One of the eight games taking place in the second round of the 2026 NCAA Tournament on Sunday, March 22, features the No. 9 Utah State Aggies (29-6) and the No. 1 Arizona Wildcats (33-2) in the West region of the bracket on truTV at 7:50 p.m. ET.
Arizona is an 11.5-point favorite ahead of tip-off. As one of the trendy picks to be crowned national champions, can the Wildcats avoid an early elimination against the Aggies?
Below, we’ll break down our Utah State vs. Arizona prediction and picks for Sunday’s clash. Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Utah State vs. Arizona Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
In a first-round matchup against the No. 8 Villanova Wildcats, Utah State took care of business, coming away with a convincing 86-76 victory. The Aggies are currently on a five-game winning streak, and they’ve covered the spread in four straight.
Arizona wasn’t tested much against the No. 16 Long Island University Sharks on Friday, leading from wire to wire. The Wildcats have now won 10 games in a row, with their last loss coming on February 14.
Plus, Arizona is looking to advance to at least the Round of 16 in the NCAA Tournament for the third consecutive season.
Utah State vs. Arizona Spread, Over/Under
Arizona is favored by 11.5 points, returning a 1.12x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Utah State is the underdog with a 6.25x payout for a victory on PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats -11.5 (1.81x payout)
- Over/Under: 153.5 (1.78x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Utah State 6.25x | Arizona 1.12x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
🔥 Get College Basketball Predictions and Picks from the experts for the NCAA Tournament
Utah State vs. Arizona Prediction on Spread – 3/22/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Utah State vs. Arizona prediction on the spread for the 2026 NCAA Tournament on Sunday, March 22, on PrizePicks.
- When facing an opponent at a neutral site, Arizona is 7-1 against the spread (ATS).
- Utah State has yet to be tested, as this will be the program’s first meeting this season against a ranked opponent.
- No. 9-seed teams are a 6-75 outright against 1-seeds in the second round of the tourney.
- Across the last three NCAA Tournaments, 9-seeds have kept the matchup vs. a 1-seed within 12 points just once in six tries.
- According to Bart Torvik’s rankings, Arizona is one of just four schools inside the top 10 in both adjusted offensive efficiency (eighth) and adjusted defensive efficiency (second).
- The Wildcats get to the charity stripe often, sitting at 18th in free throw rate (43.2%). The Aggies are 267th in FT rate allowed at 38.3%.
- Arizona is fourth in offensive rebound rate (38.3%) and 30th in rebound rate allowed (26.8%). A concern for Utah State is them being 253rd in rebound clip ceded (32.0%).
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Make Utah State vs. Arizona Picks on PrizePicks
The Aggies have been rolling in recent games, but can they keep it close in a major step up in competition against the Wildcats? Arizona is widely expected to advance far in the 2026 NCAA Tournament, so plenty of eyes will be on the outcome of this game.
You can make your Utah State vs. Arizona picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. Over on Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued college basketball predictions, picks, and news through the NCAA Tournament.
