Bears vs. Seahawks Prediction, Pick Against the Spread for Monday Night Football

On Monday Night Football, the Chicago Bears (5-2) hit the road to face the Seattle Seahawks (4-3) at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Seahawks enter as 3.5-point road favorites on the spread, per PrizePicks.

The Bears are fresh off a 30-24 win in Week 7 over the New England Patriots on Thursday Night Football, whereas the Seahawks most recently took out the Kansas City Chiefs 20-3 on Sunday Night Football. 

Both teams made recent headlines in the trade market. Chicago acquired DT Jeffery Simmons from the Tennessee Titans, while Seattle traded for G Quenton Nelson from the Indianapolis Colts. 

Which team will come away with the victory tonight?

Below, we’ll break down our Bears vs. Seahawks prediction and pick against the spread for Monday Night Football in NFL Week 8.

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Bears vs. Seahawks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Monday Night Football – November 2

The Seahawks enter Monday’s game as 3.5-point home favorites against the Bears, returning a 1.53x payout on PrizePicks if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Bears vs. Seahawks game on Monday Night Football, via PrizePicks. 

PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Make your Bears vs. Seahawks prediction on the spread on PrizePicks.

Even with starting QB Caleb Williams missing three games to injury, the Bears come into Monday averaging the third-most YPG (390.7), and they've scored 30+ points in back-to-back weeks with him under center.

In their Week 7 win over New England, Williams completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards and 2 TDs, giving him two straight games with 300+ passing yards. WR Luther Burden did a good chunk of the damage, hauling in 4 receptions for 130 yards and a TD. 

This season, Williams is averaging the fifth-most adjusted passing YPA (8.7), and he’s fifth in adjusted EPA/play (0.269), per RBSDM. 

The Bears’ offense is generally healthy, though it'll be without RB Kyle Monangai again, which may leave RB D’Andre Swift with a hefty role tonight. Last week with Monangai sidelined, Swift rushed 22 times for 78 yards and a TD while adding 4 receptions for 12 yards.

Chicago’s defense is ninth in both PPG (20.4) and YPG (313.4), but that has more to do with the offense dominating time of possession. The Bears have a league-high 59.2% TOP percentage, leading to the defense facing the fewest plays per game (50.1). 

In fact, the D allows the NFL’s most yards per play (6.3), so it's potentially vulnerable if the offense has an off night. It makes sense that the Bears made the move for Simmons to improve this group.

The Seahawks’ offense is a respectable 11th in PPG (24.0) and 12th in YPG (343.3), but turnovers have been a notable issue for QB Sam Darnold. He's thrown an INT in all five of his complete games this season and has tossed up 2 INTs three times.

Darnold was serviceable in last week’s victory over the Chiefs, completing 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT. As usual, he relied heavily on star WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who caught 9 of 12 targets for 150 yards and a TD.

Seattle’s run game has struggled at times due in part to injuries, but it could be back at full strength on Monday with both RB Zach Charbonnet and RB Jadarian Price no longer having game designations. It’s unclear if Price will be activated off injured reserve, but Charbonnet is expected to make his 2026 debut.

The addition of Nelson should further give this rushing attack a boost, as the offensive line is just 27th in run block win rate, per ESPN. Of course, the true strength of this team is its stellar defense, which is third in PPG (17.9) and first in YPG (233.9). It's also first in defensive DVOA, according to FTN. 

This game could boil down to a strength versus strength battle between Chicago’s offense and Seattle’s defense.

Bears vs. Seahawks Prediction on Spread for Monday Night Football – 11/2/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Bears vs. Seahawks pick against the spread for Monday Night Football on November 2.

• Although the Seahawks have solid surface-level numbers on offense, they’re just 23rd in EPA/play (-0.042) and 20th in success rate (42.4%).
• Darnold is 20th among 35 qualified QBs in adjusted EPA/play (0.040).
• Over the past two games with Williams healthy, the Bears have averaged 0.275 dropback EPA/play. That would be the league’s second-best mark if maintained over the full season.
• Despite some concerns for the Bears’ defense, the unit is 14th in EPA/play allowed (-0.018) and fifth in success rate (41.0%).
• Both defenses do a good job of getting to the QB. The Seahawks are second in pressure rate (45.2%), while the Bears are sixth (39.6%), per Sharp Football Analysis. Seattle is also second in pass rush win rate (61%) compared to ninth for Chicago (53%).
• The Bears could be well-equipped to handle the Seahawks’ pass rush, though, as they’re fourth in pass block win rate (57%). Seattle is just 21st in the metric (47%), though the addition of Nelson could improve that. 

Lock in your Bears vs. Seahawks picks on PrizePicks before kickoff!

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This is a compelling matchup between one of the NFL’s top offenses and one of the best defenses. Will the Seahawks take care of business at home, or can the Bears get a statement win against the defending champs? 

Don't wait until kickoff — make your Bears vs. Seahawks picks on PrizePicks now for Week 8 and earn real money if you're right.

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