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The 2025 NFL season ended in heartbreak for the Green Bay Packers, as they lost 31-27 against the Chicago Bears in the Wild Card Round after holding a 21-3 lead at halftime. Despite the Packers failing to get the job done against the Bears, QB Jordan Love aired it out for 323 yards and 4 passing TDs in the loss.
With RB Josh Jacobs being placed on the Commissioner's Exempt List, Green Bay could lean on Love’s arm even more. That may lead to career-best numbers across the board and a positive fantasy football output.
Below, we’ll get into Love’s PrizePicks NFLSZN projections and discuss why he is a top fantasy football sleeper in 2026.
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Jordan Love 2026 Fantasy Football Projections
Across 15 starts in 2025, Love tallied 3,381 passing yards, 23 passing TDs, and 6 INTs. In terms of fantasy football production, he finished as just the QB21 in fantasy points per game (16.1).
Love’s best finish in fantasy football came in 2023, his first year as a starting QB, when he attempted a career-high 579 passes. As a result of Love seeing plenty of usage in 2023, he was the QB6 in fantasy PPG with 19.4.
Just a season ago, the Packers had the ninth-lowest pass rate over expected (-4.4%), as they were able to have Jacobs and the ground game lead the charge. Being that Jacobs won’t be available to start the year, it’s naive to believe Green Bay will immediately give MarShawn Lloyd, Chris Brooks, or Kaleb Johnson a massive workload.
As of publishing, Love has an average draft position (ADP) of 149.3 (QB18) on FantasyPros, making him an ideal late-round target at QB.
Find our staff's top 10 fantasy football sleepers HERE.
Jordan Love Projection: 3,525.5 Pass Yards
Even though Love wasn’t a reliable weekly contributor in fantasy football last season, he still produced the second-most EPA/play (0.21) and eighth-highest passing success rate (48.9%) among QBs with 250+ pass snaps.
Love also isn’t afraid to push the ball down the field, either, recording the eighth-highest average depth of target (aDOT; 9.0) and eighth-most yards per attempt (7.7) in 2025.
While Love has fallen short of reaching 3,500 passing yards in back-to-back seasons, he had 4,159 passing yards in 2023 when the Packers needed him to throw the ball more.
On top of Jacobs being sidelined for an uncertain amount of time, EDGE Micah Parsons is going to miss the start of the season as he recovers from injury, so the defense could also take a step back. This would, in theory, lead to more possessions for Love and Green Bay’s aerial attack.
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Jordan Love Projection: 24.5 Pass TDs
In his first three seasons as the starting signal-caller, Love has achieved 25+ passing TDs in two of them.
During the 2025 campaign, Love was 2 TDs short, but Jacobs dominated touches in the red zone with the ninth-most red-zone carries (52) and second-most red-zone rushing TDs (12).
Meanwhile, Love was efficient in the red zone, recording the sixth-best EPA/play (0.19) and ninth-most passing TDs (17) while throwing just 1 INT.
Along with having a formidable trio of wideouts in Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, and Matthew Golden, TE Tucker Kraft is expected to be healthy for Week 1.
Make NFL Picks on PrizePicks in 2026
The Packers may need Love to sling the ball around more in 2026 amid the absence of Jacobs and a potential decline from the defense. Will that lead to Love being a fantasy football sleeper this season?
Before the NFL begins, get in on the fun with PrizePicks NFLSZN projections. Pick 2-6 players, make predictions on their stats, and lock in your fantasy football squad on PrizePicks. Plus, you can pick game winners to earn real money all season long on PrizePicks Team Picks!
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