With the race for the postseason in full swing, Week 11 of the 2025 NFL campaign raises the stakes. As teams around the league jockey for seeding, players are eyeing huge performances on the big stage.
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Week 11 NFL TD Scorer Predictions
With PrizePicks’ NFL Free2Play $1M jackpot game, you can make Week 11 TD scorer predictions and win rewards if you’re right. This week’s targets to consider are headlined by Vikings RB Aaron Jones, Panthers RB Rico Dowdle and more.
Vikings vs. Bears TD Scorer Prediction – 1:00 p.m. ET
Vikings RB Aaron Jones
- In his last two games, Jones has recorded 23 touches for 167 yards and a TD.
- Week 10’s 27-19 loss to the Ravens saw Jones log his highest snap count total of the year — 46 reps (70.8% of those available).
- Jones scored a rushing TD in each of his games against the Bears last season. In 16 games against Chicago, his teams have a 15-1 record and he has 14 total TDs.
- This year’s Bears defense ranks 15th in average output yielded to RBs at 18.0 fantasy points per game.
Falcons vs. Panthers TD Scorer Prediction – 1:00 p.m. ET
Panthers RB Rico Dowdle
- Dating back to his Week 5 breakout, Dowdle has 827 scrimmage yards and 5 TDs in just six games.
- Dowdle scored a rushing TD in Week 3’s 30-0 drubbing of Atlanta at home.
- Atlanta’s defense allows more fantasy points per game (22.0) than all but three teams.
- The Falcons’ run defense is 29th in EPA/play, according to SumerSports.
Steelers vs. Bengals TD Scorer Prediction – 1:00 p.m. ET
Steelers RB Jaylen Warren
- In his last four games, Jaylen Warren has recorded between 16 and 20 touches while averaging 87.8 yards per contest.
- Among RBs with 60+ touches, Warren leads the field in missed tackles forced per touch and yards after contact per touch, per Fantasy Points Data.
- Warren’s received 66.7% of the Steelers’ rush attempts in the red zone, good for sixth among all ball carriers.
- The Bengals’ benevolent defense averages 1.0 rushing TDs allowed to RBs every game (third) and 0.44 receiving TDs (first).
Cardinals vs. 49ers TD Scorer Prediction – 4:05 p.m. ET
Cardinals TE Trey McBride
- Trey McBride is the unquestioned focal point in Arizona. He’s played 255 snaps in his last four games (87.3%), scoring at least one TD in each outing while also generating 46 targets.
- With WR Marvin Harrison Jr. missing Week 11 (appendicitis), the emphasis on feeding McBride could be even greater.
- In Weeks 6-9, no TE has come close to sniffing McBride’s combination of expected and actual output from a fantasy perspective.
- McBride’s 19 red zone targets are the second-most in the sport. His 6 red zone TDs put him in a three-way tie for third.
- The 49ers’ defense has been targeted more to TEs (80) than all but five teams. They rank 11th in most fantasy points afforded to the position (86.7).
Rams vs. Seahawks TD Scorer Prediction – 4:05 p.m. ET
Rams TE Tyler Higbee
- Tyler Higbee has logged at least 3 receptions in each of his last four games. He has a pair of TDs in that span.
- Higbee played in just three regular-season games last year, with one of them being against Seattle in Week 18. He had 5 catches for 46 yards and a score.
- After seeing his workload dip to 37% of snaps in Week 7, Higbee came out of the bye with 53% and 54% marks in Weeks 9 and 10.
- The Seahawks’ defense ranks ninth in average production given up to TEs at 9.96 fantasy points per game.
Eagles vs. Lions TD Scorer Prediction: Sunday Night Football
Eagles WR A.J. Brown
- A.J. Brown made an appearance last week’s story, only to finish with 2 receptions for 13 yards in a 10-7 win over the Packers.
- Prior to missing time with his hamstring injury, Brown recorded 4 grabs for 121 yards and 2 TDs in Week 7.
- Per NFL Pro, Brown averages a staggering 3.9 yards per route against man coverage. The Lions go to man on 43.9% of dropbacks, which is the most in the league.
- Detroit’s 13 TDs allowed to WRs is tied for the third-most in the NFL thus far.
Raiders vs. Cowboys TD Scorer Prediction: Monday Night Football
Raiders RB Ashton Jeanty
- Raiders rookie RB Ashton Jeanty is coming off back-to-back games with a TD for the first time in his young career.
- Jeanty’s involvement in the red zone is tremendous. He leads the league in percentage of team rushes there (76.9), as well as inside the 10-yard line (91.7) and inside the 5 (100).
- Dallas’ run defense is 30th in EPA/play and ranks fifth in most fantasy production allowed to the RB position (198.4 points).
- A matchup to watch: runs outside the tackles. According to NFL Pro, Jeanty averages 5.4 yards per carry on those looks and the Cowboys yield a 5.5-yard average against them.
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