.m. ET in Toronto
- Game 5: Wednesday, April 29, TBD in Cleveland
- Games 6-7 are if necessary
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Cavaliers vs. Raptors Prediction on Spread for NBA Playoffs First Round
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Cavaliers vs. Raptors prediction for spread on Sunday, April 26.
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According to Dunks & Threes, Toronto finished the regular season 10th in shot distribution around the rim, compared to 25th for 3-point shot distribution. This fueled the Raptors’ 53.2 points in the paint per game (fourth).
Cleveland allowed only 45.6 points in the paint per game in the regular season (fifth), and it limited Toronto to only 36 paint points in Game 1. However, the Raptors have found the recipe for success by racking up 62.0 paint points per contest over the last two games. That’s translated to winning the paint battle by +16.0 points per matchup since Game 2.
Furthermore, Toronto is shooting a blistering 44.7% on 3-pointers in this series, compared to 35.7% in the regular season (18th). Keep in mind this was an issue in the regular season for the Cavs, who gave up a 37.4% 3-point percentage (27th). This, paired with the Raptors’ rim attack, creates a dangerous Toronto offense.
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 4/26/26
Here are the top Raptors vs. Cavaliers picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, April 26. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include James Harden and Scottie Barnes.
Cavaliers James Harden vs. Raptors Projection: 20.5 Points
- The Cavaliers are getting plenty of looks from deep with 39.0 3-point shots per game.
- Harden has led the team with 8.3 attempted triples per game while shooting an efficient 40.0% from deep in this series.
- He’s made at least 3 triples in each game, averaging 3.3 per game in the first-round series.
- His volume took another step forward in Game 3 with 10 3-point attempts.
- The Raptors allowed a 41.8% 3-point shot distribution during the regular season (18th).
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Raptors F Scottie Barnes vs. Cavaliers Projection: 27.5 Pts + Asts
- Following his second All-Star campaign, Scottie Barnes has been excellent with 26.7 PPG and 7.7 APG in this series.
- He logged 33 points and 11 assists in Game 3 and combined for 31 points and assists in Game 2.
- Barnes is shooting 56.0% from the field and 53.8% on 3-pointers this series.
- NBA Advanced Stats credits Barnes with 12.3 potential assists per game in the playoffs, which is tied for the 11th-highest mark among all postseason players.
- If Toronto’s hot streak from beyond the arc continues, that’s loaded with catch-and-shoot potential, likely aiding Barnes’ assist total.
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NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Cavaliers vs. Raptors on PrizePicks for Game 4
Here are some in-game angles to target for your Cavaliers vs. Raptors live picks in tonight’s game.
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- According to TeamRankings, the Cavs logged 30.3 points per first quarter in the regular season (tied for seventh). Toronto was behind that mark with 28.6 points per first quarter (25th).
- After trailing by an average of -5.5 points following the first quarter in the first two games, the Raptors led 31-25 after the first quarter in Game 3.
- Toronto currently leads all playoff teams in fourth-quarter net rating, while Cleveland sits last in the category.
- In the regular season, the Cavs and Raptors finished 19th and 20th for pace in the first quarter, pointing to a potential slow start to Game 4.
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Following Game 3’s dominant showing, Toronto has the momentum headed into Sunday’s Game 4. Will the Raptors stay hot from the field and tie the first-round series vs. the Cavaliers?
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