NFL Week 15 concludes with QB Tua Tagovailoa leading the Miami Dolphins (6-7) into Pittsburgh to clash with the Steelers (7-6) on Monday Night Football, with the matchup kicking off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
It’s been a tale of two seasons for the Dolphins; the year started as a dumpster fire, losing six of their first seven, but they have turned it around, having won five of their last six. While they are playing well right now, it might be too late, as they would need a lot of help to make the playoffs.
Below, we’ll give our top Tua Tagovailoa stats, trends, and pick vs. Steelers on Monday Night Football for PrizePicks NFL game. PrizePicks is the best place to make your MNF picks tonight, including on Tagovailoa's pass yards.
Tua Tagovailoa Stats, Pick vs. Steelers for Monday Night Football
Below is our analysis for Tua Tagovailoa vs. Steelers in the Week 15 Monday Night Football contest. Pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash out with PrizePicks if you're right on MNF or any other NFL game.
Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa Stat Projection vs. Steelers: 195.5 Pass Yards
📊QB Fantasy Playoffs Strength of Schedule
— Josh Larky (@jlarkytweets) December 10, 2025
Tua Tagovailoa has the 2nd BEST fantasy playoffs schedule
For those who lost Daniel Jones, Tua is a solid replacement
Week 15: DAL (+6.2 fantasy points)
Week 16: NYG (+2 fantasy points)
Week 17: DET (+2.3 fantasy points) pic.twitter.com/shU0pX59W3
- Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for under 200 yards in four straight games.
- However, three of those four opponents rank in the top eight in yards allowed per game.
- The Steelers are allowing 244.0 pass yards per game, which ranks 28th.
- Pittsburgh will not have star DE T.J. Watt, who had surgery to repair a collapsed lung.
- Tua has thrown for over 200 yards in each game in which he’s thrown more than 20 completions.
- The Steelers allow the most completions per game (24.0).
- Pittsburgh is 20th in pressure rate (20.9%).
- Miami ranks 13th in pressure rate allowed (20.3).
- The former Alabama QB ranks fourth with a 60.9% completion rate when facing pressure.
- The sixth-year veteran has the sixth-best passer rating against man coverage (115.5).
- The Steelers defense has the fifth-highest man coverage rate (32.1%).
- According to Pro NFL, the Dolphins have the second-highest average target separation (3.7).
- Pittsburgh allows the third-highest average target separation (3.7).
More Tua Tagovailoa Projections vs. Steelers Tonight
Here are some other top Tua Tagovailoa projections vs. Steelers on Monday Night Football, via PrizePicks.
- 200.5 Pass+Rush Yards
- 29 Pass Attempts
- 19 Pass Completions
- 33.5 Yards on Longest Completion
- 0.5 Passing Touchdowns (Goblin)
- 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs (Demon)
- 12.5 Fantasy Score
Make Dolphins vs. Steelers Monday Night Football Picks on PrizePicks
The Dolphins still have a chance to make the playoffs; however, they need a lot of help — and it could come from a big game from QB Tua Tagovailoa.
The Week 15 Dolphins vs. Steelers matchup presents a large variety of Monday Night Football picks to choose from — including Tagovailoa's passing yards.
Get in on the MNF action with PrizePicks. Just pick More or Less on projected player stats and win real money if you’re right.
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