The top two seeds in the SEC Tournament are gone, leaving the No. 4 seed Vanderbilt Commodores (26-7) and the No. 3 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (25-8) to battle in the SEC Championship on Sunday, March 15.
Vanderbilt is listed as a 2.5-point favorite on the spread vs. Arkansas for today's SEC collision televised by ESPN.
The Razorbacks (25-8) staved off Ole Miss on Saturday in overtime, 93-90, to advance to their first SEC Tournament title game since 2000. The Commodores (26-7), meanwhile, rolled past No. 1 seed Florida, 91-74, in the semifinals for their fourth consecutive victory.
Let’s look at the Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas prediction on the spread for Sunday’s SEC Championship at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville.
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Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Razorbacks roughed up the Commodores, 93-68, as 1.5-point home favorites on January 20. Vandy never led, while Arkansas converted on 28-of-42 2-point attempts (67%).
Six Razorbacks posted double-digit point totals in the win, paced by SEC leading scorer Darius Acuff Jr. with 17 points. Vandy held Acuff to his lowest scoring output in conference play, who scored at least 20 points vs. 15 SEC foes.
Arkansas has won three consecutive head-to-head matchups vs. Vanderbilt, including the last two since John Calipari took over as head coach.
Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Spread, Over/Under
The Commodores enter this matchup as 2.5-point favorites, returning a 1.63x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Razorbacks are underdogs with a 2.22x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Vanderbilt -2.5
- Over/Under: 164.5
- Game Winner Payout: Vanderbilt 1.63x | Arkansas 2.22x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
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Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Prediction on Spread for SEC Championship – 3/15/26
Here are some key stats to know before locking in your Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas prediction on the spread for Sunday, March 15, on PrizePicks.
- Vanderbilt was an underdog in the last three games, including its two wins vs. rival Tennessee.
- In Saturday’s blowout of Florida, the Commodores held the Gators to 5-of-17 shooting from 3-point range (29%).
- Vandy limited opponents to under 30% from downtown in three consecutive games.
- Arkansas ranked second in SEC play for 2-point shooting (57%) and 3-point shooting (37%). In the last two games, the Hogs are 14-of-40 from downtown (35%).
- The Razorbacks own a 6-5 against the spread (ATS) mark as an underdog but are only 4-7 straight-up in this split.
- As a single-digit favorite, the Commodores boast a 12-3 record.
- The Razorbacks post the lowest turnover rate nationally at 12.2%. Arkansas lost the turnover battle only once over its last 15 games.
- We’ll see how that plays out for Vandy, which ranks first vs. SEC opponents in defensive turnover rate (16.6%).
- Vanderbilt seeks its first SEC Tournament title since 2012 — coincidentally the same season Calipari won his only NCAA championship at Kentucky.
Make Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Picks on PrizePicks
The Commodores and Razorbacks are both likely headed to the NCAA Tournament, but one can obtain the ultimate security with an automatic bid from capturing the SEC Tournament Championship.
Will Vandy get revenge for January’s blowout loss at Arkansas, or will Calipari win his first SEC Tournament since 2018?
You can make your Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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