Way Too Early 2024 NFL MVP Predictions & Fantasy Outlook

July 3, 2024

July 3, 2024

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes

Early 2024 NFL MVP Predictions

The 2024 NFL schedule has been released, and it's time to start making bold predictions about the MVP race. Here are our way-too-early top QB candidates for the 2024 MVP, roughly nine months before it will be awarded. Follow along to keep up with all of the latest NFL daily fantasy sports action.

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Patrick Mahomes - Kansas City Chiefs 

If Mahomes is healthy and Kansas City’s offseason moves pan out well, the man will be in this conversation. Coming off back-to-back Super Bowl titles, the two-time regular-season MVP received some much-needed reinforcements this offseason, too, in the form of Marquise Brown and deep threat Xavier Worthy, whom the Chiefs traded up for in Round 1 of last month's draft. As long as he's on the field, Mahomes can never be counted out of this award race.

  • Fantasy Stats: Mahomes led all QBs in fantasy points in 2023, with over 400 points in standard scoring leagues.
  • Strengths: Consistent high yardage and TD passes, minimal interceptions.

Joe Burrow - Cincinnati Bengals 

Thanks in part to the Bengals' unfortunate 2023 campaign, Cincinnati's schedule isn't quite as difficult as some of their division rivals'—especially in the first six weeks. If Burrow comes out hot (and lights up Kansas City in Week 2 and/or Baltimore three weeks later), he'll throw himself squarely into the conversation with much of the season still left to play. It is about how you finish, though, and Burrow would have to avoid a Dak Prescott-in-Buffalo-like performance when the Bengals face the Cowboys in December before finishing strong to seal the award. 

But all of the tools are there for Burrow, who missed all but five games last season due to injury, to thrive in 2024, with Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins in the aerial attack and an improved O-line. All of this, of course, is dependent on whether the fifth-year pro can stay healthy.

  • Fantasy Stats: Despite limited playtime in 2023, Burrow still managed to average over 20 fantasy points per game.
  • Strengths: Strong connections with top receivers, high touchdown potential.

Lamar Jackson - Baltimore Ravens 

He's a two-time MVP and the leader of a team that is expected to be in the thick of the AFC race once again in 2024. He's also one of the most electrifying players in professional sports. Health is the only question, and he just completed a full season after failing to do so in the previous two—and won MVP. 

He'll have a lot of the same pieces around him this fall, but will also be joined in the backfield by two-time NFL rushing champion Derrick Henry. Like Mahomes, Jackson will always be in this conversation at this point in the year.

  • Fantasy Stats: Jackson finished 2023 as the second-highest scoring QB in fantasy, thanks to his dual-threat ability.
  • Strengths: Rushing yards and rushing TDs, explosive playmaking.

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C.J. Stroud - Houston Texans 

Stroud had an outside chance of winning MVP in his NFL debut last season, ultimately settling for Offensive Rookie of the Year as a consolation. Houston responded by adding Stefon Diggs and Joe Mixon and drafting Stroud's old college buddy, tight end Cade Stover. 

Offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik already demonstrated a keen understanding of Stroud's abilities in 2023, so—barring injury— why Stroud shouldn't be even better in 2024. Add in a schedule that includes a navigable first six weeks (including matchups with Chicago, Minnesota, and New England), and we can see Stroud hopping into the race early.

  • Fantasy Stats: Stroud was a top-10 fantasy QB as a rookie, showcasing his potential.
  • Strengths: Accurate passing, improved supporting cast.

Tua Tagovailoa - Miami Dolphins 

Despite finishing 2023 as the NFL's leader in passing yards, Tagovailoa seemed to fade out of serious consideration for MVP in late December. He just didn't pack the same kind of punch—at least to the average fan—that Jackson or Prescott did, or his supporting cast was held against him. Tyreek Hill was an MVP candidate for a good chunk of the season. 

Odell Beckham Jr. has joined the explosive Dolphins offense, and while he won't be a transformative addition at this stage in his career, he gives Tagovailoa another option. We should expect Miami's offense to be equally good in 2024. If the Fins can finally win the AFC East—and if Tagovailoa can take the next step into the upper crust of quarterbacks—we'll likely hear his name mentioned in this conversation.

  • Fantasy Stats: Tagovailoa led the league in passing yards and was a top-five fantasy QB in 2023.
  • Strengths: High yardage games, strong receiving corps.

Josh Allen - Buffalo Bills 

Like Mahomes and Jackson, Allen is always going to be among the quarterbacks considered for MVP. There are worries about Buffalo's offensive potential without Stefon Diggs, but Bills fans are already primed to get heated online if first-round rookie Keon Coleman, a player Allen is excited to work with, replaces the departed star effectively. 

We’re not sold, but Allen is a special talent. I just hope the Bills don't keep asking him to do too much for them.

  • Fantasy Stats: Allen finished in the top three for fantasy QBs in 2023, known for his rushing TDs and passing yards.
  • Strengths: Dual-threat ability, red-zone efficiency.

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Anthony Richardson - Indianapolis Colts 

Here's where it gets fun. Remember Richardson? You know, the pillar of a human with freakish athleticism who carried question marks into the 2023 draft, then promptly dunked on them in his first month of play? Richardson's abrupt end to his rookie season may have made you forget about him, but we’re gearing up for a big year for the kid, who is playing for the right coach in Shane Steichen and has the chance to team up with rookie receiver Adonai Mitchell for plenty of alley-oops on the haters. 

Yes, we’re putting stock in Richardson, Mitchell, and the Colts, who also locked up the team's No. 1 receiver in Michael Pittman Jr. Richardson will certainly be mentioned among the top players in the league at his position.

  • Fantasy Stats: Richardson flashed MVP potential early in his rookie season, scoring over 25 fantasy points in multiple games.
  • Strengths: Incredible athleticism, strong arm.

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

While it's still early to predict who will emerge as the NFL MVP in 2024, these quarterbacks have shown the potential and possess the necessary tools to be in the running. Fantasy sports stats give us a glimpse of their individual brilliance and potential impact on the field. 

As the season unfolds, it will be exciting to see how these players perform and if they live up to the early hype. Keep an eye on these names—they could be the ones dominating headlines and fantasy leagues come the end of the year. Join the action with PrizePicks daily fantasy sports.

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