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Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Prediction, Spread: Joker Battles the Beard

Cavaliers G James Harden plays in an NBA game.
AP Photo/Sara Nevis

Tonight at Ball Arena in Denver, the Cleveland Cavaliers (32-19) face the Denver Nuggets (34-19), a potentially intriguing tilt that tips at 9 p.m. ET.

The Cavaliers look dominant as of late, winning 10 of their last 12 games, including a victory with newly acquired G James Harden in his debut. The Nuggets have hit a rough patch, losing three of their last four.

Let’s look at the Cavaliers vs. Nuggets prediction and spread. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.

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Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Prediction, Spread

This is the second matchup of the season between these teams, with the Cavaliers winning the previous contest 113-109 on January 2, 2026. However, the Nuggets were without three-time MVP C Nikola Jokic, who was sidelined with a knee injury.

Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Over/Under, Spread

The Cavaliers enter this matchup as 1.5-point favorites, returning a 1.81x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Nuggets are home underdogs with a 1.88x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5
  • Over/Under: 239.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Cavaliers 1.88x | Nuggets 1.78x

(Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change)


Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Cavaliers vs. Nuggets injury report for today, via NBA.com.

Cavaliers Injury Report 

  • F Dean Wade (ankle) - Questionable
  • C Evan Mobley (calf) - OUT
  • G Max Strus (foot) - OUT

Nuggets Injury Report 

  • C Nikola Jokic (ankle) - Probable
  • G Christian Braun (ankle) - Probable
  • G Jamal Murray (hip) - Questionable
  • F Spencer Jones (concussion) - OUT
  • G Peyton Watson (hamstring) - OUT
  • F Aaron Gordon (hamstring) - OUT

Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Numbers to Know

Here are some facts and figures to get you set for Cavaliers vs. Nuggets tonight, including insights on our Cavaliers vs. Nuggets prediction.

  • Since Jokić returned to the lineup on January 30, the Nuggets have ranked third in the league, averaging 123.4 points per game.
  • Since January 14, the Cavs rank second in points per game (119.3).
  • The Nuggets are 4–4 against the spread as home underdogs.
  • Being favored on the road has been a curse for Cleveland, as they are 6-10 ATS in this situation.
  • The Nuggets rank 21st in defensive efficiency at home (1.129).
  • The Cavaliers rank seventh in offensive efficiency (1.139) on the road.

Cavaliers vs. Nuggets NBA Player Picks

Here are three top Cavaliers vs. Nuggets picks to target on Monday — Nuggets C Nikola Jokic, Cavaliers G Donovan Mitchell, and Cavaliers G James Harden headline key PrizePicks player projections.

Nuggets C Nikola Jokic vs. Cavaliers Projection: 50.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists

  • Jokic has more than 50 PRA in back-to-back games.
  • The former second-round pick has over 50 PRA in his last two matchups against the Cavs.
  • Joker recorded his 182nd career regular-season triple-double during the 136-120 win over the Bulls on February 7, surpassing Hall of Fame PG Oscar Robertson for the second-most all-time.
  • Since January 8, the Cavs rank 18th in points allowed per game to centers (22.6).

Cavaliers G Donovan Mitchell vs. Nuggets Projection: 26 Points

  • Spida led the Cavaliers with 33 points in the 113-108 win against the Nuggets on January 2.
  • The guard out of Louisville is fifth in the NBA with 28.9 points per game. 
  • The Nuggets have allowed an opposing guard to go over their points projection in nine of their ten games.
  • Denver ranks 16th in points allowed per game to opposing shooting guards (22.0).

Cavaliers G James Harden vs. Nuggets Projection: 7.5 Assists

  • The triple-double machine's 8.1 assists per game ranks fourth in the NBA.
  • The journeyman has more than 7 assists in 8 of his last 13 games against the Nuggets.
  • In Harden’s debut with the Cavs on February 7 against the Kings, he led the team with 8 assists.
  • The Nuggets rank 19th in assists allowed per game at home (27.0).

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Make Cavaliers vs. Nuggets NBA Picks on PrizePicks

Cavaliers vs. Nuggets picks aren’t the only avenue hoops fans have to getting in on today’s NBA action.

You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states. 

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

John is a graduate from Quinnipiac University with a Master’s Degree in Sports Journalism. With almost 15 years working in radio, TV and blogs, it includes stops at ESPN, NBC Sports, and Audacy. Along with being an avid sports fan, he is into fitness and cooking.

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