After a thrilling 3-3 draw in the opening leg of their Champions League knockout play-off, Atletico Madrid welcomes Club Brugge to the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid on Tuesday for the second leg with a spot in the final 16 on the line.
The Tuesday afternoon showdown at 12:45 p.m. on Paramount+ sees the two-legged tie sitting on a knife’s edge. But Club Brugge struggled mightily on the road in the league stage.
Will Brugge be able to overcome an Atletico Madrid side boosted by their home fans?
Below, we’ll break down our Atletico Madrid vs. Club Brugge prediction and PrizePicks UCL picks for Tuesday afternoon’s Champions League game. Make your Atleti vs. Brugge picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including Champions League winners, spreads, and totals for every game!
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Atletico Madrid vs. Club Brugge Prediction, Spread, Picks Today
Atletico Madrid can score at an elite level, as they showed in the first leg of this knockout play-off and again over the weekend in a 4-2 win over Espanyol. But they have now conceded 8 goals over their last three matches.
Needing a win to secure a top-eight spot in the league phase, Diego Simeone’s side capitulated 2-1 at home on the final match day to Bodo/Glimt.
Four away matches in the UCL league phase for Club Brugge saw them suffer three defeats, with the only positive outcome coming via a 2-1 win at basement-dwelling Kairat Almaty. Two of those defeats — away to Bayern Munich and Sporting Lisbon — saw them concede 7 goals, while failing to score a goal.
That said, the visitors have hope after scoring 3 vs. Atletico Madrid last week. Atletico Madrid and Club Brugge have met four times previously in European Competition, and the Spanish side has yet to taste victory. That will have to change here if Brugge is to advance.
Atletico Madrid vs. Club Brugge Spread, Total Goals, Payouts
Atletico Madrid enters Tuesday's game as home favorites, returning a 1.36x payout ($100 entry pays out $136) on PrizePicks Team Picks if the Spanish giants win outright.
Club Brugge are road underdogs with a 6.25x ($625 payout on a $100 entry) payout if the Belgian outfit wins, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Winner Payout: Atletico Madrid – 1.36x | Tie – 5.26x | Club Brugge – 6.25x
Spread: Atletico Madrid -1.5 (2.00x Payout)
Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 2.12x)
Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.63x | No 2.22x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change. Totals do not include extra time or penalty shootout.
Atletico Madrid vs. Club Brugge Prediction to Win
Here are some stats and trends to know to help you make your Atletico Madrid vs. Club Brugge prediction for UEFA Champions League play-off on Tuesday, February 24.
- Atletico Madrid won three of their four home fixtures in the league phase, outscoring opponents by a significant 11-5 margin.
- Atletico Madrid failed to keep a clean sheet in their nine Champions League matches thus far.
- Club Brugge have just one clean sheet in the competition thus far through nine matches.
- Expect the home side to be on the front foot early and often, with Atletico Madrid’s 281 touches in the opposing penalty area are sixth-most in the competition.
- Club Brugge will need to stay tight at the back, as Atletico Madrid’s 26.9 accurate long balls per match are fourth-most in the competition.
- The Belgian side has conceded the fourth-highest expected goals against (xGA) mark in the competition, allowing 20 goals from 19.6 xGA.
- Club Brugge has taken victory in eight of their last 10 knockout-stage matches in European competition. They’ve also won six of the last nine such legs played on the road.
- Club Brugge lost three of their four away league-phase matches, scoring just five goals in the process while conceding 10. This includes two shutout defeats.
- Under manager Ivan Leko, who recently re-joined Brugge in December, the Belgian side has lost just one of its last eight Champions League outings with three wins and four draws.
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Atletico Madrid vs. Club Brugge Projected Lineups
Here are the projected Atletico Madrid vs. Club Brugge lineups for Tuesday's Champions League match. Lineups are not official.
Atletico Madrid Lineup vs. Club Brugge: Projected 4-4-2
- Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
- Defense: Nahuel Molina, Marc Pubill, David hancko, Matteo Ruggeri
- Midfield: Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Marcos Llorente, Ademola Lookman
- Forwards: Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez
Club Brugge Lineup vs. Atletico Madrid: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Simon Mignolet
- Defender: Kyriani Sabbe, Joel Ordonez, Brandon Mechele, Joaquin Seys
- Midfielder: Aleksandar Stankovic, Hugo Vetlesen; Christos Tzolis, Hans Vanaken, Mamadou Diakhon
- Striker: Nicolo Tresoldi
Atletico Madrid vs. Club Brugge Picks for UCL: Tuesday, February 24
Here are three top Atletico Madrid vs. Club Brugge picks to target on players for Tuesday, February 24 for PrizePicks. UCL picks via PrizePicks are headlined by Julian Alvarez, Jan Oblak, and Ademola Lookman.
Julian Alvarez vs. Club Brugge
Julian Alvarez Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Goal + Assist (Goblin), 0.5 Fouls (Goblin), 2.5 Shots (Goblin)
- Through eight Champions League appearances this season, Alvarez has scored 5 goals and notched 2 assists.
- Alvarez has scored in five of those eight matches, including a penalty in the first leg.
- Alvarez has tallied 8.4 xG + xA in the competition, ranking him third among all players behind only Kylian Mbappe and Anthony Gordon.
- Club Brugge have shown issues defending down their left flank this season. In their last eight Champions League outings, opposing right-sided attackers have either scored or assisted in seven of them.
- Alvarez is an aggressive player, which often leads to fouls. He averages 1.15 fouls per 90 minutes in the Champions League this year, and registered 2 fouls in the first leg.
Jan Oblak vs. Club Brugge
Jan Oblak Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Saves (Demon), 1.5 Goals Allowed (Demon)
- Oblak faced 10 shots on target in the first leg against Brugge. He registered seven saves in the match.
- Oblak is averaging 2.9 saves per 90 minutes in the Champions League this campaign.
- The Slovenian keeper has been seeing an increase in shots of late. According to FBRef, Atletico’s last four opponents have averaged 6.25 shots on target per 90 minutes with Oblak saving 16 of the 25 faced.
- Oblak has conceded eight goals in his last three matches, and has conceded an average of 2.1 goals per match in the competition.
Ademola Lookman vs. Club Brugge
Ademola Lookman Projections via PrizePicks: 1.5 Shots (Goblin), 0.5 Goals (Demon), 0.5 Goal + Assist (Goblin)
- Ademola Lookman has needed no time to acclimate himself to his new club. Since his transfer from Atalanta in February, the winger has 4 goals and 2 assists in six matches with Atletico Madrid.
- Lookman is making the most of his time on the pitch, averaging a goal involvement once every 62 minutes for the Spanish side.
- In the first leg against Brugge, Lookman scored a goal and had another effort blocked inside the six-yard area.
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Make Champions League Picks on PrizePicks
As the only second-leg matchup that sees both sides level on aggregate, there will be plenty of excitement and drama surrounding today’s match between these two sides in the Spanish capital.
The Metropolitano will be rocking as Atletico Madrid seeks to advance to the Champions League Round of 16 at the expense of Club Brugge. But Atletico vs. Brugge is just one of the matches where fans can get in on the UEFA Champions League action on PrizePicks on Tuesday.
You can make your UEFA Champions League picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued UCL predictions, picks, and analysis until a champion is crowned.
