The Houston Rockets (38-22) return home following a three-game road trip to take on the Golden State Warriors (31-30) on Thursday evening.
Houston came away victorious in the lone meeting between the teams on November 26, a 104-100 conquest. Tip-off for Thursday’s battle is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
Below, we'll break down our Warriors vs. Rockets prediction and picks for Thursday night's game. Make your NBA picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Rockets are currently positioned in third place in the Western Conference behind the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs. Houston has won four of its last five games after, most recently, defeating the Washington Wizards 123-118 on Monday.
Rockets F Kevin Durant has been dominant as of late, averaging 29.4 points per game since the All-Star break. Durant is shooting the basketball at an exceptional rate, connecting on 38.8% of his attempts from deep during that span.
On the other hand, the Warriors have struggled since PG Stephen Curry suffered a right knee injury in late January. With Curry out of the lineup, Golden State has accumulated a 4-7 record and dropped three of its last four.
The Warriors have leaned on G Brandin Podziemski in Curry’s absence. He's averaged 16.8 PPG in his last five games, including a 22-point performance in a 114-101 loss against the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday.
Warriors vs. Rockets Over/Under, Spread
The Rockets are 9.5-point home favorites, returning a 1.25x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Warriors are road underdogs and return a 3.70x payout if they win outright, per PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.
- Spread: Houston Rockets -9.5
- Over/Under: 214.5
- Game Winner Payout: Warriors 3.70x | Rockets 1.25x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Warriors vs. Rockets Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Warriors vs. Rockets injury report for Thursday, via NBA.com.
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- G Seth Curry (back): OUT
- PG Stephen Curry (knee): OUT
- F-G Moses Moody (wrist): OUT
- SG Gary Payton II (ankle): Questionable
- PF Kristaps Porzingis (illness): OUT
Houston Rockets Injury Report
- C Steven Adams (ankle): OUT
- C Alperen Sengun (illness): Questionable
- F Jabari Smith Jr. (ankle): Questionable
- PG Amen Thompson (ankle): Questionable
Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction on Spread
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Warriors vs. Rockets prediction on the spread for Thursday, March 5 on PrizePicks.
- The Rockets are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against the Warriors.
- The Warriors are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
- Houston allows its opponents to score just 109.4 points per game, the third-fewest in the NBA.
- The Rockets average 48.4 rebounds per game, which leads the NBA. According to NBA Advanced Stats, Houston pulls down 54.6% of their rebounding opportunities.
Warriors vs. Rockets Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/5/26
Here are two of the top Warriors vs. Rockets picks to consider for Thursday, March 5. Today's PrizePicks NBA player projections feature G Amen Thompson and G De’Anthony Melton.
Rockets G Amen Thompson vs. Warriors Projection: 28.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Thompson has averaged 29.8 points, rebounds, and assists over his last five games.
- The Rockets' PG has registered at least 20 points in three of his last four.
- Thompson has secured double-digit rebounds in three of his previous five games.
- The 2023 lottery pick tallied 27 points, rebounds, and assists vs. the Warriors in his lone meeting this season.
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Warriors G De’Anthony Melton vs. Rockets Projection: 17.5 Pts + Asts
- The veteran guard has averaged 19.0 points and assists across his last five contests.
- Melton is shooting just 41.1% from the field but is averaging a career-high 10.7 shots per game.
- The Warriors guard has topped the 20-point mark in two of his past four games.
- Per databallr, Melton spends 26.2% of his time on the court on-ball.
Make Warriors vs. Rockets Picks on PrizePicks
The Rockets return to the friendly confines of the Toyota Center on Thursday to take on the Warriors. Houston will be looking to hang onto the No. 3 seed in the West standings, while Golden State aims to end a two-game losing streak.
You can make your Warriors vs. Rockets picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.
