Buccaneers vs. Jets Prediction, Spread, NFL Preseason Picks

While the Hall of Fame Game took place last week, the true opening week of the preseason continues this weekend. One key matchup pits the New York Jets against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 7 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium.

The Bucs missed the playoffs for the first time in six seasons last year, while the Jets' postseason drought extended to 15 consecutive campaigns. In this one, New York returns a 1.35x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if it comes out on top.

Below, we'll break down our Buccaneers vs. Jets prediction and picks for Friday’s NFL preseason game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

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Buccaneers vs. Jets Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for NFL Preseason – Friday, August 14

The Jets enter Friday’s game as 5.5-point home favorites against the Buccaneers, returning a 1.35x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Buccaneers vs. Jets NFL preseason game on PrizePicks.

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Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Buccaneers vs. Jets Prediction on Over/Under for NFL Preseason – 8/14/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Buccaneers vs. Jets prediction on the Over/Under for Friday, August 14’s game. 

• The Bucs averaged 21.7 points per game in the 2025 preseason, while the Jets racked up 19.7 PPG across their three preseason contests in 2025.
• The Jets were one of the more lackluster defensive units in 2025, surrendering the second-most PPG (29.6) while also yielding 355.6 total yards per game (25th).
• New York gave up an EPA/play of 0.13, which ranked 30th according to SumerSports. Opposing teams also had a 44.44% success rate when facing the Jets' defense, ranking 21st across the NFL.
• Last preseason, there were a total of at least 36 points scored in all three of the Jets’ games. Meanwhile, two of the Bucs’ 2025 preseason contests returned at least 36 points.
• The over is 2-0 in each of the last two matchups between the Bucs and Jets.

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Buccaneers vs. Jets Picks, Player Stats for NFL Preseason on PrizePicks: 8/14/26

Here are the top Buccaneers vs. Jets picks to target on Friday, August 14. Today’s NFL preseason picks for PrizePicks include QB Connor Bazelak and WR Arian Smith.

Buccaneers QB Connor Bazelak vs. Jets: 84.5 Pass Yards

• Veteran QB Jake Browning, who signed with the Bucs in the offseason, was expected to start Friday’s game but suffered a back injury during Tuesday’s joint practice with the Jets. Head coach Todd Bowles hasn’t ruled Browning out for Friday’s contest, but if he can’t go, Bazelak would likely get the start.
• Bazelak played his final two collegiate seasons at Bowling Green before going undrafted in 2025. The Ohio native spent the 2025 campaign as a member of the Bucs’ practice squad, so there is a sense of familiarity with the team’s playmakers.
• The Tampa Bay signal-caller threw for at least 106 yards in two of the team’s three preseason games in 2025. In total, Bazelak completed 69.6% of his passes (32-of-46) for 261 yards and a touchdown, while being sacked on just one occasion.
• New York’s defense struggled to defend the pass last season. According to SumerSports, it ranked 30th in EPA/pass at 0.25. 

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Jets WR Arian Smith vs. Buccaneers: 18.5 Rec Yards

• Smith racked up 4 receptions for 57 yards in three games during the 2025 preseason.
• The Jets’ 2025 fourth-round pick will be fighting to secure a roster spot in a very crowded depth chart behind Garrett Wilson, Adonai Mitchell, and 2026 first-round pick Omar Cooper Jr. Jets HC Aaron Glenn said his starters will play 25-30 snaps during the preseason, so it’s possible that Smith could be in line for extended playing time.
• The Bucs proved to be extremely vulnerable against the pass throughout the 2025 season and lost CB Jamel Dean in free agency. Tampa Bay allowed the fifth-most receiving yards per game (238.2).
• Tampa Bay also surrendered the sixth-most total passing yards (4,332) in 2026.

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With Bucs QB Baker Mayfield slated to sit out Friday’s preseason opener, Connor Bazelak may get a chance to run the offense for an extended period. Can the second-year man make a case to be Mayfield’s backup against a feisty New York squad?

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