The USA Women’s National Team vs. France FIBA World Cup Final is set to tip off at 2:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, September 13, with the USA entering as a 6.5-point favorite on the spread and returning a 1.31x payout to win, via PrizePicks.
Team USA has qualified for its fifth consecutive FIBA World Cup final after a 10-point semifinal win over Spain. They now face France, who will look to claim their first-ever gold medal following a dominant run through the 2026 FIBA World Cup.
Below, we'll break down our USA vs. France prediction and picks for Sunday’s FIBA World Cup Final, including the spread and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your USA vs. France prediction on PrizePicks for today’s game.
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USA vs. France Prediction for FIBA World Cup Final – Sunday, September 13
Team USA are heavy favorites to win a fifth straight gold medal. Kara Lawson's squad hasn't been as dominant as the 2022 edition, yet still carries a +35.7 net rating across five wins in this competition. Led by Aces star G Jackie Young, the USA will look to close out the tournament with another strong defensive showing against FIBA's newly crowned No. 1-ranked squad.
France earned that distinction after several offensive masterclasses throughout the competition. Les Bleues are shooting 65.4% true shooting through five games and have been lethal from 3-point range. They reach their first-ever final following a 22-point win over Germany yesterday, shooting 44.6% from the field and knocking down 10 triples in an 86-64 victory.
This could be the French's toughest test yet, as the USA allows the fewest points per game and has the best defensive rating in the tournament, holding opponents to just 19.0% on 3-pointers — a mark that will be severely tested by the second-best 3-point shooting team in FIBA World Cup history.
The USA are comfortable favorites based on star power and elite defense, but a France team shooting this well is a legitimate threat to pull off the upset.
USA vs. France Winner Payouts, Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, September 13
Here are the full payouts for USA vs. France for the FIBA World Cup Final on PrizePicks:
Make your USA vs. France prediction on the spread on PrizePicks.
PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
FIBA World Cup Final: USA vs. France Prediction on Spread – 9/13/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our USA vs. France prediction on the spread for the the FIBA World Cup Final on Sunday, September 13.
- France has been the most dominant team at the 2026 FIBA World Cup, winning all five games by an average margin of 35.6 points.
- Led by Marine Johannès, France has broken the record for the most 3-pointers made by a single team in FIBA World Cup history. Les Bleues are shooting 44.2% from beyond the arc — the second-highest average in the competition's history.
- Team USA has the best defense in the tournament, holding opponents to just 32.7% shooting. Teams are averaging 59.8 PPG against the USA — the lowest any team is allowing in the competition.
- France's +48 net rating ranks 12.3 points higher than the USA's in this year's competition. Their 129.6 offensive rating leads the field by a wide margin over the USA's 112.6.
- The USA has won their five games in this competition by an average of 27.8 points. They reached the final with a 10-point win over Spain, while France defeated Germany by 22 to advance to their first gold-medal game.
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USA vs. France Player Picks, FIBA World Cup Stats for PrizePicks – 9/13/26
Here are the top USA vs. France picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, September 13. Today's FIBA World Cup Final picks for PrizePicks include Caitlin Clark and Gabby Williams.
USA G Caitlin Clark vs. France: 11 Points
- Clark scored just 1 point in yesterday's win over Spain, which was the second time in this event she has finished with a single point.
- The Fever superstar is averaging 7.1 points per game across five games in her first FIBA World Cup, shooting a team-low 29.4% from the field and 22.7% on 3-pointers.
- Despite her shooting struggles, the 24-year-old leads the team with a +110 plus/minus and a team-high 29 assists over five games.
- Clark opened the FIBA World Cup with a team-high 14 points but has scored 10 or fewer in each of the four games since.
Add Caitlin Clark to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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France F Gabby Williams vs. USA: 17 Points
- Williams' 18.4 PPG ranks third among all players at the FIBA World Cup. The two-way superstar is shooting just over 56% from the field and 48.4% from behind the arc over her five games played.
- The Valkyries’ forward is getting to the free-throw line 2.4 times per game and ranks second on the team with a +110 plus/minus.
- The 30-year-old French national has scored 17 or more in three of France’s five games thus far. She leads the team with 11.6 FGA and 24.6 minutes per game.
- Williams' 119 overall efficiency rating sits first among all players at the FIBA World Cup. She is averaging 23.8 EFFPG, more than 6.0 EFF higher than the closest Team USA player.
Add Gabby Williams to your PrizePicks lineup now.
Make USA vs. France FIBA World Cup Final Picks on PrizePicks
France seeks its first-ever gold medal when it takes on the USA in the 2026 FIBA World Cup Final later today. Team USA must take down the competition's top offense to secure its fifth-straight FIBA World Cup gold medal.
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your USA vs. France picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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