Brazil vs. Norway Prediction, World Cup Picks, Lineups for Round of 16

Day two of the World Cup Round of 16 kicks off on Sunday, July 5, with a star-studded matchup between Brazil and Norway at 4:00 p.m. ET on FOX. Both squads narrowly escaped the Round of 32, each winning their opening knockout round match 2-1 early last week.

The two squads now meet at MetLife Stadium later this afternoon for a chance to reach the World Cup quarterfinals and play the winners of tonight’s game between Mexico and England.

The South American side is the favorite coming into Sunday’s match with a 1.35x payout to advance on PrizePicks. Carlo Ancelotti’s squad has been sharp on both sides of the ball, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 2 after four matches played. They now face their toughest challenge yet against a Norwegian side that has been one of the best attacking teams at the competition.

Below, we’ll break down our Brazil vs. Norway prediction and picks for Sunday’s Round of 16 match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Brazil vs. Norway prediction and World Cup Round of 16 picks on PrizePicks now!

{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Brazil vs. Norway Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, July 5

How to watch Brazil vs. Norway: FOX (English) / Telemundo (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 4 p.m. ET

Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

Despite many questions about squad selection, overall form, and player quality heading into the World Cup, Brazil has been one of the strongest teams in the competition so far.

After falling behind 1-0 early to Japan last Monday, Ancelotti’s squad honed in and took control of the game in the second half. Brazil ultimately found an equalizer through a rare MF Casemiro goal before finding a late winner by substitute LW Gabriel Martinelli.

Brazil has found the most success attacking from the left-hand side, with superstar LW Vinícius Júnior carrying much of the attacking load throughout the competition. The 25-year-old leads his squad with four goals and an assist, finding all four goal contributions in his three group-stage appearances.

The Real Madrid star was unlucky not to score against Japan but still created many chances for himself and others, arriving to the Round of 16 in top form.

After drawing its first match of the competition, Brazil has now won three straight and is on the brink of its ninth consecutive World Cup quarterfinals. The South American side now faces arguably its toughest challenge yet, against a Norwegian squad that has surprised many with its overall quality.

The World Cup dark horses have won all but one game in the competition, choosing to field their reserves in their final group stage game after having already qualified for the knockout round. These teams have met just once on this stage, with Norway defeating Brazil 2-1 at the 1998 World Cup.

Norway is tied for the third-most goals scored in the competition with 10 goals in its four matches. Led by world-class ST Erling Haaland, the European side has imposed its will on its opponents with an unconventional patented “lop-sided” attack featuring two forwards both listed at 6’4” or above.

Norway will look to shoot crosses into the box and utilize the space created by its two forwards playing away from each other, forcing defenders to play one-on-one in many situations. Haaland has been the primary beneficiary of Norway’s attacking style, scoring 5 goals in his first three career World Cup games.

Ståle Solbakken’s squad has conceded at least 1 goal in every match in the competition and has survived primarily by outscoring its opponents rather than sitting back to defend a lead. With the attacking quality both sides field, we should be in for an exciting back-and-forth affair by some of the world’s biggest stars.

Brazil vs. Norway: Favorite to Advance, Spread, Total Goals for World Cup Round of 16

Brazil enters Sunday’s game as the favorite, returning a 1.72x payout if they win outright in regulation, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Meanwhile, Norway will look to continue its hot attacking against a Brazil side that has been strong defensively. Look for Haaland and Co. to continue their top goal-scoring form as they enter the Round of 16, having scored multiple goals in all but one match so far.

Here are the full payouts for the Brazil vs. Norway match on PrizePicks.

To Advance Payout: Brazil – 1.35x | Norway – 3.03x

90-Minute Winner Payout: Brazil – 1.72x | Tie – 3.33x | Norway – 4.16x

Spread: Brazil -1.5 (2.94x Payout) 

Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.66x)

Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.51x | No 2.43x

Make your Brazil vs. Norway prediction on spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Team Picks markets are settled after full-time (90 minutes + stoppage). Extra time and penalties are not included.

Brazil vs. Norway Prediction on Total Goals for World Cup Round of 16

Here are the key stats and trends for Brazil vs. Norway before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.

• No team has scored more total goals in its matches than Norway. The European side has scored 10 goals while conceding 8 in its four matches played thus far.
• Norway is averaging 2.5 goals per game while recording 5 shots on target per contest. Solbakken’s squad ranks second in the competition with a 24% goal conversion rate, per FIFA.
• Both squads rank in the top 10 in xG, with Brazil slightly ahead of Norway, having 8.31 xG combined across their four matches. Norway ranks 10th with 7.66 xG, outperforming its expected goals by nearly 2.5 goals.
• Norway has the fewest shots of all teams remaining in the tournament, with 44 combined. Of Norway’s 11.0 shots per game, nearly 50% are on target. Brazil has been far more shot-happy, averaging 15.0 per game with 6.5 on target per match.
• Both teams typically see a large bulk of possession in their matches, with Norway dipping just under 50% and Brazil at nearly 58%. This has led Brazil to see just 10.0 total shots per game leading up to the Round of 16.

Lock in your Brazil vs. Norway prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!

{{worldcup_sweeps_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Brazil vs. Norway Lineups for World Cup Round of 16 – Sunday, July 5

Here are the projected Brazil vs. Norway lineups for today's World Cup Round of 16 match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data.

Brazil Lineup vs. Norway Today

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Alisson
• Defense: Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel Magalhães, Douglas Santos
• Midfield: Bruno Guimarães, Casemiro, Neymar
• Forwards: Rayan, Matheus Cunha, Vinícius Júnior

Norway Lineup vs. Brazil Today

Projected Formation: 4-3-3

• Goalkeeper: Ørjan Nyland
• Defense: David Møller Wolfe, Torbjørn Heggem, Kristoffer Ajer, Marcus Pedersen
• Midfield: Sander Berge, Patrick Berg, Martin Ødegaard
• Forwards: Antonio Nusa, Erling Haaland, Alexander Sørloth

Brazil vs. Norway Picks, Player Stats for World Cup Round of 16: 7/5/26

Here are the top Brazil vs. Norway player picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, July 5. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Vinícius Júnior, Erling Haaland, and Alisson.

Brazil LW Vinícius Júnior vs. Norway 

Vinícius Júnior Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Goals (Demon), 1.5 Shots on Target, 6.5 Attempted Dribbles

• As mentioned, Vini Jr. leads his squad with 4 goals in four games and will surely be a threat to pick up another today. The 25-year-old has the highest xG (3.87) on the squad and is taking a team-high 3.8 shots per contest.
• Of his 3.8 shots per contest, 2.5 of them have been on target. Vini has reached at least 2 or more shots on target in every match but one. The Madridista has posted 7 shots on target in his last two games combined.
• Vini Jr. has solidified himself as one of the world’s best dribblers and should have space to do so on the left flank later today. He is averaging exactly 6.5 attempted dribbles per contest and could see more based on Norway’s tendency to commit players forward with a high press. Vini may have space to operate one-on-one if Brazil can beat the press and find its superstar.

Combine Brazil + Vinícius Júnior World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

Norway ST Erling Haaland vs. Brazil 

Erling Haaland Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Goals (Demon), 3 Shots, 0.5 Fouls Drawn (Goblin)

• Norway’s all-time leading scorer now has an absurd 60 goals in 53 appearances for his nation. The 25-year-old is undoubtedly one of the best strikers in the world, and it is hard not to back him with his red-hot form heading into the Round of 16.
• Haaland accounts for more than 42% of Norway’s shots at this year’s World Cup. The Manchester City star is averaging 4.7 of Norway’s 11 shots per game despite receiving the majority of the defense's attention.
• The 6’4” athletic freak is a matchup nightmare for any defender, which often results in several drawn fouls throughout a contest. Haaland is being fouled once per game on average in his three games played at this World Cup. Expect Brazil’s aggressive defenders to utilize tactical fouls to try to slow down the goal-scoring machine that is Haaland.

Combine Norway + Erling Haaland World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

Brazil GK Alisson vs. Norway 

Alisson Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Goalie Saves, 26.5 Passes Attempted, 0.5 Goals Allowed (Goblin)

• Alisson has been relatively quiet this World Cup but now faces his most difficult challenge yet. The 33-year-old is averaging 2.8 saves per game and stopping 85% of shots faced across four matches. With Norway averaging 5.0 shots on target per game, Alisson is likely to be busier than usual this afternoon.
• Brazil may look to limit Alisson's involvement in build-up play given the counter-attacking threat Norway poses. Alisson has attempted 20 or fewer passes in back-to-back games despite Brazil's dominance in possession, and that trend is likely to continue.
• Norway could be far too dangerous at this year’s tournament to back Alisson keeping a clean sheet in this match. Even when benching its starters, the European side has found ways to score in every match at the World Cup. At least one goal from Norway could be ahead in this one despite Alisson’s strong start to the competition. 

Combine Brazil + Alisson World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Make Your Brazil vs. Norway Prediction on PrizePicks

Sunday afternoon’s fixture should be one of the most entertaining Round of 16 matches between two elite teams. Expect a top-notch goal-scoring performance from both teams as each side fights for its spot in the World Cup quarterfinals.

Don’t wait until lock. Make your Brazil vs. Norway picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

Pick World Cup players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, over/unders, and futures, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily World Cup 2026 predictions, picks, news, and analysis.