The Miami Heat (36-29) are rolling with five consecutive wins and play host to the Washington Wizards (16-47) on Tuesday, March 10, at 7:30 p.m. ET.
According to PrizePicks Team Picks, Miami is a notable 16.5-point favorite for tonight, but Heat G Tyler Herro was added to the injury report.
How does the latest Tyler Herro injury update impact PrizePicks NBA picks for the Wizards vs. Heat game tonight?
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Tyler Herro Injury Update: Is He Playing vs. Wizards?
Herro was a late addition to today’s NBA injury report, listed as questionable due to a left quadriceps injury.
The one-time All-Star has played in only 20 of 65 games this season. He missed 15 consecutive games from January 17 to February 11 and returned with a vengeance by logging 22.2 points per game (PPG) in his last nine games.
Herro, who ranks second on the Heat with 22.1 PPG, especially elevated his play over the last week with 26.3 PPG, 5.5 rebounds per game (RPG), and 4.8 assists per game (APG). Herro carries 25.5 points for PrizePicks projections on Tuesday.
His availability’s been limited, but Herro remains a mainstay by leading Miami with 16.2 field goals attempted per game, while his 27.0% usage rate ranks second, per FantasyLabs.
If the former Kentucky Wildcat does not suit up, how should we shift Wizards vs. Heat predictions for PrizePicks projections?
Tyler Herro Injury Impact: Which Heat Players to Target?
According to FantasyLabs, Heat G Pelle Larsson sees the largest increase in usage rate on Miami when Herro is off the court (+1.1%).
The second-year wing averages 25.1 minutes per game this season, but he’s logged 29.4 minutes per appearance since February. Larsson recorded 34.6 minutes per game during Herro’s absences from January 17 to February 3.
Additionally, Tuesday’s injury report has Heat G Norman Powell (groin), F Andrew Wiggins (toe), and C Kel’el Ware (shoulder) listed as out vs. the Wizards. Larsson’s usage rate makes another jump to +2.9% with Herro, Powell, Wiggins, and Ware off the court.
The 6’5” guard posted 12.3 PPG in his last three games—elevated from 10.4 PPG on the season. Furthermore, NBA Advanced Stats has Larsson shooting 59.1% of his attempts within 10 feet of the rim, and Dunks & Threes ranks Washington 27th in rim shot distribution allowed.
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Pelle Larsson vs. Wizards Projections, Picks
Let’s look at a few of Pelle Larsson’s projections on PrizePicks for Tuesday’s Wizards-Heat battle, which could be elevated if Herro is out.
- 13.5 Points
- 21.5 Pts+Rebs+Asts
- 26.5 Fantasy Score
Make Wizards vs. Heat Picks on PrizePicks
If Herro is out vs. the Wizards, the Heat will be missing four of their six leading scorers. Larsson’s recent increase in usage is worth monitoring for Tuesday’s matchup.
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