Two drama-filled Round of 16 matchups lead up to the final 2026 World Cup Quarterfinal match, with Switzerland and Argentina looking to punch their tickets to the World Cup Semifinals.
Argentina arrives as the favorite to advance after a dramatic comeback performance against Egypt in the Round of 16. Meanwhile, Switzerland will look to pull off back-to-back upsets against South American teams after defeating Colombia in a penalty shootout earlier this week.
Saturday’s match is set to kick off at 9 p.m. ET, with the winner taking on the winner of England vs. Norway in the World Cup Semifinal next Wednesday. Argentina is being given a 1.28x payout to advance, with an implied 75% chance of doing so, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Switzerland is once again an underdog, with a 3.44x payout to advance to the World Cup Semifinals for the first time in the country’s history.
Below, we’ll break down our Argentina vs. Switzerland prediction and picks for Saturday night’s 2026 World Cup Quarterfinals match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Argentina vs. Switzerland Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, July 11
How to watch Argentina vs. Switzerland: FOX (English) / Telemundo/Peacock (Spanish)
Kickoff Time: 9 p.m. ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
The reigning World Cup champions continue to find a way, even when it seems like all hope is lost. Lionel Scaloni’s squad was down 2-0 with less than 21 minutes left of game time remaining before scoring three unanswered goals and defeating Egypt on Tuesday afternoon.
Despite being significantly favored in both knockout-round games to date, Argentina has shown both weakness and resilience in its two wins. La Albiceleste will now look to secure its spot in the World Cup Semifinals for the second tournament in a row against World Cup dark horses, Switzerland.
Switzerland has matched its best-ever World Cup finish with an appearance in Saturday’s Quarterfinals match. They now face a team that they have never beaten in four previous encounters dating back to the 1966 World Cup.
After allowing 1.0 goal per game in the group stage, Switzerland has yet to concede in the knockout rounds and will likely need another strong defensive performance with Lionel Messi and company looking to continue their heavy attacking output later tonight.
PrizePicks is offering a discount on Messi’s shots in today’s game, with the 39-year-old still firing on all cylinders at this year’s World Cup. For a limited time, his standard 4.5-shot projection has dropped to 3.5 on PrizePicks.
Argentina’s all-time leading goalscorer is firmly in the Golden Boot race, tied with France ST Kylian Mbappé at 8 goals. Messi has accounted for over 57% of Argentina’s goals at the competition and shows no signs of slowing down heading into the Quarterfinals.
Despite man-marking, low blocks, and extra defensive attention, Messi has managed to score in all five appearances, with 2 or more goal contributions in three of his four starts.
Switzerland will attempt to be the first squad to slow one of the all-time greats in hopes of upsetting Argentina on Saturday evening. The reigning champions have shown holes in defense, specifically in transition, that have led to multiple goals in the Round of 16 and Round of 32.
The European side will once again be without leading goalscorer and assist leader Johan Manzambi, who is sidelined with a knee injury that kept him out of the Colombia match earlier in the week. Murat Yakin’s squad has not scored a goal while the 20-year-old has been off the pitch throughout the entire tournament.
It’s difficult to not back Argentina to advance to the World Cup Semifinals despite some of the issues we’ve witnessed during the knockout rounds. Switzerland certainly has the quality to pull off an upset, but taking down the reigning champions has proven to be a tall task.
Expect Switzerland to counterattack and try to stifle Argentina's prolific attack with a low block, as most teams have during the 2026 World Cup.
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Favorite to Advance, Spread, Total for World Cup Quarterfinals
Argentina enters Saturday’s game as the favorite to advance, returning a 1.63x payout if they win outright during regulation, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Switzerland will look to take its chances on the counterattack but, overall, will likely try to stay disciplined in defense and push this game past 90 minutes.
Here are the full payouts for the Argentina vs. Switzerland match on PrizePicks.
To Advance Payout: Argentina – 1.28x | Switzerland – 3.44x
90-Minute Winner Payout: Argentina – 1.63x | Tie – 3.33x| Switzerland – 5.26x
Spread: Argentina -1.5 (3.03x Payout)
Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 2.22x)
Both Teams to Score: Yes 2x | No 1.75x
Make your Argentina vs. Switzerland Quarterfinals prediction on the spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!
Team Picks markets are settled after full-time (90 minutes + stoppage). Extra time and penalties are not included.
Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.
Argentina vs. Switzerland Prediction on Total Goals for World Cup Quarterfinals
Here are the key stats and trends for Argentina vs. Switzerland before making your World Cup Quarter Finals 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.
- Argentina has scored 2 or more goals during regulation in four of its five matches. After conceding 0 goals in its first two matches, Argentina has now conceded 5 over its last three games.
- Only France (16) has scored more goals than Argentina (14) at the 2026 World Cup. Argentina’s 6 goals (Regulation + Extra Time) in two knockout games are the most of any team remaining in the competition.
- Switzerland games have had 3 or more total goals just twice over five matches. The European side is averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per game.
- Argentina and Switzerland rank fifth and sixth, respectively, in xG at the competition. Argentina is massively outperforming its 9.3 xG, tallying 14 goals in total. Meanwhile, Switzerland has slightly underperformed relative to its 9.1 xG, scoring 9 goals in the competition.
- We could be in for a slow first half, with both sides scoring 7 goals apiece in the final 45 minutes of games at the World Cup. Switzerland has yet to concede a first-half goal in any of its five matches.
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Argentina vs. Switzerland Lineups for World Cup Quarterfinals – Saturday, July 11
Here are the projected Argentina vs. Switzerland lineups for today's World Cup Quarterfinals match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data.
Argentina Lineup vs. Switzerland Today
Projected Formation: 4-3-1-2
- Goalkeeper: Emiliano Martínez
- Defense: Nahuel Molina, Cristian Romero, Lisandro Martínez, Nicolás Tagliafico
- Midfield: Rodrigo De Paul, Leandro Paredes, Enzo Fernández, Alexis Mac Allister
- Forwards: Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martínez
Switzerland Lineup vs. Argentina Today
Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel
- Defense: Ricardo Rodríguez, Nico Elvedi, Manuel Akanji, Denis Zakaria
- Midfield: Granit Xhaka, Remo Freuler, Fabian Rieder
- Forwards: Dan Ndoye, Ruben Vargas, Breel Embolo
Argentina vs. Switzerland Picks, Player Stats for Quarterfinals: 7/11/26
Here are the top Argentina vs. Switzerland player picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, July 11. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Lionel Messi, Enzo Fernández, and Gregor Kobel. Make sure to take advantage of Lionel Messi’s discounted total shots line on PrizePicks.
Claim the PrizePicks Lionel Messi Discount for Argentina vs. Switzerland now!
Argentina ST Lionel Messi vs. Switzerland
Lionel Messi Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Goals, 4 Crosses, 1.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)
- Messi will look to continue his streak of scoring in every game of the competition on Saturday evening. The 39-year-old is tied with Norway’s Erling Haaland with 1 goal per 51 minutes played at the 2026 World Cup.
- With teams looking to push Messi farther and farther from the goal, the Inter Miami superstar has been forced to use the attention he draws to play balls into the penalty area. Messi had just 8 crosses across the three group-stage games. He has logged 9 and 12 crosses in the two knockout-round games before the Quarterfinals.
- As mentioned, Messi has recorded multiple goal contributions in nearly every game he has started at the World Cup. The 39-year-old leads all players at the competition with 7.44 xG/A in his five appearances.
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Argentina AM Enzo Fernández vs. Switzerland
Enzo Fernández Projections via PrizePicks: 75.5 Passes Attempted, 0.5 Shots on Target (Demon), 1.5 Shots (Demon)
- Enzo Fernández has become Argentina’s primary midfielder, playing as the No. 8 under Scaloni. The 2022 Young Player of the Tournament has seen a stark increase in touches during the knockout rounds, with Argentina averaging 64% possession in both games. Fernandez has tallied 80 or more passes attempted in back-to-back games, after not surpassing 70 in his two group-stage appearances.
- Fernandez’s stoppage-time winner against Egypt in the Round of 16 marked his third shot on target during the knockout rounds after having 0 in the group stage. The 25-year-old midfielder is becoming more aggressive as the tournament continues and will likely try his luck again later tonight.
- Despite not reaching the target early on, Fernandez has not been shy about taking chances at this year’s competition. The Chelsea superstar ranks second to Messi, with 2.0 shots per game across his four appearances.
Combine Argentina + Enzo Fernández World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks
Switzerland GK Gregor Kobel vs. Argentina
Gregor Kobel Projections via PrizePicks: 3.5 Goalie Saves, 35.5 Passes Attempted, 10.5 Goalie Fantasy Score
- Kobel will look to keep his third consecutive clean sheet after failing to keep any during the group stage. The Swiss keeper is averaging 3.2 saves per game and has made more than 3 saves just once in the competition.
- Switzerland has trusted Kobel with the ball at his feet and, at times, has asked the goalkeeper to come out and play as an extra defender when in possession. Kobel had 36 or more passes attempted in four straight matches after failing to reach that mark in the World Cup opener.
- Kobel is in for a busy evening with Argentina averaging 6.4 shots on target per game. The Borussia Dortmund keeper has reached a 14 goalie fantasy score in three straight games.
Combine Switzerland + Gregor Kobel World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks
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Make Your Argentina vs. Switzerland Quarterfinals Prediction on PrizePicks
Argentina looks to continue its title defense and book a place in the World Cup Semifinals when they face Switzerland later this evening. The Swiss, meanwhile, will look to pull off back-to-back upsets and reach the Semifinals for the first time in the country's history.
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