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Xavier vs. UConn Prediction, Spread, CBB Picks: February 3, 2026

Xavier F Tre Carroll shoots a basketball in a CBB game.
AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster

The UConn Huskies (21-1) are back in championship form with an impressive 11-0 start in Big East play.

Head coach Dan Hurley’s squad hosts the Xavier Musketeers (12-10),who have struggled to a 4-7 record in league play. 

UConn hopes to avoid a letdown spot with a visit to second-place St. John’s on Friday. The Huskies are off an 85-58 rout of Creighton on Saturday, extending their winning streak to 17 games. 

Let’s look at the Xavier vs. UConn prediction, spread, and CBB picks for Tuesday’s tilt at PeoplesBank Arena in Hartford, tipping off at 7:00 p.m. ET on Peacock.

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Xavier vs. UConn Prediction, Spread, CBB Picks

The Huskies rolled the Musketeers in the first matchup in Cincinnati, 90-67 on New Year’s Eve as 12.5-point favorites.

Since January 2024, UConn has captured five of six matchups with Xavier and covered four times.

Xavier vs. UConn Over/Under, Spread

The Huskies enter this matchup as 17.5-point favorites, returning a 1.02x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Musketeers are road underdogs with a 11.11x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: UConn Huskies -17.5
  • Over/Under: 149.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Xavier 11.11x | UConn 1.02x

(Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change)


Xavier vs. UConn Numbers to Know

Here are some facts and figures to get you set for Xavier vs. UConn tonight, including insights on our Xavier vs. UConn prediction.

  • The Huskies failed to cover their first seven January games before Saturday’s blowout of Creighton as 6.5-point favorites. 
  • Prior to the win over Creighton, UConn’s previous four victories came by eight or fewer points.
  • Xavier snapped a three-game slide in Saturday’s 68-66 comeback win over DePaul. Head coach Richard Pitino’s squad outscored the Blue Demons at the free-throw line, 16-1.
  • Since winning at Georgetown on December 20, the Musketeers dropped four straight road games. Two of those setbacks to Creighton and Marquette came by one point apiece. 
  • Xavier cashed the over in nine of 11 conference games, although one of the unders hit last Saturday against DePaul. 
  • UConn sits second in Big East play in EFG% at 54.7 and 3-point shooting at 38.1%.
  • For the second time this season, the Huskies converted at least 50% from downtown against Creighton (16-of-31).
  • Xavier ranks 10th in conference action in defensive EFG% at 55%.
  • The second-worst offensive showing for Xavier in league play came at UConn in late December, shooting 46.4% on EFG%.

Xavier vs. UConn CBB Player Picks

Here are three top Xavier vs. UConn picks to target on Tuesday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by three players: UConn G Solo Ball, Xavier F Tre Carroll, and Huskies F Alex Karaban.

UConn G Solo Ball vs. Xavier Projection: 15.5 Points

  • Ball has struggled from the floor the last five games, shooting 22-of-65 (33.8%).
  • The junior scored 11 points against Creighton, his fifth performance of less than 15 points in the last seven games.
  • In the first matchup against Xavier, Ball shot an efficient 6-of-10 from the floor and racked up 17 points. 
  • In four of five home conference outings, the Virginia native put up 17 or more points, including a pair of 20+ point showings.

Xavier F Tre Carroll vs. UConn Projection: 17.5 Points

  • Carroll leads the Big East in scoring at 18.3 points per game (PPG).
  • In his first three seasons at FAU before transferring to Xavier, he never averaged more than 12.2 PPG. 
  • The senior has eclipsed this projection in six consecutive games, capped off by a 21-point performance against DePaul.
  • Carroll’s second-worst offensive showing of the season came in the December loss to UConn, scoring 9 points on 3-of-11 shooting.

UConn F Alex Karaban vs. Xavier Projection: 20.5 Pts+Rebs

  • The senior averages 13.5 PPG and 5.6 rebounds per game, while shooting a career-high 42% from deep.
  • Karaban put up a solid showing against Xavier in the first meeting, scoring 19 points and grabbing 7 rebounds. 
  • In five of the last eight games, the two-time National Champion hasn’t passed this projection.
  • Karaban shot 5-of-9 from the floor for 15 points against Creighton. In the previous three contests, he converted 9-of-35 field goal attempts.

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Make Xavier vs. UConn CBB on PrizePicks

UConn looks to stay red-hot and undefeated in Big East play with a home victory over Xavier.

There’s never been a better time to add to the excitement of every CBB moment than with PrizePicks.

There are hundreds of player stat projections on the CBB board for every game; just pick at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 34 states!

Check out the Playbook throughout the season for more CBB picks, predictions, and news every day.

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about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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