The Sunday, August 23 WNBA slate features four matchups, and each of them contains at least one projected playoff team. The Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo clash sees the visitors aiming for sustained success, whereas the hosts are looking to stop the bleeding.
Ahead of the 7 p.m. ET tip-off on Sunday, Las Vegas enters as a massive 13.5-point road favorite and returns a 1.07x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks with a victory. Can Toronto show some fight despite being outmatched and shorthanded this weekend?
Below, we'll break down our Aces vs. Tempo prediction and picks for Sunday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Aces vs. Tempo Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, August 23
These two squads have only faced one another a single time this year, taking place back on July 20. The Aces secured a huge 109-83 triumph thanks to 26 points from potential WNBA MVP C A’ja Wilson. After this one, the sides will meet again on Friday to complete the season series.
There’s no real championship hangover for Las Vegas, whose win rate is just 2.4% lower than the Finals-winning 2025 campaign. Head coach Becky Hammon’s crew got off to a blazing 17-6 start to the season, although things have cooled off to the tune of an 8-7 mark in the last 15 contests.
Make no mistake, though, as this remains a contender in a crowded postseason race. Thanks to Wilson's (25.9 points, 9.5 rebounds) and G Jackie Young’s (18.7 PPG) contributions on a nightly basis, Vegas’ offense is potent and experienced. On the other end, leading the league in blocked shots routinely sets the tone against opposing attacks.
The expansion Tempo were a .500 team through their first 18 games but are a scary 2-16 since that point. It’s been nothing short of a collapse for Toronto in its debut season, underscored by one of the worst defenses in the Association.
Star G Marina Mabrey is a lethal scoring threat, but it’s clear that this roster needs more firepower. The bright side for Toronto is, according to Tankathon, it holds the second-highest chance at securing the No. 1 pick in the 2027 WNBA Draft. Help could be on the way for Sandy Brondello’s group.
As the weekend comes to a close, the Aces are a game back of the Golden State Valkyries for the No. 2 seed in the WNBA Playoffs and are six games behind the league-leading Minnesota Lynx. Per ESPN’s WNBA Basketball Power Index, Vegas has a 60.2% chance of making the semifinals and a 10.8% chance to win it all.
Aces vs. Tempo Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, August 23
The Aces enter Sunday’s game as 13.5-point road favorites against the Tempo, returning a 1.07x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Here are the full payouts for the Aces vs. Tempo game on PrizePicks.
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Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.
Aces vs. Tempo Injury Report for Sunday, August 23
Let’s dive into the full Aces vs. Tempo injury report for Sunday, August 23, via WNBA.com.
Las Vegas Aces Injury Report
- G Dana Evans (leg): Questionable
Toronto Tempo Injury Report
- F Maria Conde (calf): OUT
- G Marina Mabrey (adductor): OUT
- F Aneesah Morrow (knee): OUT
- F Nyara Sabally (calf): OUT
- G Brittney Sykes (foot): OUT
Aces vs. Tempo Prediction on Spread – 8/23/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Aces vs. Tempo prediction on the spread for Sunday, August 23’s game.
- The Aces own an 8-7 record against the spread as road favorites, the second-best hit rate in the W. The Tempo are just 3-6 ATS as home underdogs, the third-worst mark.
- Although Las Vegas is far from a dominant rebounding team, the battle of the boards could still be an edge here. Toronto gives up the third-most rebounds per game at 43.9, also ceding the highest offensive rebounding clip at 30.4%.
- A similar trend exists in hustle plays in general, evidenced by databallr. The Aces’ -0.2 net rating from scrapping for possessions is sixth leaguewide, but the Tempo’s -6.0 figure is 15th out of 15 teams.
- No defense surrenders more points per shot than Toronto at 1.160. The Aces’ offense produces 1.151 PPS, good for fourth.
- Foes shoot 65.8% at the rim when facing the Tempo, the fifth-highest percentage in the Association. The Aces (73.2%) are the only team shooting 70% or better at the basket.
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Aces vs. Tempo Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/23/26
Here are the top Aces vs. Tempo picks to target on Sunday, August 23. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include G Jackie Young, C A’ja Wilson, and F Isabelle Harrison.
Aces G Jackie Young vs. Tempo: 30.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Young averages 29.8 points, rebounds, and assists per game this year. That figure is up to 32.4 in her last five contests.
- The five-time All-Star guard is a lethal shooter from deep, taking 5.9 3-pointers each time out and making 39.3% of them.
- Young has a total rebounding rate above 8% for the second year in a row, boosted by a 13.5% defensive board clip that’s her best since 2020.
- Toronto is far from a disruptive defense, sitting second-to-last in assist-to-turnover ratio allowed (1.688).
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Aces C A’ja Wilson vs. Tempo: 36.5 Pts + Rebs
- Wilson’s scoring and rebounding average is 35.4, holding steady at 35.5 against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The MVP candidate’s 3-point shot diet isn’t going away. She’s attempting a career-high 2.4 on a nightly basis and making 40.5% of them, forcing defenders to respect her range.
- Wilson’s 25.9 PPG and 32.6% usage rate slot into the respective 100th and 99th percentiles.
- The standout big is an otherworldly defensive rebounder, backed up by a 23.5% rate that ranks in the 95th percentile.
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Tempo F Isabelle Harrison vs. Aces: 15.5 Points
- Harrison is pouring in just 12.0 PPG on the year, including an ugly 8.4 average in the month of August.
- The former No. 12 overall pick has regressed at the rim, going from shooting 71.0% in 2025 to 58.5% in 2026.
- Harrison is a middling player when it comes to creating her own looks. Her 3.7 unassisted PPG puts her in the 50th percentile leaguewide.
- Per databallr, in 133 minutes with Harrison on the floor but Mabrey and Sabally off, Toronto’s offense has a -17.2 net rating and shoots 4.8% worse than league average on true shooting.
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Las Vegas’ red-hot pace has slowed down recently, but Sunday presents an opportunity to send a significant statement with a blowout win in hostile territory. Although Toronto’s season has gone south in a hurry, this remains a prideful club that may not go down without a fight.
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