Although it’s a matchup between a team in pursuit of the Premier League trophy and a team that’s guaranteed to be relegated, all eyes will still be on Arsenal against Burnley on Monday, May 18 at 3:00 p.m. ET on USA Network.
According to PrizePicks Team Picks, Arsenal is heavily favored as the hosts, returning a 1.07x payout if they secure a victory.
Below, we’ll discuss our Arsenal vs. Burnley prediction and picks for Monday’s EPL match at Emirates Stadium.
Make your Arsenal vs. Burnley prediction on PrizePicks for today’s match.
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Arsenal vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks for EPL – Monday, May 18
It all comes down to this, as Arsenal can’t afford to slip up in their final two games, with Man City biting at their heels at the top of the Premier League table. Following back-to-back 3-0 victories by Man City, they are only 2 points back of Arsenal atop the standings and now have the edge in goal difference.
While also aiming to win the Champions League, Arsenal have strung together three straight wins in the EPL. The Gunners will have to wait until May 30 to play their first-leg UCL match against PSG, which is nearly a week after the EPL season comes to a close.
At the moment, a prediction of “Yes” for Arsenal to win the Premier League carries a 1.17x payout. Meanwhile, “Yes” for Man City to be the EPL winner has a 4.54x payout.
Burnley’s fate has been sealed for quite a while, as the EPL club will be relegated to the EFL Championship league next season. With two games remaining, Burnley holds a dismal 4-9-23 record with only 21 points.
The last time Burnley secured a win in the Premier League was on February 11 against Crystal Palace, and they have posted a 0-3-7 record across their last 10 EPL matches.
Arsenal vs. Burnley Spread, Total Goals, Payouts – Monday, May 18
Arsenal enters Monday’s EPL match as massive home favorites, returning a 1.07x payout ($100 entry pays out $107) on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
- Winner Payout: Burnley – 16.66x | Tie – 9.09x | Arsenal – 1.07x
- Spread: Arsenal -2.5 (1.78x Payout)
- Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 1.85x)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes 2.5x | No 1.49x
Play the Arsenal vs. Burnley spread or total goals on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change. Does not include extra time or penalties.
Arsenal vs. Burnley Prediction on Total – 5/18/26
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Arsenal vs. Burnley prediction on the total goals scored for Monday, May 18. Check out more of our soccer picks and predictions on Playbook.
Lock in your Arsenal vs. Burnley prediction on PrizePicks now.
- There have been fewer than 4 total goals scored in eight straight Premier League matches for Arsenal.
- Across their 18 home matches in the EPL, Arsenal has seen 4 or more total goals scored in only three of them.
- On the other hand, Burnley has supplied 1 or fewer goals scored in 14 of their 18 away games in the Premier League.
- In their five games against the three teams currently in the relegation zone (West Ham, Burnley, and Wolves), Arsenal has seen 3 or fewer goals scored in four of them. That includes a 2-0 victory over Burnley on January 11.
- Arsenal is an elite defensive club, tallying the most clean sheets (18) and fewest xG conceded (27.1) in the EPL, per FotMob.
- Burnley isn’t a lethal team on the attack, generating the fewest shots on target per match (3.1) and the fewest xG (31.3) in the Premier League.
Arsenal vs. Burnley Projected Lineups
Here are the projected Arsenal vs. Burnley lineups for today's EPL match. Lineups are not official.
Arsenal Lineup vs. Burnley: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: David Raya
- Defense: Piero Hincapie, Gabriel Magalhaes, William Saliba, Cristhian Mosquera
- Midfield: Myles Lewis-Skelly, Declan Rice, Martin Odegaard
- Forwards: Eberechi Eze, Viktor Gyokeres, Bukayo Saka
Burnley Lineup vs. Arsenal: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Martin Dubravka
- Defense: Quilindschy Hartman, Maxime Esteve, Hjalmar Ekdal, Kyle Walker
- Midfield: James Ward-Prowse, Florentino, Lesley Ugochukwu
- Forwards: Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming, Marcus Edwards
Arsenal vs. Burnley Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks for EPL – 5/18/26
Here are two Arsenal vs. Burnley picks to target on players for Monday, May 18. Player picks via PrizePicks are headlined by Viktor Gyokeres and Maxime Esteve.
Arsenal F Viktor Gyokeres vs. Burnley
Viktor Gyokeres Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Goals (Goblin), 3.5 Shots, 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin)
- Viktor Gyokeres has scored at least 1 goal in three of his last six EPL outings, totaling 4 goals during that span.
- Plus, Gyokeres leads Arsenal in goals per 90 minutes (0.57) and xG (12.2) in the Premier League this season.
- Besides Gyokeres being a candidate to be subbed out before the full 90 minutes, he’s produced 4+ shots in only five of his 32 EPL appearances.
- Gyokeres has also generated at least 1 shot on target in three of his last six Premier League matches, totaling 6 shots on target in that timeframe.
Add Viktor Gyokeres to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Burnley DF Maxime Esteve vs. Arsenal
Maxime Esteve Projections via PrizePicks: 34.5 Passes Attempted, 8.5 Clearances
- Burnley may have to play from the back quite a bit in this contest, increasing the number of times the ball is passed to Maxime Esteve.
- Esteve has logged 36 or more passes in 12 of his last 14 EPL matches. He had 47 passes in the first meeting against Arsenal.
- Arsenal has the third-most touches in the opposition box (1,176), which could lead to more clearance opportunities from Esteve.
- Esteve has posted 9+ clearances in four of his last five Premier League contests.
Add Maxime Esteve to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Make Arsenal vs. Burnley Picks on PrizePicks
Arsenal has to take care of business in front of their home fans against one of the relegation teams on Saturday. Can Burnley get a surprise result as the visiting team and make things even more interesting in the final matchweek of the Premier League?
You can make your Arsenal vs. Burnley picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money on Premier League games. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct.
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Stick around with the Playbook for continued Premier League predictions, picks, and analysis through the end of the season.
