The ACC Tournament comes to a close on Saturday, March 14, as Duke (31-2) battles Virginia (29-4) in the title game. The Blue Devils will look to secure an ACC Tournament championship for the second consecutive season as 8.5-point favorites, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Let’s take a closer look at a Virginia vs. Duke prediction on the spread for the ACC Tournament Championship at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks in the ACC Tournament and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Virginia vs. Duke Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Blue Devils have proven to be a juggernaut throughout the 2025-26 season. The Cavaliers, on the other hand, haven’t been far behind, as they’ve been one of the ACC’s top teams all season.
Duke recorded a commanding 77-51 win against Virginia on February 28 in Durham, where the Blue Devils were 10.5-point favorites. In that victory, Duke held Virginia to just a 29% shooting performance.
In the past 10 head-to-head matchups, the Blue Devils have dominated with a 7-3 record. Duke has won four consecutive matchups vs. the Cavaliers and covered the spread in each of those showdowns.
Virginia vs. Duke Spread, Over/Under
The Blue Devils enter this matchup as 8.5-point favorites, per PrizePicks Team Picks.
The over/under carries a 140.5 total, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils -5.5 (1.66x payout)
- Over/Under: 140.5 (1.96x payout)
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Virginia vs. Duke Prediction on Spread for ACC Championship – 3/14/26
Here are some key stats to know before locking in your Virginia vs. Duke prediction against the spread for the ACC Tournament Championship on Saturday, March 14, on PrizePicks.
- Duke cruised past Clemson with a 73-61 win in the semifinals of the ACC Tournament. Meanwhile, Virginia jumped all over Miami (FL) from the opening tip and recorded an impressive 84-62 victory in its semifinal matchup.
- The Blue Devils have a 17-14 against-the-spread record as a favorite against ACC teams, producing a 54.8% cover rate (third-best in the conference).
- Virginia is 0-4 ATS in its last four games vs. Duke, capped by an average margin of -19.8 points per game.
- The Blue Devils shot 50.0% (12-of-24) from 3-point land in their win vs. the Cavaliers last month. Duke F Cameron Boozer connected on 3 of his 4 attempts from beyond the arc (75%) en route to an 18-point performance.
- Per Bart Torvik, Duke owns the fifth-best adjusted offensive efficiency rating (128.1) in the nation, behind only Purdue (132.5), Illinois (131.9), Alabama (129.5), and Michigan (128.5).
- Duke possesses the top adjusted defensive efficiency rating (90.4) in the country, according to Bart Torvik. They allow the third-fewest points per game (63.0), behind only Northern Iowa (61.3) and Houston (62.8).
- One of Virginia’s biggest strengths is its 3-point shooting, as it connects on 35.8% of its attempts from beyond the arc (fourth in the ACC). However, Duke holds its opponents to just a 30.4% shooting clip from deep — the lowest in the ACC.
- Duke owns a +19.8 scoring differential against its opponents this season (first in the ACC).
Make Virginia vs. Duke Picks on PrizePicks
The ACC Tournament Championship features the top two teams, as No. 1 seed Duke takes on No. 2 seed Virginia on Saturday evening. The Blue Devils will be attempting to secure their 24th ACC Tournament title, while the Cavaliers will aim to win the crown for just the fourth time.
You can make your Virginia vs. Duke picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Check out the Playbook throughout the season for more college basketball predictions, picks, and news every day.
