Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund meet in the Bundesliga on Saturday, October 31 at the Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany, with kickoff set for 1:30 p.m. ET. Bayern is favored to win, returning a 1.31x payout on PrizePicks, while the underdog Dortmund has a 6.66x payout.
The 141st edition of Der Klassiker sees Bayern Munich enter on an 18-match unbeaten streak, and they’ve gone five matches against Borussia Dortmund without a loss. But Dortmund has matched their rivals with 17 points from their first seven league outings and would move top of the table with a win.
Below, we’ll break down our Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction and picks for Saturday afternoon’s Bundesliga match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under for Bundesliga – Saturday, October 31
Bayern enters Saturday’s match as home favorites vs. Dortmund, returning a 1.31x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.
Meanwhile, Dortmund will look to end a three-match losing skid in Der Klassiker, returning a 6.66x payout to win outright. PrizePicks has a 5.26x payout for a draw.
PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Make your Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction on the winner on PrizePicks.
How to watch Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund: CNBC (English) / Peacock (Spanish)
Kickoff Time: 1:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund have met 140 times, and the home side has claimed a 50% win rate in Der Klassiker. That includes a 2-1 victory in the German Super Cup back on August 22. Dortmund has won 33 meetings, while the two sides have drawn on 37 occasions.
Dortmund’s last win in the series came two years ago, when Dortmund claimed a 2-0 win in Munich on March 30, 2024. It was a rare away win, as they’ve lost eight of their last 10 league visits to the Allianz Arena.
This edition sees Bayern coming in red-hot. They’ve won three of their last four matches, with the only blemish being a 2-2 draw against Arsenal in the Champions League. They've also scored 17 goals in their last four outings, including a 6-1 thrashing of Magdeburg on Wednesday in the DFB Pokal.
RW Michael Olise leads the club with 6 goals in the Bundesliga. Teammate Harry Kane paces the club with 5 assists, and the newly-crowed Ballon d’Or winner has also added 4 league goals.
They are without a major piece of their attack on Saturday, as LW Luis Diaz misses out as he recovers from a hamstring injury picked up against Arsenal. CAM Jamal Musiala continues to miss due to a thigh injury, while GK Manuel Neuer is still a week or two from returning from his foot injury.
Dortmund are off to a terrific start, with five wins and two draws in the league. They know a win on Saturday would be a massive step towards winning their first Bundesliga title since 2011-12.
Their defense has been rock solid, conceding just 4 times in the first seven Bundesliga fixtures while keeping 5 clean sheets. They’ve scored 12 goals in attack, with four players bagging a pair each. ST Serhou Guirassy is among those; he’s scored 7 goals in 12 matches across all competitions.
Fellow F Giannis Konstantelias will be out until May as he recovers from an ACL injury, while CB Emre Can is still recovering from his knee injury suffered in February. FW Konstantinos Karetsas is a doubt but could be available off the bench.
Dortmund will aim to keep history from repeating itself on Saturday. Two of the last three seasons have seen them go into a Der Klassiker unbeaten in the league — both times, Bayern handed them their first loss.
Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction on Total Goals – 10/31/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction on the over/under for Saturday’s Bundesliga match.
- Dortmund have conceded just 4 goals in the Bundesliga while scoring 12 of their own. That said, they're averaging just 5.43 shots on target per 90 and 0.11 xG per shot, according to Opta.
- They are facing a Bayern defense allowing a league-low 9.0 shots and 3.0 shots on target per match.
- Bayern are averaging 10.14 shots on target per match, over 3.0 more than any other club, according to Opta. They’re also converting 15.34% of their shots.
- Dortmund’s defense will be a heavy test for them. Bayern face a defense allowing just 0.09 xG per shot and only 3.0 shots on target per 90 minutes. They’re also forcing many shots from distance, with opponents taking only 55.13% of their shots inside the box. No other team is holding opponents below 63.0% in that metric.
- Dortmund’s back line is also allowing teams to convert on a league-low 5.13% of their efforts.
- Their last Bundesliga meeting in February saw Bayern win 3-2 away at Dortmund. That bucked the recent trend in Der Klassiker, with four of the last six meetings seeing 3 goals or fewer.
- The absence of Diaz, Musiala, and Konstantelias robs both clubs of significant attacking threats. It especially limits Bayern’s ability to make impactful attacking subs later in the match.
Lock in your Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction on PrizePicks before kickoff.
Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund Projected Lineups – Saturday, October 31
Here are the projected Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund lineups for today's Bundesliga match. Lineups are not official, are based on historical data, and should be confirmed before match start.
Bayern Munich Lineup vs. Borussia Dortmund: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Jonas Urbig
- Defense: Konrad Laimer, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Alphonso Davies
- Midfield: Joshua Kimmich, Tom Bischof, Ismael Saibari
- Forwards: Michael Olise, Harry Kane, Serge Gnabry
Borussia Dortmund Lineup vs. Bayern Munich: Projected 3-4-2-1
- Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel
- Defense: Joane Gadou, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck
- Midfield: Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson
- Forwards: Marcel Sabitzer, Serhou Guirassy, Carney Chukwuemeka
Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 10/31/26
Here are Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund player picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, October 31. Today’s Bundesliga picks are headlined by Harry Kane and Waldemar Anton.
Bayern Munich ST Harry Kane vs. Dortmund: 4.5 Shots
- Harry Kane sits third in the Bundesliga in shots per 90 minutes, attempting 5.41, per Opta.
- In his last two Bundesliga matches, he’s attempted no more than 3 shots. One of those does include a 45-minute substitute appearance.
- Kane’s average is skewed a bit by the 8 shots he attempted vs. Augsburg, who have allowed the second-most shots of any club in the league. If you remove that match, his average drops to just 4.65 shots per 90.
- Dortmund have allowed just one striker to attempt so many as 3 shots in any of their last 11 matches in all competitions.
Combine Bayern Munich + Harry Kane Bundesliga picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.
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Dortmund CB Waldemar Anton vs. Bayern: 50.5 Passes Attempted
- Waldemar Anton ranks 11th in the Bundesliga with 76.29 passes attempted per 90 minutes.
- However, in his last four Der Klassikers, he's averaged just 46.25 passes while playing the full 90 minutes in each. That includes 43 passes attempted in the Super Cup to open the campaign.
- Dortmund have held possession less than 48.0% just twice this season in the Bundesliga. Those two matches, against Hoffenheim and Stuttgart, are also the two instances where Anton had fewer than 50 passes attempted, per WhoScored.
- Bayern has held possession for 66.9% of their matches in the league this season. That is far and away the most in the league, with Bayer Leverkusen second at 57.8%.
Combine Dortmund + Waldemar Anton Bundesliga picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.
Make Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund Picks on PrizePicks
Der Klassiker looks to be a thrilling affair on Saturday, with the top two clubs in the Bundesliga squaring off. Will Bayern continue their recent dominance in the rivalry, or can Dortmund move into the top spot in the league table with the upset win?
Don’t wait until kickoff – you can make your Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund picks for Saturday’s Bundesliga match now on PrizePicks.
Just pick your Bundesliga players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on match winners, total goals, and both teams to score – now available in 36 states.
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