The first pitch for the Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers game is set for 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 10, with the Dodgers entering as home favorites, returning a 1.69x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Today is a rubber match, closing the three-game series with the score knotted at 1-1. The Dodgers both won and covered the run line in the first game, 3-1, while the Braves both won and covered last night, 7-2.
Below, we'll break down our Braves vs. Dodgers prediction and picks for Sunday’s MLB game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Braves vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now.
{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction, Winner, Over/Under – Sunday, May 10
The Braves continued their fantastic season with a 7-2 win over the Dodgers last night. They are 27-13 overall and have the best run differential in baseball (+82). They extended their NL East lead to 8 games last night.
Last night’s game presented several more positives for the Braves. First, they were able to wait out SP Blake Snell at the plate. In his first start back from left shoulder fatigue, they knocked him off the mound in just three innings.
Second, SP Spencer Strider looked like his old self, going six innings with 8 strikeouts. After his fastball averaged just 94.6 MPH in his first start, it was back up to a 96.8 MPH average last night.
Despite last night’s loss, the Dodgers continue to be the class of Major League Baseball. They are off to what feels like a bit of a bumpy start but still hold a 24-15 record, leading the NL West by a game over the Padres. Plus, they have the second-best run differential in the league at +74.
Today, Los Angeles turns to SP Justin Wrobleski, who has been a revelation early in the season. He has a minuscule 1.25 ERA but scary peripherals (4.22 xERA, 5.15 xFIP). He generates very few swings and misses, so he may need Atlanta to put the ball in play to his defenders tonight.
Braves vs. Dodgers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, May 10
The Dodgers enter Sunday’s game as home favorites against the Braves, returning a 1.69x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Braves vs. Dodgers game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (2.38x payout)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (2.04x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Braves - 2.08x | Dodgers - 1.69x
Play the Braves vs. Dodgers winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction on Spread – 5/10/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Braves vs. Dodgers prediction on the run line for Sunday, May 10.
Lock in your Braves vs. Dodgers prediction on PrizePicks.
- The Braves are now 27-13-0 (67.5%) against the spread (ATS) this season, the best run line record in baseball.
- The Dodgers have battled issues at home this season; they are just 8-12-0 (40%) ATS in Dodger Stadium.
- Atlanta is one of a handful of teams in the majors that can match the Dodgers' offensive prowess. For the season, LA’s 121 wRC+ is only 2 points higher than Atlanta's at 119.
- The Braves not only have the better bullpen (3.7 xFIP vs. 3.77 xFIP), but they will also have the more rested bullpen, as the two-headed monster of RP Robert Suarez and RP Raisel Iglesias has yet to pitch in this series.
- Atlanta could also carry the starting pitcher edge in today’s matchup with Bryce Elder (2.83 xERA, 3.81 xFIP), who has far better advanced stats than Justin Wrobleski (4.22 xERA, 5.15 xFIP).
Braves vs. Dodgers Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 5/10/26
Here are the top Braves vs. Dodgers picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, May 10. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Bryce Elder and Justin Wrobleski.
Braves SP Bryce Elder vs. Dodgers Projection: 5 Strikeouts
- This is a really tough matchup for Elder, facing a Dodgers team that strikes out just 20.7% of the time, the seventh-lowest mark in the majors.
- Atlanta used just one reliever on Friday and two on Saturday, so they have a very fresh bullpen. This means Elder could have a shorter leash if he struggles early in this game.
- Elder faced this Dodgers team in L.A. on opening day last season and lasted just four innings with 3 strikeouts.
- Bryce Elder has a .240 BABIP, which is well below the league average of .288.
- He may be due for more hard-hit balls finding grass, which could mean some negative regression ahead.
Add Bryce Elder to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Dodgers SP Justin Wrobleski vs. Braves Projection: 4 Strikeouts
- Wrobleski's numbers are screaming negative regression.
- His 1.25 ERA is a full 4 runs above his xFIP of 5.15, and his current 3.75 K/9 is unsustainable for consistent success in the major leagues.
- Atlanta is striking out just 20.6% of the time, which is the sixth-lowest mark in the league.
- Wrobleski has met or exceeded this projection in just one of his six starts this season.
- He has a 5.5% swinging-strike rate. That's far below the 10.8% league average, which once again emphasizes potential regression.
Add Justin Wrobleski to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Braves vs. Dodgers Picks on PrizePicks
We’ve got playoff basketball and hockey today, but don’t forget to dedicate a screen to two of the best teams in baseball squaring off in a rubber match. Who will grab the series win on Sunday afternoon?
Don’t wait until lock — make your Braves vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stay locked in on Playbook for daily MLB predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 NBA Finals.
