Week 15’s marquee prime-time game features the Vikings visiting the Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. Kickoff for Sunday Night Football is set for 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.
Dallas enters Sunday at 6-6-1 after a disappointing 44-30 defeat to the Lions. The Cowboys are clinging to their playoff aspirations in the NFC East race, with the Eagles losing three in a row. QB Dak Prescott has been stellar when the stakes are highest, looking to keep Dallas’ offense rolling against a Vikings team that is just 1-4 in its last five games.
Below, we'll dive into a Vikings vs. Cowboys prediction and picks for Sunday Night Football. Use PrizePicks NFL to make picks on player projections in Week 15 and beyond.
Vikings vs. Cowboys Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Sunday marks the first meeting between the Vikings and Cowboys this season, setting the stage for a crucial NFC matchup.
Unfortunately for Minnesota, LT Christian Darrisaw will be a game-time decision, as he has missed practice all week. The good news is WR Jordan Addison (Achilles), RB Aaron Jones (shoulder), and TE T.J. Hockenson (shin) carry no injury designation.
For Dallas, the outlook is murkier. OT Tyler Guyton remains out with a high-ankle sprain for another week, forcing Nate Thomas to start again. TE Jake Ferguson (calf) is questionable, while edge rusher Jadeveon Clowney (hamstring) and CB Trevon Diggs (knee) also remain questionable.
The silver lining: WR CeeDee Lamb cleared concussion protocol and carries no designation.
Vikings vs. Cowboys Over/Under, Spread
The Vikings enter Sunday’s game as 6.5-point road underdogs, returning a 3.03x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Cowboys are home favorites with a 1.33x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Dallas Cowboys -6.5
- Over/Under: 47.5
- Game Winner Payout: Vikings 3.03x | Cowboys 1.33x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Vikings vs. Cowboys Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Vikings vs. Cowboys.
- Through 13 games, the Vikings are tied for the fifth-worst against-the-spread (ATS) record in the NFL at 5-8.
- The Cowboys' -5 point differential ranks 14th in the NFL, while Minnesota's -26 point differential is among the worst for any team still in playoff contention.
- Dallas ranks first in the league in total offense (394.9 yards per game) and third in scoring (29.3 PPG), while the Vikings' offense ranks 27th in scoring at just 19.6 PPG.
- Minnesota is 1-3 ATS as an away underdog this season. The Cowboys are 4-2 ATS at home.
- The Vikings rank 31st in third-down conversion percentage at 31.79%, while their offense ranks 30th in passing YPG (171.5) despite featuring WR Justin Jefferson.
Vikings vs. Cowboys NFL Week 15 Picks
Here are the top Vikings vs. Cowboys Week 15 picks on PrizePicks' real-money NFL game, including QB Dak Prescott and WR Justin Jefferson.
Cowboys QB Dak Prescott vs. Vikings Projection: 262.5 Pass Yards
- Prescott has 3,637 passing yards through 13 games (279.8 YPG) with a 69% completion rate and 7.5 yards per attempt.
- He has thrown for 262+ yards in seven starts, including 376 yards last week against Detroit.
- Minnesota allows just 172.3 passing YPG and ranks eighth in total defense (299.1 YPG), though recent matchups have exposed some holes.
- Dallas' lead in total offense is powered by Prescott’s connection with Pickens, Lamb, and Ferguson.
- The Cowboys' playoff hopes depend on this prime-time game, potentially creating a pass-heavy script against a Vikings defense that has yielded 14 passing TDs.
Vikings WR Justin Jefferson vs. Cowboys Projection: 62.5 Receiving Yards
- Jefferson's production has climbed steadily over the past three games, posting 48, 61, and 74 yards (averaging 61 YPG) after a two-game slump.
- The Cowboys rank dead last in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game at 255.2.
- The Vikings' star WR dominates zone coverage, ranking eighth among WRs with 250+ routes run with a 2.14 yards per route mark via SumerSports. The Cowboys' defense has a zone rate of 76.8%.
- The sixth-year man commands a massive target share (29.0%) with an 11.2-yard average depth of target.
- With the Cowboys' offense being among the best in the NFL, it could force the Vikings’ offense to be pass-happy to keep pace.
Cowboys WR George Pickens vs. Vikings Projection: 73.5 Receiving Yards
- Pickens has exceeded 73.5 receiving yards in eight of 13 games, including six of his last seven. Entering Week 15, he sits third in the NFL with 1,179 receiving yards and is averaging 90.7 YPG.
- He operates as a true high-volume perimeter alpha, earning 8.8 targets per game, a 23.7% target share, and 34.2% of the team’s air yards. That opportunity has translated to 2.5 YPRR and 15.1 yards per catch.
- Defensive coordinator Brian Flores’ Minnesota group is a schematic bullseye for Pickens’ profile, leading the NFL in blitz rate (48.7%) while playing zone on 77.5% of snaps. Pickens has been efficient vs. zone with a 2.22 YPRR, 24.1% target rate, and 1.37-yard target separation against zone.
- Minnesota’s pass defense metrics mask how often they give up chunk plays. Opposing WRs have produced 1,381 yards and 8 TDs against them on just 97 catches.
Make Vikings vs. Cowboys NFL Week 15 Picks on PrizePicks
This Vikings vs. Cowboys Week 15 matchup presents plenty of opportunities to put your NFL knowledge to the test.
Prescott and Pickens aim to keep the offense flowing against an opportunistic Vikings defense. Meanwhile, the Vikings could aim to get Jefferson the ball early and often to get their offense on track against a struggling Cowboys secondary.
With PrizePicks, you can make Vikings vs. Cowboys predictions and earn real money by calling your shots. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash out if you're right.
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