Sunday, July 5 will go down as a day when icons performed in special stadiums. Vini Jr. leads Brazil into the Round of 16 against Erling Haaland and the rising tide of Norway men’s soccer. Harry Kane of England takes on Mexico at Estadio Azteca, where El Tri’s rivals typically go to lose.
MetLife Stadium in New Jersey hosts this afternoon’s Brazil vs. Norway clash, a battle for the chance to meet Mexico vs. England’s winner in Miami’s quarterfinal on July 11. England’s sunset kickoff with El Tricolor could — and should — be one of the 2026 World Cup’s most viewed games.
Brazil is a bigger favorite over Norway than England over Mexico, but Little Canary and Three Lions remain today’s PrizePicks Team Picks favorites to advance. Below, we will break down our top 2026 World Cup predictions today in each Round of 16 match.
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World Cup Predictions, Schedule, Payouts to Advance, Over/Unders – Sunday, July 5
Before jumping into today’s World Cup match predictions, let’s glance at the full schedule for the Round of 16 on Sunday, July 5, including winner payouts and totals for each match via PrizePicks.
Team Picks markets are settled after full-time (90 minutes + stoppage). Extra time and penalties are not included.
Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.
Brazil vs. Norway: Round of 16
How to watch Brazil vs. Norway: FOX (English) / Telemundo (Spanish)
Kickoff Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium (New York/New Jersey Stadium), East Rutherford, New Jersey
- Payouts to Advance: Brazil 1.35x | Norway 3.03x
- Spread: Brazil -1.5 (3.03x)
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 (1.66x) | Under 2.5 (2.12x)
Mexico vs. England: Round of 16
How to watch Mexico vs. England: FOX (English) / Telemundo (Spanish)
Kickoff Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Estadio Azteca (Mexico City Stadium), Mexico City, Mexico
- Payouts to Advance: England 1.81x | Mexico 1.96x
- Spread: England -1.5 (5x)
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 (2.32x) | Under 2.5 (1.56x)
With kickoffs laid out for today’s Round of 16 action at World Cup 2026, it’s time to highlight our World Cup predictions for Sunday, July 5. Who will advance to the quarterfinal in Magic City?
Brazil vs. Norway Winner Prediction for World Cup Round of 16
Brazil’s scoring punch may still be underrated at the 2026 World Cup. Supporters are begging older World Cup megastars to awaken, rather than admiring Vini Jr.’s 4 goals in North America 2026. But if Brazil’s prediction to win is the correct one, it’s not due to a matchup of forwards.
Norway’s scoring has more than kept up with Brazil’s offense, despite Haaland sitting out France’s 4-1 win over the Vikings on Matchday 3. Brazil’s attack leads Norway’s in expected goals, 1.77 xG to 1.36 xG, but Norway has put the football in the net 10 times to Brazil’s 9.
It’s Brazil’s better defending that’s easy to miss, lost in the Neymar noise. Haaland has bagged 5 goals compared to Star Boy’s 4 tallies, however Brazil’s disciplined midfield and back-line corps has a 1.13 xGA average versus Norway’s 1.66 xGA, per FootyStats.
Little Canary needed a stoppage-time winner from Arsenal forward Gabriel Martinelli to outlast Japan 2-1 in the Round of 16. Norway advanced in a comparably heart-stopping fashion, prevailing 2-1 over a determined Ivory Coast team on Haaland’s winner at 85:22.
Those picking Norway to win may hope Brazil’s injury woes shape the contest. Lucas Paquetá is out, which could weaken Brazil on the flank. Barcelona forward Raphinha is also ailing, but there aren’t many injuries ailing Marquinhos’ back line, which is the key to victory today.
This isn’t 1998, when Norway caught Brazil napping at the World Cup. The hype around Norway has the favorites on their toes. It can upset Norway’s game plan to have Sander Berge facing Casemiro in central midfield, where Brazil can play keep-away to attempt to put Haaland on ice.
he deeper team’s possession edge may give Vini Jr. the chance to tally again. Don’t fret about Neymar or Raphinha’s statuses. Alisson is healthy between the posts, and Norway might have an uphill climb trying to beat him.
Find our full prediction and player picks here!
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Mexico vs. England Total Prediction for World Cup Round of 16
It’s telling that Mexico is as live of a ‘dog as you’ll find barking on the PrizePicks app. While the Three Lions are favored to win tonight’s clash, El Tricolor is earning some of its best predictions ever against a top-five nation in the FIFA world rankings.
England has lost to Mexico just once in 8 games since the 1950s, per 11v11. What’s driving the belief that this Mexico vs. England match is different? Start with the stadium that’s hosting.
Mexico extended a startling run of success at Estadio Azteca last Tuesday, whipping Ecuador 2-0 to take El Tri’s invincible streak at the venue to 26 matches. El Tri hasn’t lost at Estadio Azteca since 2013. In the World Cup, El Tri has an unreal 8-2-0 record on the grounds.
It’s about more than just supporters’ decibels. Mexico City’s elevation has caused opponents to soar shots, crosses, and corners high over the bar. Is Kane about to suffer the same fate?
Soured interest in PrizePicks “Yes” picks for “over 2.5 goals” signals a belief that both teams will labor to score. But in truth, Mexico’s tactics have opened up, and England has shown quality.
Punters are wringing their hands over Three Lions’ attack as usual. England’s scoreless skid in Group L was broken by midfielder Jude Bellingham and Kane against Panama, but England again froze against DR Congo in the Round of 32 until Kane’s late brace minted a 2-1 win.
Set aside the headlines and look at the numbers. Three Lions has fared well overall with the football at World Cup 2026, ranking T-5 as of Sunday morning with 27 shots on target.
Kane’s 5 goals tie him at third in the Golden Boot race. Just as impressive are midfielder Declan Rice’s 31 crosses, a category in which Rice could soon lead the tournament. Bellingham is doing all he can to spark England’s attack, taking 59 sprints in the last round, per FIFA.
El Tricolor is geared to add goals to today’s total. Mexico’s average shot totals contrast with the fine finishing touch of forward Julián Quiñones, who’s got 3 goals and an assist so far. Raúl Jiménez has been so fierce for Mexico; it’s like the striker has “Wolves” inside of him.
The game’s matchups are tuned to create offense, not a defensive mire. Mexico’s midfield must parry Bellingham’s passes with the converted back Érik Lira helming. But if Mexico’s teen Gilberto Mora gets space on a distracted Marcus Rashford’s flank, look out.
Kane seeks the box as often as he seeks long shots. He’s capable of booting the low strikes that work in Mexico City’s thin air. With Jiménez having had goalkeeper Jordan Pickford’s number in the past, Kane may be thinking he has to score for England to win.
Mexico vs. England is a game of superb attacks and clashing styles, the type of tilt that usually goes over 2.5 total goals. The possible light rain in Sunday’s forecast may help even more, given the chance a hydroplaning ball gets 2 fast teams operating at warp speed.
Who will advance from today’s Mexico vs. England match to reach the World Cup quarterfinals? Make your World Cup prediction on PrizePicks!
Make World Cup Round of 16 Predictions Today on PrizePicks
Will traditional World Cup victors carry the day, or will England and Brazil run into problems against a couple of the World Cup’s most dangerous Cinderellas in the Round of 16?
Don’t wait until lock — make your World Cup Round of 16 predictions on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.
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