Argentina vs. Switzerland Pick: Will Lionel Messi Score a Goal Today?

Following Norway vs. England, Argentina vs. Switzerland will cap Saturday, July 11’s World Cup Quarterfinals doubleheader with a 9:00 p.m. ET kick-off on FOX. 

Argentina has been in the spotlight of late, and not for good, consistently benefiting from World Cup VAR decisions, paired with off-the-field allegations. La Albiceleste will look to silence those critics with another win against Switzerland, advancing to their second consecutive World Cup Semifinals.

PrizePicks Team Picks lists Argentina as the clear favorite with a 1.28x payout and 75% implied probability to advance vs. Switzerland. If they keep marching, Lionel Messi may need to turn in another big-time performance.

Will Lionel Messi score another goal today, maintaining his dominant form? Below, we’ll break down the GOAT’s matchup vs. Switzerland in the World Cup Quarterfinals, highlighting a Lionel Messi goal for projections on PrizePicks.

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Will Lionel Messi Score a Goal vs. Switzerland in the Quarterfinals?

Messi enters Saturday night’s fixture in excellent form, boasting 8 goals over only five matches, putting him in prime contention for the World Cup Golden Boot. After France ST Kylian Mbappé tied Messi’s goal total in Les Bleus’ 2-0 Quarterfinal win, Messi would pull ahead yet again if he scores a goal tonight.

The football legend tallied at least 1 goal in all five World Cup showings. In the Round of 16’s controversial win over Egypt, Messi rose to the occasion with a quick assist and goal within a five-minute span to tie the match, 2-2, at the 83rd minute.

Messi continues to carry Argentina’s attack by scoring 8 of the team’s 12 goals at World Cup 2026. Furthermore, La Albiceleste has fed their superstar 72.44 touches (100th percentile) and 7.24 touches in the box per 90 (88th percentile), via FotMob.

Those touches have led to a healthy volume of 6.37 shots per 90 (100th percentile). Plus, Messi has made those looks count with an absurd 3.73 shots on target per 90 (100th percentile). 

He ranks in the 100th percentile with 1.32 big chances created and 3.29 chances created per 90. It’s apparent who Argentina will continue to lean on for goals against Switzerland.

Saturday’s Quarterfinal match may be a tough test, as the Swiss have logged back-to-back clean sheets with 0.92 expected goals conceded per match in the knockout stage. For reference, 0.92 xG goals conceded per match would rank as the 15th-lowest mark among 48 teams in the World Cup, per Opta Analyst.

Lionel Messi Pick, World Cup Stats to Target vs. Switzerland

PrizePicks is offering a special Lionel Messi Discount for the Argentina vs. Switzerland World Cup Quarterfinal match. The Discount drops Messi’s standard 4.5 shot projection to only 3.5 for a limited time!

Alongside the Argentina vs. Switzerland promo, here’s a full list of Messi’s projections for today’s Quarterfinal fixture.

• 3.5 Shots (Discount)
• 4.5 Shots (Standard)
• 45.5 Passes Attempted
• 2 Shots on Target
• 0.5 Goals
• 4.5 Attempted Dribbles
• 4 Crosses
• 2.5 Shots Assisted
• 23 Fantasy Score
• 1.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)

With a feast of Messi’s projections laid out for tonight’s Argentina vs. Switzerland World Cup Quarterfinal match, which projection stands out among the bunch?

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Argentina ST Lionel Messi vs. Switzerland: 0.5 Goals

• As mentioned, Messi’s enjoyed plenty of chances to put one in the back of the net, led by 6.37 shots per 90 (100th percentile) at the World Cup.
• Switzerland conceded 15 shots and 2 big chances in their Round of 16 win in penalty kicks against Colombia. 
• Opponents have taken 70.21% of their shots in the box against the Swiss, ranking as the eighth-highest mark in the 48-team field and the highest among squads in the Quarterfinals.
• After Switzerland yielded 21 touches in the box vs. Colombia, Messi is dangerous as always with his 7.24 touches in the box per 90 (88th percentile).
• Additionally, the Swiss total 13.4 fouls per match (highest in Quarterfinals), and that’s alarming against Messi, who is Argentina’s primary penalty taker.
• Messi’s 2.20 successful dribbles per 90 (96th percentile) are relevant against a Switzerland defense that records 12.80 pressed sequences per match (10th-highest among 48 teams). The GOAT’s 55.6% successful dribble rate (83rd percentile) may lead to some looks on the goal if he beats the Swiss press.

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Make Argentina vs. Switzerland Picks on PrizePicks

Is Messi poised to score his ninth goal of the tournament, helping send Argentina to the World Cup Semifinals? Switzerland will likely need another outstanding defensive effort to keep Messi & Co. in check, as the Swiss chase their first World Cup Semifinals appearance.

Don’t wait until lock — make your Argentina vs. Switzerland picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

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