USA vs. Australia Prediction, Picks, Lineups for World Cup 2026

The United States and Australia are squaring off in the 2026 World Cup on Friday, June 19, at 3:00 p.m. ET on FOX and in Spanish on Telemundo and Peacock. The match is at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington.

Ahead of kick-off, the United States enter as favorites with a 1.53x payout to win, via PrizePicks Team Picks. This is the second group-stage match for both sides in Group D, which also includes Paraguay and Türkiye. 

Below, we’ll break down our USA vs. Australia prediction and picks for Friday afternoon’s World Cup 2026 match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

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United States vs. Australia World Cup 2026 Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, June 19

How to watch United States vs. Australia: FOX (English) | Telemundo/Peacock (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 3:00 p.m. ET

Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

Group: Group D

Fresh off its most impressive World Cup match in years, a 4-1 win over Paraguay, the United States face an Australian team coming off its own victory.

USMNT held possession for 65% of its match vs. Paraguay, completing 85% of passes. The team ended up with 16 shots and 6 on target. During the four-match warm-up to the World Cup, Team USA averaged 48% possession, 82% passing accuracy, 1.5 goals, 13.8 shots, and 4.2 shots on target en route to going 1-3.

If the United States defeats Australia, it'd mark the first time since 1930 that the USMNT opened a World Cup with consecutive victories. That’s actually the only World Cup in which the USA won two group stage matches. 

Christian Pulisic, who has 33 goals in 87 games for the USMNT and had an assist on Matchday 1, is questionable to play due to a calf injury. The good news is that in his first World Cup match with Team USA, Folarin Balogun had 2 goals.

Now, USA faces an Australian team that blanked Türkiye. The Socceroos rely on defense and a disciplined midfield that will sit deep, deny the USA the central spaces, and look to release Nestory Irankunda and Mohamed Touré in transition.

In the first match, Türkiye held possession for nearly 72% of the match with 30 shots and 8 on target but put none in the net. 

United States vs. Australia: Favorite to Win, Spread, Total Goals – Friday, June 19

United States enters Friday’s game as home favorites, returning a 1.53x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Australia may look to emphasize defensive organization while creating opportunities through quick transitions. 

Here are the full payouts for the United States vs. Australia match on PrizePicks.

• Winner Payout: United States – 1.53x | Tie – 4x | Australia – 4.76x
• Spread: United States - 1.5 (2.63x Payout) 
• Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.88x)
• Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.96x | No 1.78x

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Make your United States vs. Australia prediction on spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

United States vs. Australia Prediction on Total Goals for World Cup 2026 

Here are the key stats and trends for United States vs. Australia before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.

• This is the fifth all-time meeting between the two countries, with the United States holding 2 wins, Australia winning 1, and there being a tie. USA has won the last two bouts — the most recent match being a 2-1 triumph last October.
• The 4 goals scored by the United States vs. Paraguay were the country’s most ever in a World Cup match and its most since scoring 5 vs. Uruguay in a friendly last November. 
• The USMNT had conceded 2+ goals in four consecutive matches before holding Paraguay to one. It hasn't kept a clean sheet since September of last year (nine straight matches allowing a goal).
• On the offensive side, USA has scored in nine of the last 10 matches, netting 2+ goals in seven and averaging 2.2 goals.
• Australia scored twice vs. Türkiye in the first match and had 7 goals in their World Cup tune-up matches. The Socceroos also scored in all four matches at the 2022 World Cup, posting 4 total goals. 

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United States vs. Australia Lineups for World Cup 2026 – Friday, June 19

Here are the projected United States vs. Australia lineups for Friday’s World Cup group stage match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data.

United States Lineup vs. Australia Today

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Matthew Freese
• Defense: Tim Ream, Alex Freeman, Chris Richards, Antonee Robinson
• Defensive Central Midfield: Tyler Adams, Sebastian Berhalter 
• Attacking Midfield: Malik Tillman, Weston McKennie, Sergino Dest
• Forwards: Folarin Balogun 

Australia Lineup vs. United States Today

Projected Formation: 5-4-1

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Beach
• Defense: Alessandro Circati, Harry Souttar, Cameron Burgess, Jacob Italiano, Jordan Bos
• Midfield: Paul Okon-Engstler, Aiden O’Neill, Nestory Irankunda, Connor Metcalfe
• Forwards: Mohamed Touré

United States vs. Australia Picks, Player Stats for World Cup: 6/19/26

Here are the top United States vs. Australia player picks to target on Friday, June 19. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Folarin Balogun and Matt Freese. 

United States F Folarin Balogun vs. Australia 

Folarin Balogun Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Shots (Goblin), 13.5 Pass Attempts, 10.5 Fantasy Score

• In Matchday 1 vs. Paraguay, Folarin Balogun became the first American to have 2 goals in a World Cup match since Bert Patenaude in the very first World Cup in 1930. 
• In the four World Cup warm-up matches, Balogun had 2 shots on goal in three of the four, totalling 10 shots and 1 goal. 
• The AS Monaco forward had 2+ shots in his last six and in eight of 10 matches of France’s Ligue 1 season.
• According to Footy Stats, Balogun averaged 3.09 shots per 90 minutes for AS Monaco in 2025-26, which ranked in the 95th percentile.

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United States GK Matt Freese vs. Australia

Matt Freese Projections via PrizePicks: 2 Goalie Saves, 0.5 Goals Allowed (Goblin), 9.5 Fantasy Score

• The lone goal Matt Freese surrendered vs. Paraguay was the only shot on goal they had, so he didn't have any saves. His xGC was .054. 
• He started in two of the four USMNT warm-up matches, making 2 saves vs. Germany and 3 saves vs. Portugal. He also allowed 2 goals in each of those games.
• With New York City FC this year, Freese had three clean sheets and had 2+ saves in each of his last 11 matches. 
• Freese averaged 1.13 goals conceded per 90 minutes for NYCFC in 2025-26, which ranked in the 77th percentile.

Combine United States + Matt Freese World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

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Make Your United States vs. Australia Prediction for World Cup on PrizePicks

Can the United States follow up its masterful performance vs. Paraguay with another win vs. Australia and take control of the group, or will Australia’s defense stop USMNT’s attack?

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Pick World Cup players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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